Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 129, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 4, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 4, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 5, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
580 FZAK51 PAJK 050029 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-051400- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... LOW PRESSURE IN THE NORTHERN PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF THROUGH SUN AND WEAKEN TO A FRONTAL TROUGH THEN LIFT OVER THE PANHANDLE SUN EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE YUKON AND BRITISH COLUMBIA. $$ PKZ011-051400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-051400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE 40 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. .SUN...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-051400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO GALE 35 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT LATE. .SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-051400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS LATE. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-051400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS LATE. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-051400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS LATE. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-051400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS LATE. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-051400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS LATE. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-051400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS LATE. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-051400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS LATE. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-051400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS LATE. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1 NM OR LESS IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
475 FZAK51 PAJK 051256 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-060100- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE IN THE NORTHERN PACIFIC WILL DRIFT NE INTO THE FAR SE GULF LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS INTO THE CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BAND WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF SE AK TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE YUKON AND BRITISH COLUMBIA. $$ PKZ011-060100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-060100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-060100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-060100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-060100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-060100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING AWAY FROM INTERIOR PASSES. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-060100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-060100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-060100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-060100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN DEVELOPING IN THE LATE EVENING. .MON...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-060100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING...STRONGEST WINDS OVER SOUTHERN AREAS. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT...STRONGEST WINDS OVER SOUTHERN AREAS. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
099 FZAK51 PAJK 051955 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-061400- 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE IN THE NORTHERN PACIFIC WILL DRIFT NE INTO THE FAR SE GULF LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS INTO THE CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BAND WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF SE AK TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE YUKON AND BRITISH COLUMBIA. $$ PKZ011-061400- GLACIER BAY- 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 UPDATED .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-061400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-061400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-061400- ICY STRAIT- 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 UPDATED .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-061400- CROSS SOUND- 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-061400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 UPDATED .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-061400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 UPDATED .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-061400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-061400- FREDERICK SOUND- 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 UPDATED .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-061400- SUMNER STRAIT- 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN DEVELOPING IN THE LATE EVENING. .MON...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-061400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1055 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT...STRONGEST WINDS OVER SOUTHERN AREAS. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
723 FZAK51 PAJK 060027 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-061400- 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... LOW PRESSURE WEST OF DIXON ENTRANCE WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHWEST TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BAND WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF SE AK TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ011-061400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-061400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ013-061400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-061400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-061400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-061400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE FOR A PERIOD LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-061400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-061400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT... EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT... EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-061400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-061400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-061400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT... EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 4, 3:10 PM AKST, 50 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 4, 3:10 PM AKST, 50 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
310 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012
.SHORT TERM...LOW PRESSURE IN THE NORTH PACIFIC HAS ALLOWED FOR
A SLIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE REGION TODAY...LEADING TO MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND DRYING CONDITIONS. AS THE LOW PROGRESSES NORTH
AND HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE YUKON AND BC...EXPECT LIGHT
WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH THROUGH THE INSIDE WATERS...BECOMING
STRONG FOR HAINES AND SKAGWAY LATE TONIGHT WITH MAX GALES IN
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL. OTHER AREAS WILL SEE THE STRONGEST WINDS
THROUGH INSIDE PASSES WITH LIGHTER WINDS IN BETWEEN.
INTERESTING TEMPERATURE SET UP FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THE LOW
MOVING UP FROM THE SOUTH IS ADVECTING IN WARMER AIR IN THE LOWER
TO MID LEVELS...AROUND 800 TO 3000FT. AT THE SAME TIME CLEAR
SKIES TONIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING AT THE
SURFACE ALONG WITH SLIGHT COLD AIR ADVECTION WITH THE NORTHERLY
FLOW. WHAT MAKES THIS COMPLICATED IS AREAS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL
ALLOW FOR THE WARMER AIR TO MIX DOWN...HOWEVER THE CAA MAY
COUNTER THAT. THEREFORE EXPECT COLDEST TEMPERATURES TONIGHT TO BE
IN WIND SHELTERED VALLEY LOCATIONS.
THE MOIST GROUND AND CAPPING TEMPERATURE INVERSION WILL CAUSE
AREAS OF FOG TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. AREAS WITH
A BIT MORE WIND WILL SEE LESS FOG POTENTIAL.
AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE SE GULF IT WILL WEAKEN TO AN OPEN
TROUGH ALONG THE ASSOC WARM FRONT. EXPECT SELY WINDS TO INCREASE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST WITH THIS FRONT BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
HAVE INCLUDED A STRONG WIND HEADLINE FOR THE HYDABURG AREA.
