Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 86, NWS Fairbanks, AK

September 5, 2012

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 5, 2012, 9:34 AM AKDT. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 5, 2012, 9:34 AM AKDT (17:34 UTC)
Expired
Sep 6, 2012, 3:18 AM AKDT
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

508 
FZAK52 PAFG 051734
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
934 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-060900-
934 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 981 MB LOW NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL MOVE TO NEAR KOTZEBUE
AND WEAKEN TO 991 MB BY 10 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY.

$$

PKZ200-060900-
NORTON SOUND-
934 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-060900-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
934 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-060900-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
934 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-060900-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
934 AM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

CF/JK SEP 12
2 follow-up statements
634 
FZAK52 PAFG 052217
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
217 PM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-061330-
217 PM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 985 MB LOW IN NORTON SOUND WILL BE ABSORBED BY A 986 MB LOW 300 NM
NORTHEAST OF BARROW BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA. A 1025 MB HIGH
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST TO THE GULF OF ANADYR BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ200-061330-
NORTON SOUND-
217 PM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
FOG... RAIN.
.THU...SW WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
FOG...RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-061330-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
217 PM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-061330-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
217 PM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-061330-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
217 PM AKDT WED SEP 5 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

SDB/JL SEP 12
395 
FZAK52 PAFG 061118
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
318 AM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-070230-
318 AM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
994 MB LOW 60 NM NORTH OF KOTZEBUE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST 15 KT AND
WEAKEN. 1008 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF THE PRIBILOFS WILL MOVE EAST.
IT WILL COME ON SHORE NEAR DALL POINT EARLY FRI AM. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SLOWLY BUILD OVER THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST.

$$

PKZ200-070230-
NORTON SOUND-
318 AM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY NOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-070230-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
318 AM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-070230-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
318 AM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012

.TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-070230-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
318 AM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

TF/JK SEP 12

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 4, 3:23 PM AKDT, 18 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 4, 3:23 PM AKDT, 18 hours 11 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
323 PM AKDT TUE SEP 4 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE 973 MB LOW 50 NM
NE OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES TO NEAR NOME BY WED AFTERNOON AT ABOUT 986 MB. THE TRIPLE
LOW CONFIGURATION WITH THE ASSOCIATED OCCLUDED FRONT WILL CONNECT
FROM ABOUT NOME TO UMIAT TO ABOUT 100 NM NORTH OF BARTER ISLAND BY
WED AFTERNOON. THE SURFACE LOWS WILL BE SOMEWHAT VERTICALLY
STACKED ALOFT AT THE END POINTS.

ON WED...THE LOW NEAR BARTER ISLAND WILL PULL NORTH AND DEEPEN AND BEGIN
TO BRING MUCH COLDER AIR DOWN INTO NORTHWEST ALASKA BY THU AND THU
NIGHT. CONTINUED LONG WAVE TROUGH PATTERN WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER
THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE WILL SEND RAIN OVER MUCH OF
NORTHERN ALASKA BY THU AND KEEP THE CONDITIONS MUCH COLDER THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REBOUND MUCH BEFORE
THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

UPPER LEVEL GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO TIGHTEN OVER THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR TONIGHT. THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO WINDS THROUGH THE ALASKA
RANGE PASSES REACHING 60 TO 70 MPH IN SOME OF THE WIND PRONE
AREAS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD RAPIDLY EAST AND
REACH THE ALCAN BORDER BY LATE WED MORNING. THEN THE FLOW BECOMES
SOUTHWESTERLY AND WILL BRING IN THE SHOWERS AND COLDER AIR WED
NIGHT AND THU TO NORTHERN INTERIOR. THE FALL PATTERN SEEMS TO BE
APPROACHING FAST OVER NORTHERN ALASKA.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...FAIRLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION
OF THE STATE WILL CAUSE THE RIVERS TO RISE SUBSTANTIALLY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ223-AKZ226-AKZ227.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ225.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ230-
PKZ235-PKZ245.
&&

CF SEP 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 5, 9:34 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG28 hr
Sep 5, 1:23 PM AKDTHigh Wind WarningAFG2 hr
Sep 5, 2:17 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG23 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.