Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 9, NWS Fairbanks, AK

June 18, 2012

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jun 18, 2012, 2:01 AM AKDT. It was in force for 37 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jun 18, 2012, 2:01 AM AKDT (10:01 UTC)
Expired: Jun 19, 2012, 2:32 PM AKDT
In force: 37 hr
Issued by: NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

199 
FZAK51 PAFG 181001
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
201 AM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-190115-
201 AM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1014 MB HIGH NEAR DEMARCATION POINT WILL DRIFT SOUTHEAST TO 
GREAT BEAR LAKE BY 10 AKDT TUE. A WARM FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN
CHUKCHI SEA THIS MORNING WILL PUSH EAST TO PRUDHOE BAY THIS
AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE IN NORTHEAST RUSSIA WILL MOVE TO 200 NM
NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND BY 4 PM AKDT TUE AS A 989 MB LOW.

$$

PKZ225-190115-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
201 AM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ230-190115-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
201 AM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER NOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.WED...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ235-190115-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
201 AM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER NOON. FOG. VSBY LESS
THAN 1 NM IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...SW WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.WED...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-190115-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
201 AM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-190115-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
201 AM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

.TODAY...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

DA/CB JUN 12

3 follow-up statements

545 
FZAK51 PAFG 182258
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
258 PM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-191400-
258 PM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1015 MB HIGH NEAR INUVIK WILL DRIFT SOUTHEAST TO GREAT BEAR
LAKE BY 10 AKDT TUE. LOW PRESSURE IN NORTHEAST RUSSIA WILL MOVE TO
200 NM NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND BY 4 PM AKDT TUE AS A 989 MB LOW.

$$

PKZ225-191400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
258 PM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-191400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
258 PM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-191400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
258 PM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.WED...SW WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-191400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
258 PM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W. FOG.
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-191400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
258 PM AKDT MON JUN 18 2012

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

CF/MAK JUN 12

903 
FZAK51 PAFG 191009
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
209 AM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-200115-
209 AM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1003 MB LOW 150 NM NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY WILL MOVE TO BANKS
ISLAND THIS EVENING. A 990 MB LOW MOVING OFF THE NORTHEAST RUSSIA 
COAST WILL STRENGTHEN TO 980 MB 500 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WRANGEL
ISLAND BY 4 AM AKDT WED.

$$

PKZ225-200115-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
209 AM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ230-200115-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
209 AM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ235-200115-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
209 AM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-200115-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
209 AM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-200115-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
209 AM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT.
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

DA/CB JUN 12

970 
FZAK51 PAFG 192232
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
232 PM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-201345-
232 PM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
985MB LOW 500 NM NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL BE A 980 MB LOW 600 NM
NORTH OF BARROW BY 4PM THU. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA ON WED.

$$

PKZ225-201345-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
232 PM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. FOG.
.WED...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-201345-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
232 PM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-201345-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
232 PM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-201345-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
232 PM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-201345-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
232 PM AKDT TUE JUN 19 2012

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT.
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

MAK/RT JUN 12

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 17, 2:53 PM AKDT, 11 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 2:53 PM AKDT, 11 hours 8 minutes before

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
253 PM AKDT SUN JUN 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH AT LEAST 48
HOURS. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN OVER NORTHERN ALASKA TONIGHT
AND INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. 500 HEIGHTS WILL BE ON THE
RISE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

COLD FRONT THAT HAS MOVED ACROSS THE ARCTIC SLOPE TODAY HAS MOVED
INTO CANADA. A STRONG PUSH OF WARM AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT AND INCREASE THE TEMPERATURES ON THE ARCTIC COAST BY
SOME 20 DEGREES OR BETTER BY MONDAY.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN OVER NORTHERN ALASKA IT WILL
FORCE THE AREA TO BECOME MORE STABLE AND THUS LESS ACTIVE
CONVECTION. MUCH OF THE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ON MONDAY WILL BE IN
ZONE 224 AND SOUTHWARD AND EVEN THIS WILL BE LIMITED.

EXPECT STRATUS AND FOG IN MANY COASTAL ZONES. WITH ONSHORE FLOW
OVER THE WEST COAST...ZONES 207 AND 208 WILL BE PRIME CANDIDATES
FOR DENSE FOG.

THE GFS REMAINS THE WARMEST OF ALL OF THE MODELS WITH THE ECMWF
BEING THE COOLEST. IF THE GFS SOLUTION IS CORRECT FOR THE END OF
HE MID RANGE THEN TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE MID 80S OR SO.
THE ECMWF KEEPS THE TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S. THE WEST COAST WILL
EVENTUALLY SEE A COUPLE OF FRONTS SWING IN AND DROP THE
TEMPERATURES TO BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR BY THE END OF
THE WEEK.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HIGH ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER RH VALUES OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL INTERIOR THROUGH MON EVENING. RH
VALUES WILL HOVER IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS BUT SUMMIT WINDS HAVE
INCREASED AND WINDS MAY INCREASE TO MORE THAN 25 MPH IN THESES
WIND PRONE AREAS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FOR AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221-AKZ222.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ225.
&&

CF JUN 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 18, 2:04 AM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AFG		5 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012 Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.