KETCHIKAN MAY SEE SOME GUSTY WINDS WITH THIS FRONT AS WELL...BUT
BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA. RAIN WILL REACH THE PANHANDLE LATE
SUNDAY MORNING AND SPREAD NORTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MOST
PRECIP WILL FALL AS RAIN...BUT A FEW AREAS TO THE NORTH THAT STAY
BELOW FREEZING WITH NORTHERLY CAA WITH SEE SOME SNOW FLAKES
MIXING IN.
MODELS DIFFERED ON HOW THE LOW PROGRESSES NORTH. THE NAM12 AND
GFS INITIALIZED WELL AND HAD THE BEST RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY SO
USED THAT FOR MOST UPDATES. FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.
&&
.LONG TERM...AT MID LEVELS A BLOCKING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN US
AND CANADA REMAINS IN PLACE FOR THE WEEK. 500 MB LOWS OVER HUDSON
BAY AND KAMCHATKA PENINSULA ALSO REMAIN QUASI STATIONARY. A
SERIES OF MID LEVEL TROUGHS WILL ROTATE AROUND THE STATIONARY
KAMCHATKA LOW THROUGH THE WEEK. WEAKENING FRONT WILL MOVE OVER
THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE SUNDAY EVENING AS ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IN THE AK GULF WEAKENS TO AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH. PRECIP OVER
THE PANHANDLE WILL DIMINISH FROM SOUTH TO NORTH IN THE EVENING.
PRECIP WILL START AS ALL RAIN AND IF THE FRONT REMAINS INTACT
LONG ENOUGH WILL SEE RAIN MIX WITH SNOW AS TEMPERATURES DROP
OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER SINCE THE FRONT IS FAIRLY WEAK NOT EXPECTING
MUCH SNOW ACCUMULATION WITH AMOUNTS LESS THAN 1 INCH. HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE BUT
AS PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS AS AK GULF DISSIPATES WILL SEE WINDS
BEGIN TO DROP SLIGHTLY OVER THE PANHANDLE. GRADIENT WILL INCREASE
MONDAY AS NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES UP FORM THE NORTH
PACIFIC INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF. THE TRACK OF THESE NEXT LOWS
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY REMAIN FAR ENOUGH TO THE WEST LIMITING ANY
PRECIP MOVING OVER OUR AREA. BY WEDNESDAY AN OCCLUDED FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW NEAR KODIAK WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE
ENDING THE BRIEF DRY PERIOD. FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY BY THE
END OF THE WEEK BUT THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEAST
GULF THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY MAY BE FAIRLY STRONG AND WILL
NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR WIND AND HEAVY PRECIP.
WHILE MODELS WERE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LEVEL
SYNOPTIC SCALE PATTERN MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY BY
DAY 2 WITH RESPECT TO SURFACE DETAILS. RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY FOR
THE GFS WAS A BIT BETTER THAN THE ECMWF BUT BOTH ARE SHOWING
LARGE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLES FORECASTS.
THE 12Z NAM AND 12Z GFS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE START OF
THE LONG TERM WITH THE 00Z AND 12Z ECMWF QUICKLY BECOMING AN
OUTLIER. THE 12Z UKMET SEEMED MORE OF A MIDDLE GROUND FOR SUNDAY
EVENING BUT ALSO BECAME AN OUTLIER WHILE THE GFS AND NAM REMAINED
IN LINE. EVEN THOUGH THEY WERE CONSISTENT DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE
GFS AND NAM EXIST OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE YUKON BORDER.
DECIDED TO BLEND IN SOME 12Z NAM BUT OVER ALL KEPT PRESSURE AND
WINDS GRIDS THE SAME. WIND DIRECTION OVER THE CENTRAL INNER
CHANNELS FOR THE START OF THE WEEK A BIT COMPLICATED. GEOSTROPHIC
FLOW KEEPS THE WINDS SOUTHERLY BUT PRESSURE GRADIENT KEEPS THEM
NORTHERLY. DECIDED TO LEAN MORE TOWARDS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SOLUTION. THE NEW HPC GRIDS WERE CHECKED BUT DECIDED TO HOLD OFF
USING IT FOR UPDATES AS IT WAS USING MORE OF THE ECMWF. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SUCH LARGE MODEL DIFFERENCES BUT AT
LEAST FOR THE START OF THE LONG TERM THOSE DIFFERENCES ARE MAINLY
WITH SYSTEMS JUST TO THE WEST OF OUR REGION.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR
AKZ027.
STRONG WIND FROM 3 AM AKST SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
AKZ025.
STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
FOR AKZ019.
STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-022-031-036-041-042.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-032>035-043-051-052.
&&
HANNON/PRBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 4, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 33 hr | |
| Feb 5, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Feb 5, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 21 hr | |
| Feb 5, 10:55 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 53 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.