Gale Warning 190, NWS Juneau, AK

977 
FZAK51 PAJK 121834 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-130100-
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A LOW WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH HECATE STRAIT TO BE NEAR THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE MON AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL GRADUALLY
DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND INTO THE
GULF MON NIGHT INTO TUE.   

$$

PKZ011-130100-
GLACIER BAY-
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-130100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-130100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-130100-
ICY STRAIT-
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-130100-
CROSS SOUND-
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-130100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-130100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-130100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE.
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS INCREASING TO SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-130100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-130100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-130100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1034 AM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

548 
FZAK51 PAJK 122327
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-131400-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAKENING LOW WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH HECATE STRAIT TO BE NEAR
THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BY EARLY MON EVENING. THIS LOW WILL
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE
AND INTO THE GULF MON NIGHT INTO TUE. 

$$

PKZ011-131400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-131400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ013-131400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-131400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-131400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-131400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE BY AFTERNOON. OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-131400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-131400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-131400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4
FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-131400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-131400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LATE.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

567 
FZAK51 PAJK 131201
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-140100-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL DISSIPATE TO AN
OPEN WAVE AS IT MOVES NORTH TUE. ANOTHER LOW WILL APPROACH THE
PANHANDLE FROM THE SOUTHERN GULF LATER WED. 

$$

PKZ011-140100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-140100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-140100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-140100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-140100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-140100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-140100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-140100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-140100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT
LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-140100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-140100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
238 PM AKDT SUN MAR 11 2012

.SHORT TERM...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF
AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
FORECAST PERIOD. MULTIPLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONS ARE VISIBLE
IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CIRCULATION
IMMEDIATELY OFF THE COAST JUST SOUTH OF SITKA, WHICH WILL BE
RESPONSIBLE FOR SMALL CRAFT WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL OUTER COAST
THROUGH LATE EVENING. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THIS LOW IS NOT
OVERLY STRONG, BUT IT HAS BEEN ENOUGH TO SUPPORT STEADY SHOWER
ACTIVITY THROUGH THE DAY OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. TRAINING
SHOWERS HAVE PRODUCED AS MUCH AS 2 INCHES OF SNOW OVER PORTIONS
OF ZONE 28 NEAR KETCHIKAN TODAY. FARTHER NORTH OVER ZONE 26,
TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN WARMER AND PRECIP HAS BEEN MOSTLY LIQUID.
DECIDED NOT TO ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHERN
ZONES, BUT DID INCLUDE UP TO 2 INCHES FOR TONIGHT.

 VERY COLD AIR IS ALSO EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH A LARGE
AREA OF OPEN CELL CUMULUS THE FLOWS SOUTHEAST OFF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA, THEN EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF, THEN NORTHEAST AS
IT BECOMES ENTRAINED IN THE SURFACE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
NEAR SITKA. BELIEVE THIS WILL PRODUCE OVERNIGHT LOWS ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE THAT WILL BE ABOUT 5 DEGREES COLDER TONIGHT THAN LAST
NIGHT. BELIEVE THIS COLDER AIR HAS ALREADY ARRIVED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN PANHANDLE, AS EVIDENCED BY THE DROP IN ASOS
TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AT KLAWOCK. HAVE SOME BREAKS IN
THE CLOUD COVER SHOWING UP THIS AFTERNOON AND WENT WITH MOSTLY
CLOUDY IN THE SKY GRIDS OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE.
THESE BREAKS WILL ALSO AIDE IN COOLING TEMPS DOWN TONIGHT.

 A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRESS SOUTH FROM THE INTERIOR AND
YUKON TOMORROW AS A LOW APPROACHES THE PANHANDLE FROM THE SOUTH.
RESULTANT OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE WILL PRODUCE
SOME CLEARING TOMORROW. HAVE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR
TOMORROW, BUT DO NOT EXPECT SIGNIFICANT WARMING DUE TO THE LOW
LEVEL COLDER AIR MOVING IN PLACE TONIGHT. TO THE NORTH, NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL INCREASE TOMORROW. HAVE SOME GUSTY IN SKAGWAY TOMORROW
WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN LYNN. TO THE SOUTH, HAVE
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR CLARENCE STRAIT AND COASTAL MARINE
ZONE 41 LATE IN THE DAY.

 MINOR CHANGES TO EXISTING GRIDS APART FROM ADDING MORE SNOW TO
ZONES 27 AND 28. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...UPPER TROF WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF AND ERN PAC
INTO NEXT WEEKEND. TROF WILL HAVE A NEGATIVE TILT MUCH OF THIS
TIME WITH THE MOST NEGATIVE TILT LATER IN THE WEEK. THIS WILL
GENERALLY MEAN SYSTEMS WILL BE WEAKENING AS THEY MOVE INTO THE
AREA FROM THE S OR SE. MODELS STILL HAVING ISSUES WITH TIMING
SYSTEMS INTO THE AREA ESPECIALLY LATER ON. ENDED UP USING THE 12Z
EC FROM 06Z TUE TO 06Z WED...THEN THE REMAINING PERIOD AS LEFT
MOSTLY AS IS.

 MAIN FACTOR IN THE CHANGES EARLY ON WAS MODELS SPEEDING UP
TIMING OF LOW MOVING IN FROM THE S MON NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL BE
FAIRLY STRONG WELL S OF THE AREA BUT WILL BE WEAKENING RAPIDLY AS
IT MOVES INTO THE SRN AREA MON NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING IN PRECIP
FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED TO THE S. RAISED POPS UP TO
LIKELY FOR THE SRN INNER CHANNELS LATER MON NIGHT INTO TUE.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE A BIT MORE QUICKLY OVER THE NRN AREA TUE
THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED AS LEFTOVERS OF LOW MOVE BY ALONG THE
OUTER  COAST AND FLOW TURNS MORE SLY. NUDGED TEMPS UP A FEW
DEGREES OVER THE S MON NIGHT DUE TO CLOUDS MOVING BACK IN FASTER.

 BEYOND 12Z WED...ONLY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE WAS TO USE THE PREVIOUS
HPC POPS. THE POPS THAT WERE IN THERE LOOKED TOO MESOSCALE AS FAR
AS COVERAGE GOES GIVEN MODEL UNCERTAINTY ON SYSTEM TIMING INTO
THE AREA. DID LIMIT POPS ON HIGH END TO LIKELY. SNOW LEVEL WAS
TWEAKED TO ACCOUNT FOR ANY TEMPS OF 32 OR LESS...LOWERING THOSE
AREAS TO ZERO.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-036-041-043-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ042-051.

&&

FRITSCH/RWT