Small Craft Advisory 59, NWS Fairbanks, AK

262 
FZAK52 PAFG 231157
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
357 AM AKDT THU AUG 23 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-240030-
357 AM AKDT THU AUG 23 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN INTERIOR THU NIGHT AND DISSIPATE. A STRONG LOW IN
NORTHEAST RUSSIA WILL MOVE TO THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA AS A 977 MB
LOW BY 4AM FRI AND TO 100 NM WEST OF POINT LAY AS A 988 MB LOW BY
4AM SAT. 

$$

PKZ200-240030-
NORTON SOUND-
357 AM AKDT THU AUG 23 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-240030-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
357 AM AKDT THU AUG 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT.
FOG...RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.FRI...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-240030-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
357 AM AKDT THU AUG 23 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-240030-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
357 AM AKDT THU AUG 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
FOG...RAIN.
.FRI...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FOG.
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AUG 12

299 
FZAK52 PAFG 232148
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
148 PM AKDT THU AUG 23 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-241400-
148 PM AKDT THU AUG 23 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A STRONG LOW IN NORTHEAST RUSSIA WILL MOVE TO THE CHUKOTSK
PENINSULA AS A 976 MB LOW BY 4AM FRI AND TO 100 NM WEST OF POINT
LAY AS A 986 MB LOW BY 4AM SAT.

$$

PKZ200-241400-
NORTON SOUND-
148 PM AKDT THU AUG 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING
TO 7 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.FRI...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. DRIZZLE AND FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. DRIZZLE AND FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-241400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
148 PM AKDT THU AUG 23 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
FOG...RAIN.
.FRI...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. DRIZZLE AND FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. DRIZZLE AND FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. DRIZZLE AND FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-241400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
148 PM AKDT THU AUG 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING
TO 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. DRIZZLE AND FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. DRIZZLE AND FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-241400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
148 PM AKDT THU AUG 23 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO
8 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.FRI...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. DRIZZLE AND FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. DRIZZLE AND FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

CF/DJH AUG 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
551 AM AKDT WED AUG 22 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH FRIDAY.
A LOW ALOFT JUST SOUTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND THIS MORNING WILL
MOVE SLOWLY NORTH AS A LOW DEVELOPS NEAR ST LAWRENCE ISLAND
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SECOND LOW WILL MOVE TO BRISTOL BAY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...THEN TO KODIAK ISLAND THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WILL BE PUSHED EAST
TO THE CANADIAN BORDER EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS THE WESTERN
ALASKA LOW MOVES RAPIDLY SOUTH.

AT THE SURFACE A 999 MB LOW JUST NORTH OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL
MOVE EAST OVER THE WESTERN SEWARD PENINSULA EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
THE ASSOCIATED OCCLUDED FRONT WILL MOVE AS FAR EAST AS THE WEST
CENTRAL INTERIOR BEFORE STALLING OUT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING
AROUND ONE INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAIN ALONG THE NORTHWEST COAST TODAY.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE INTERIOR WITH POSSIBLE FROST IN LOW LYING AREAS
THIS MORNING BEFORE WARMING TO THE LOW 70S THIS AFTERNOON.
CONTINUED MILD TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH MOSTLY
SUNNY CONDITIONS TODAY AND THURSDAY BEFORE MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST WILL SEE
AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS MORNING WITH VISIBILITIES TO ONE QUARTER
MILE OR LESS. THE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN ARCTIC
COAST WILL END THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY BEFORE RAIN MOVES BACK
INTO THE PICTURE ON FRIDAY. WINDS ALONG THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST
WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST TODAY 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
THIS MORNING. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WILL TURN TO THE EAST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ALONG THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...A 976 MB LOW WILL MOVE
INTO FAR EAST RUSSIA LATE THURSDAY EVENING...THEN INTO THE WESTERN
CHUKCHI SEA ON FRIDAY NIGHT. STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY SURF
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY
IN ZONES 208 211 212 AND 213. SOUTH WINDS TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED
FROM THE YUKON DELTA TO POINT HOPE THURSDAY NIGHT TURNING
SOUTHWEST ON FRIDAY. THIS COULD CAUSE HEAVY SURF ALONG SOUTH AND
WEST FACING COASTS OF NORTON SOUND...THE BERING STRAIT AND ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND...AND THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA FROM KOTZEBUE TO POINT HOPE
STARTING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS FOR
THE DRY CREEK FIRE. AREAS OF SMOKE SOUTH OF FAIRBANKS TODAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL REMAIN HIGH IN NW ALASKA
INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

RL AUG 12

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1255 PM AKDT WED AUG 22 2012

AKZ207-211>214-231200-
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-SOUTHERN SEWARD PENINSULA COAST-
EASTERN NORTON SOUND AND NULATO HILLS-
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-YUKON DELTA-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG...
NOME...WHITE MOUNTAIN...GOLOVIN...UNALAKLEET...STEBBINS...
ST MICHAEL...ELIM...KOYUK...SHAKTOOLIK...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...
BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...WALES...DIOMEDE...MOUNTAIN VILLAGE...
EMMONAK...ALAKANUK...KOTLIK...PILOT STATION...ST MARYS...
SCAMMON BAY...MARSHALL...NUNAM IQUA...PITKAS POINT
1255 PM AKDT WED AUG 22 2012

...STORM EXPECTED TO HIT THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY...

A STORM IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY. SOUTH WINDS TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM THE
YUKON DELTA TO POINT HOPE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
SOUTHWEST FRIDAY. FROM THE YUKON DELTA TO BERING STRAIT THE WIND
WILL DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT. FROM NORTH OF BERING STRAIT TO POINT
HOPE...THE WIND WILL DIMINISH ON SATURDAY.

FROM THE YUKON DELTA TO BERING STRAIT...TIDES WILL BE FROM 2 TO 3
FEET ABOVE NORMAL FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
FROM NORTH OF BERING STRAIT TO POINT HOPE...THE TIDES ARE EXPECTED
TO BE FROM 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THE TIDES THROUGHOUT THE
REGION ARE EXPECTED TO CREST FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING.

ROUGH SEAS AND SURF ARE EXPECTED IN THE WATERS FROM THE YUKON
DELTA...NORTON SOUND...TO BERING STRAIT ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. FROM NORTH OF BERING STRAIT TO POINT HOPE...ROUGH SURF IS
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

THE SURF AT NOME ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT A
FOOT ABOVE THE LEVEL IT REACHED WEDNESDAY MORNING.