Gale Warning 263, NWS Juneau, AK

356 
FZAK51 PAJK 021512 CCA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-030845-
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TODAY. A
RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHEAST GULF AND PANHANDLE TONIGHT
AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER
THE CENTRAL GULF ON SATURDAY.      

$$

PKZ011-030845-
GLACIER BAY-
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-030845-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-030845-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-030845-
ICY STRAIT-
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-030845-
CROSS SOUND-
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ031-030845-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-030845-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-030845-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-030845-
FREDERICK SOUND-
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-030845-
SUMNER STRAIT-
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-030845-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
638 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

115 
FZAK51 PAJK 021945 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-031345-
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAKENING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS SE AK THU
EVENING. A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHEAST GULF THU NIGHT
AND PERSIST THROUGH FRI NIGHT. ANOTHER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF SAT WILL DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE THROUGH
SUN. 

$$

PKZ011-031345-
GLACIER BAY-
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

UPDATED

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-031345-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-031345-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-031345-
ICY STRAIT-
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-031345-
CROSS SOUND-
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ031-031345-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-031345-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-031345-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

UPDATED

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ034-031345-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-031345-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-031345-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1145 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

289 
FZAK51 PAJK 022333
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-031400-
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE SE GULF THU
NIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH FRI NIGHT. ANOTHER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER
THE CENTRAL GULF SAT. A MODERATE STRENGTH LOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE
THE CENTRAL GULF ON SUN.  

$$

PKZ011-031400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.FRI...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 


$$

PKZ012-031400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT LATE. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-031400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT LATE. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-031400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-031400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. HIGHER GUSTS IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-031400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ032-031400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ033-031400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-031400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-031400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-031400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
558 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.SHORT TERM...WET FORECAST IN THE WORKS FOR MOST OF THE
PANHANDLE TODAY AS A FRONT WITH A DECENT TROPICAL CONNECTION
COMES ASHORE. RAIN IS JUST NOW STARTING TO SPREAD OVER THE
PANHANDLE. IT STARTED IN YAKUTAT AROUND MIDNIGHT LAST NIGHT AND
IT REACHED THE OUTER COAST AROUND SITKA AROUND 4 AM ACCORDING TO
RADAR AND THE SURFACE OB AT SITKA AIRPORT. RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH.
RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT THROUGH AT A SLIGHTLY REDUCED
RATE THIS EVENING AS WE TRANSITION FROM THE FRONTAL RAIN BANDS
TODAY TO STARTING TO SEE THE MOISTURE PLUME FROM THE SW JET KICK
IN LATE TONIGHT. HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG THE
NORTHERN OUTER COAST AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE TODAY BUT WILL
GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE BY TONIGHT DUE TO
THE SAME REASON. WITH ALL THIS RAIN AND CLOUD COVER HIGH TEMPS
TODAY WILL STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE 50S TO LOW 60S DUE TO
LITTLE OR NO SOLAR HEATING.

WINDS ARE ALSO STARTING TO INCREASE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE
AND NORTHERN GULF. SE WINDS TO 25 KT ARE BEING OBSERVED IN THE
NORTHERN GULF CURRENTLY. I AM NOT EXPECTING ANY OTHER HIGHER WINDS
FROM THE FRONT ITSELF DUE TO ITS DISTANCE FROM THE PARENT LOW.
SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE INCREASING IN LYNN CANAL, HAINES, AND SKAGWAY
THIS MORNING AS WELL BUT THIS IS DUE TO THE INTERACTION BETWEEN
THE WEAK SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE PANHANDLE AND THE STRENGTHENING
TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN YUKON. CURRENT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
JUNEAU AND SKAGWAY IS -3.5 MB WHICH IS SUPPORTING A 25 KT SMALL
CRAFT WIND IN NORTHERN LYNN CANAL AND GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN SKAGWAY.
THESE WINDS WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THIS EVENING
AS THE LOW IN THE ALASKA INTERIOR CONTINUES TO PROVIDE STRENGTH TO
THE TROUGH OVER THE YUKON. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AS THE LOW
WEAKENS.

SHORT RANGE MODELS TODAY WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. GFS SEEMED TO
HAVE THE MOST DIFFERENCES COMPARED TO THE OTHER MODELS DISPLAYING
A FLATTER RIDGE OVER THE PANHANDLE. DECIDED TO USE A BLEND OF THE
NAM WITH SOME ECMWF MIXED IN FOR PRESSURE AND WIND. USED MORE SREF
FOR POPS AS IT SEEMED TO DISPLAY A GOOD REPRESENTATION IN THAT
AREA. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS A LITTLE ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM...FRONT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA IS STATIONARY ON FRIDAY
AS A WAVE DEVELOPING NEAR 53/150 LIFTS ENE AND OVER THE PANHANDLE.
THIS FRONT DIGS SOUTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL GULF FRIDAY AND SHIFTS EAST
OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA SATURDAY AND INTO B.C. BY SUNDAY. A 1005 MB
LOW MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL GULF SUNDAY AND REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THERE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
MOVES ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA BY SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAINS
STATIONARY THERE THROUGH TUESDAY AS A SERIES OF WAVES LIFT ENE
ACROSS THE AREA.

RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL AREAS ON FRIDAY BUT WILL BE
DIMINISHING TO SCATTERED SHOWERS IN NORTHERLY FLOW FROM THE
NORTHWEST STARTING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SPREADING TO THE SOUTHERN
AREAS BY SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE HEAVIEST ACROSS
THE SOUTH CENTRAL AREAS FRIDAY SPREADING INTO SOUTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY NIGHT. AMOUNTS COULD TOTAL AROUND ONE INCH FOR PAPG AND PAWG
AREAS. AMOUNTS DECREASES ACROSS THE NORTH AND WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE FOR SOUTHERN. SOUTHERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
SHOULD HAVE EASED SHIFTING TO THE NORTH THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT AND AHEAD OF RIDGE IN
GULF SHOULD DECREASE CLOUD COVER ON SATURDAY AND GOING TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES FOR THE NORTHERN THIRD BUT WILL STILL KEEP ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS UNDER COOLER AIR MASS ALOFT.

RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO CAP MARINE LAYER OVER GULF ON SATURDAY WHICH
WILL BE PUSHED ONSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS RIDGE FLATTENS
AND MOVES INLAND. HAVE UPPED CLOUD COVER ESPECIALLY FOR GULF AND
COASTAL AREAS WHICH COULD GO TO LOW OVERCAST BY SATURDAY NIGHT.

NEXT FRONT LOOKS LIKE IT HAS GOOD DYNAMICS AND MOISTURE SOURCE TO
PRODUCE MODERATE RAINS ACROSS ALL AREAS. EXPECT SOLID SMCR FOR
EASTERN GULF AND AROUND 20 KT FOR INNER CHANNELS. MODELS IN GOOD
SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT WITH THIS SYSTEM BUT STILL DIFFER ON WHERE
PRECIP MAXES WILL OCCUR SO COMPROMISED WITH A BLENDED SOLUTION.
THIS FRONT APPEARS TO STALL OVER THE PANHANDLE AS A SERIES OF
WAVES AND SECOND WRAP MOVE INLAND.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-013-043-051-052.

&&

EAL/MM