Wind Advisory 16, NWS Fairbanks, AK

643 
WWAK73 PAFG 160448
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
848 PM AKDT SAT SEP 15 2012

AKZ223-161400-
/X.EXT.PAFG.HW.W.0007.120916T1400Z-120917T1400Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-120916T1400Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
848 PM AKDT SAT SEP 15 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT SUNDAY NEAR
DELTA JUNCTION...
...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM AKDT
MONDAY NEAR DELTA JUNCTION...

* LOCATION...NEAR DELTA JUNCTION...INCLUDING FORT GREELY AND BIG 
  DELTA. 

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 75 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO
  LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. PROPERTY DAMAGE MAY OCCUR.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN THE DELTA JUNCTION AREA
TONIGHT...WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH DEVELOPING. WIND GUSTS TO 75 MPH
ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MOST OF SUNDAY NIGHT. OTHER AREAS SOUTH OF
BIRCH LAKE WILL EXPERIENCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 60 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS WHICH MAY
BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

AKZ225-161400-
/X.EXT.PAFG.HW.W.0007.120916T0800Z-120917T1400Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
848 PM AKDT SAT SEP 15 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
AKDT MONDAY IN ALASKA RANGE PASSES EAST OF THE TOKLAT RIVER...

* LOCATION...ALASKA RANGE PASSES EAST OF THE TOKLAT RIVER... 
  INCLUDING THE NENANA RIVER CANYON ON THE PARKS HIGHWAY NEAR 
  DENALI NATIONAL PARK. 

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 75 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE SUNDAY
  AND MOST OF SUNDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. PROPERTY DAMAGE MAY OCCUR.
  WINDS GUSTS TO 50 TO 60 MPH WILL OCCUR IN AREAS NEAR HEALY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ226-161400-
/X.EXT.PAFG.HW.W.0007.120916T0800Z-120917T1400Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
848 PM AKDT SAT SEP 15 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
AKDT MONDAY ALASKA RANGE PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

* LOCATION...ALASKA RANGE PASSES WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF. THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE RICHARDSON HIGHWAY WILL BE FROM 
  BLACK RAPIDS NORTHWARD. 

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 75 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING
  SUNDAY AND MOST OF SUNDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. PROPERTY DAMAGE MAY OCCUR.

WINDS ALONG THE TOK CUTOFF WILL BE GENERALLY 15 TO 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

927 
WWAK73 PAFG 161211
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
411 AM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

AKZ223-162015-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-120916T1400Z/
/X.EXT.PAFG.HW.W.0007.120916T1211Z-120917T1400Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
411 AM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY NEAR
DELTA JUNCTION...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

* LOCATION...NEAR DELTA JUNCTION...INCLUDING FORT GREELY AND BIG 
  DELTA. 

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 75 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. PROPERTY DAMAGE MAY OCCUR.
  PEOPLE OUTSIDE COULD BE INJURED BY FLYING DEBRIS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE. 

&&

$$

AKZ225-162015-
/X.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120917T1400Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
411 AM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY
ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE...

* LOCATION...ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE...INCLUDING HEALY AND THE
  NENANA RIVER CANYON ON THE PARKS HIGHWAY AND MOST OF DENALI PARK.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 75 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. PROPERTY DAMAGE MAY OCCUR.
  PEOPLE OUTSIDE COULD BE INJURED BY FLYING DEBRIS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AKZ226-162015-
/X.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120917T1400Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
411 AM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY
ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

* LOCATION...ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE RICHARDSON HIGHWAY WILL BE FROM BLACK
  RAPIDS NORTHWARD.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 75 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. PROPERTY DAMAGE MAY OCCUR.
  PEOPLE OUTSIDE COULD BE INJURED BY FLYING DEBRIS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

&&

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
540 AM AKDT SAT SEP 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT...THE HIGH ENERGY PATTERN IS BEGINNING TO MATERIALIZE OVER
ALASKA. RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND EASTERN ALASKA
IN ADVANCE OF A DEEPENING LOW OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WHICH
WILL MOVE TO BRISTOL BAY 4AM SUN AND TO THE SEWARD PENINSULA 4AM
MON. MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR WILL
BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE SAT NIGHT AND SUN AM AS RIDGE BUILDS
OVER WESTERN CANADA. LOW 350 MILES NORTH OF BARROW MOVING TO THE
RUSSIAN ARCTIC COAST WELL WEST OF WRANGELL ISLAND. THE HIGH ENERGY
PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS THE RIDGE OVER CANADA
BUILDS AGAIN SINCE ANOTHER LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC BEGINS TO
CURVE NORTH TOWARD SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

