Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 251, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Jun 14, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 14, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 16, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
757 FZAK52 PAJK 142331 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-151400- 400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALONG SE AK WILL WEAKEN BY FRIDAY MORNING. A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF FRI. $$ PKZ041-151400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ042-151400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ043-151400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT...SOUTHWEST PORTION INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT...SOUTHWEST PORTION BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ051-151400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ052-151400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS LATE. .FRI...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
933 FZAK52 PAJK 151150 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-160100- 400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A FRONTAL TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW TO THE DISTANT SOUTHWEST WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE GULF FRI WITH GALE FORCE WINDS. A NEW LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT IN THE NORTHERN GULF SAT. $$ PKZ041-160100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ042-160100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ043-160100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ051-160100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ052-160100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
517 FZAK52 PAJK 152331 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-161400- 400 PM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A WEATHER FRONT WITH GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE EAST GULF WILL WEAKEN FRI NIGHT. A LOW IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST GULF SAT AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN. $$ PKZ041-161400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ042-161400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ043-161400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ051-161400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ052-161400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
382 FZAK52 PAJK 161151 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 16 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-170100- 400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 16 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF ON SAT. A RIDGE WILL BUILD ALONG THE PANHANDLE BEHIND A FRONT BEGINNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ041-170100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ042-170100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ043-170100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ051-170100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ052-170100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SE SWELL. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jun 14, 2:50 PM AKDT, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 2:50 PM AKDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
250 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012
.SHORT TERM...FEATURES PRESENTLY IN THE GULF WILL DISSIPATE OR
BE MOVED OUT OF OUR AOR DUE TO THE APPROACH OF AN STRONG POLAR
FRONT ZONE SYSTEM CURRENTLY WITHIN 600 N S OF OF THE AK PEN AND
PADQ.
THE UNSEASONABLY STRONG SYSTEM INCLUDES STRONG FRONTAL
BOUNDARIES AND TRIPLE PT THAT ARE OBVIOUS ON THE IR AND VIS WITH
THE TRIPLE PT ABOUT 600 N S OF PADQ. NOTE THE GALE AND SCA
LISTINGS IN MARINE TABLE BELOW. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE UNUSUAL IN
JUNE. PUBLIC ZONE 27 IS BEING GIVEN A WIND HEADLINE FOR FRIDAY
BECAUSE GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35 MPH CAN OCCUR.
THE TRIPLE PT REGION IS CYCLOGENETIC AND BY 00Z SAT SHOULD
RESULT IN A 990 MB LOW 400 NM S OF PAMD, WITH A STRONG OCFNT XTDG
E TO A NEW TRIPLE PT 200 SSW OF PAKT.
MORE ABOUT THE FEATURES CURRENTLY IN OUR AOR: A 1012 MB LOW
200 NM S OF PAMD IS QSTNRY AND WILL DISSIPATE BY 12Z. A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS NNW ALONG THE PNHDL AND IN AN ARC ALONG
THE N GLF COAST WILL MOVE TO THE NE AND BEGIN TO MOVE E PAST THE
COAST RANGE BY 18Z FRI, AND ALL THE AOR S OF A PAJN- PAYA LN WILL
HAVE A PERIOD OF OUTFLOW DRYG THAT WILL STOP PRECIP UNTIL THE
ONSET OF THE FRONT RELATED PRECIP SATURATES THE COLUMN. VISUALIZE
VIRGA REACHING THE GROUND AS THE ONSET OF ACCUMULATION.
&&
.LONG TERM...
A 976 MB OCCLUDED LOW IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN NORTH CENTRAL
PACIFIC OCEAN...ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR. SOUTH OF
THE LOW...AN UPPER LEVEL JET IS TRANSPORTING SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
TO THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS STORM SYSTEM. A FRONTAL
BAND AND A SECONDARY LOW IS DEVELOPING EAST OF THE STATIONARY
OCCLUDED LOW. THESE WEATHER FEATURES WILL BE TRACKING
NORTHEASTWARD...AND WILL BE IMPACTING SOUTHEAST ALASKA FOR THE
BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND.
AS THE WEATHER FRONT PUSHES NORTHEASTWARD...RAIN WILL SPREAD
NORTHWARD ON FRIDAY EVENING ACROSS THE PANHANDLE...WITH THE
HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS IN THE SOUTHERN AREAS. FOR THE OUTSIDE
WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WITH OVERCAST CLOUD COVER
AND CATEGORICAL POP...PANHANDLE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR SATURDAY. AS
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH AND WEAKEN...WIND
SHOULD DIMINISH ON SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER IN THE
AREA...AND GRADUAL DRYING IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.
MODELS ARE HINTING THAT A ZONAL FLOW WILL TAKE PLACE NEXT WEEK
AS A BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE GULF...AND
THIS WILL BRING SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND DRIER CONDITIONS TO
THE PANHANDLE FROM MONDAY ONWARDS. THE BIGGEST CHANGE MADE IN THE
EXTENDED RANGE IS THE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE GRIDS. INCREASED THE
HIGH TEMPERATURES ABOUT 5 DEGREES TO AROUND 60 DEGREES NEXT WEEK.
LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO INCREASE THE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES
FURTHER IF DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE. GFS IS INCONSISTENT FROM RUN TO
RUN. EC HAS RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY...AND ALSO CONSISTENT WITH
OTHER MODELS SUCH AS NAM AND UKMET. HPC ALSO USES EC AND EC
ENSEMBLES FOR THE EXTENDED RANGE. DECIDED TO USE EC FROM FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. THEN TRANSITION TO HPC FROM MONDAY
ONWARDS.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ041>043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-022-033-035-036-051-052.
&&
JBT/RWTThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Jun 14, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 days | |
| Jun 14, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Jun 15, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jun 15, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jun 15, 3:57 PM AKDT | Wind Advisory | AJK | 8 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.