SURFACE...995 MB LOW 370 MILES SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO
BRISTOL BAY 4AM SUN AT 974 MB. BY 4AM MON THE LOW WILL STRETCH
INTO TWO CENTERS..ONE NEAR KOTZEBUE AND ANOTHER NEAR BARROW...AT
ROUGHLY 978 MB. A WARM OCCLUSION WILL MOVE NORTH OVER NORTHERN
ALASKA TODAY AND TONIGHT WHILE A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
OVER THE INTERIOR AS THE SURFACE LOW TREKS NORTH SUNDAY...AT 4PM
SUNDAY THE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM GALENA TO SEWARD AND BY 10
PM SUN IT WILL EXTEND FROM ANAKTUVUK PASS TO NORTHWAY..BY 4AM MON
IT WILL BE OFFSHORE OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST AND STRETCH OVER
WESTERN CANADA.

MODELS...AGREE FAIRLY WELL ON THE OVERALL PATTERN CHANGE THOUGH
THE PLACEMENT OF THE SURFACE LOW AS IT TREKS NORTH IS QUITE
VARIED AND THUS PROVIDES A DIFFICULT FORECAST FOR THE WINDS ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE LOW OVER WESTERN ALASKA ON MONDAY. NAM IS PREFERRED
OVER GFS IN SPREADING PRECIP NORTH SOONER...BUT EVEN NAM MAY NOT
BE FAST ENOUGH.

NORTH SLOPE...LIGHT WEST WINDS BECOMING EAST SUNDAY AND INCREASING
SUN PM WITH EVEN SOME GALES OVER MARINE ZONES SUN NIGHT. RAIN
SPREADING NORTH SUN PM AHEAD OF OCCLUSION. WINDS INCREASING
THROUGH BROOKS RANGE PASSES SUN NIGHT.

WESTERN ALASKA...RAIN SPREADING NORTHWEST THROUGH SUN EVE. AS
COLD FRONT MOVES NORTH THEN EAST RAIN TURNING TO SHOWERS SOUTH OF
GALENA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND DIMINISHING TO SHOWERS OVER THE
REMAINDER BY MON AM. NORTHERLY GALES EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER MARINE
AREAS 210 AND 200 ALONG WITH A STRONG WIND HEADLINE FOR PUBLIC
ZONE 214. AS SURFACE LOW MOVES NORTH...SOME HIGH SURF POTENTIAL ON
SOUTH SIDE OF LOW...MAINLY NORTON SOUND MON AM AND KOTZEBUE SOUND
MON PM.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...A WEAK SHORT WAVE IN THE SOUTHWEST
FLOW OVER THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL PROVIDE SPOTTY
SHOWERS. BUT THE MAIN CONCERN IS THE INCREASING WINDS NEAR ALASKA
RANGE AS THE OCCLUSION MOVES THROUGH AND THEN THE COLD FRONT MOVES
EAST AND SQUEEZES THE GRADIENT EVEN MORE ON SUN. HAVE UPGRADED
WATCHES FOR ZONES 225 AND 226 TO WARNINGS AND BUMPED THE BEGIN
TIME UP TO MIDNIGHT. ELSEWHERE DOWN AT VALLEY LEVEL EXPECT
EASTERLY BREEZES FOR SAT NIGHT AND SUN. SOME RAIN SPREADING NORTH
OVER ZONES 219 AND 218 SUN. OVER THE REMAINDER RAIN POTENTIAL IS
JUST A CHANCE IF AT ALL.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...POSSIBLE HIGH SURF
SOUTHERN NORTON SOUND MON MORNING AND KOTZEBUE SOUND MON PM DUE
TO WEST WINDS ON SOUTH SIDE OF SURFACE LOW...THOUGH THIS DEPENDS
ON THE LOCATION AND MOVEMENT OF SURFACE LOW.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WATCH FOR AKZ223.

WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ227.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210.
&&

JL SEP 12