Small Craft Advisory 45, NWS Fairbanks, AK

164 
FZAK52 PAFG 141224
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
424 AM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-150330-
424 AM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
1000 MB LOW PRESSURE 150 NM EAST OF
WRANGEL ISLAND WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTH 20 KT AND DISSIPATE TUE
AM. 988 MB LOW OVER THE NORTHERN SEA OF OKHOTSK WILL MOVE NORTH 25
KT OVER THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST THROUGH TUE NIGHT. IT WILL STRENGTHEN
TO 984 MB TUE PM. 995 MB LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD PAST CAPE
OLYUTORSKIY TUE PM AND STRENGTHEN TO BE A 992 MB LOW OVER THE GULF
OF ANADYR BY WED AM.

$$

PKZ200-150330-
NORTON SOUND-
424 AM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-150330-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
424 AM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT WEST OF SLEDGE ISLAND.
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT WEST OF SLEDGE ISLAND.
SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT...EXCEPT 35 KT WEST OF SLEDGE ISLAND.
SEAS 9 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FOG... RAIN.
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-150330-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
424 AM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG... RAIN.
.THU...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-150330-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
424 AM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.WED...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FOG... RAIN.
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

TF/DJH AUG 12

282 
FZAK52 PAFG 142135
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
135 PM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-151230-
135 PM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 985 MB LOW 600 MILES WEST OF THE GULF OF ANADYR WILL MOVE TO
300 MILES NORTHWEST OF POINT LAY BY 4 AM THURSDAY.

$$

PKZ200-151230-
NORTON SOUND-
135 PM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-151230-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
135 PM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 
10 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-151230-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
135 PM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-151230-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
135 PM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN AND FOG.
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

RF/RL AUG 12

711 
FZAK52 PAFG 150344 AAA
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
744 PM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

UPDATES ZONES 200 AND 210

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-151515-
744 PM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 985 MB LOW 600 MILES WEST OF THE GULF OF ANADYR WILL MOVE TO
300 MILES NORTHWEST OF POINT LAY BY 4 AM THURSDAY.

$$

PKZ200-151515-
NORTON SOUND-
744 PM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. 
.WED...S WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN
AND FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-151515-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
744 PM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM. 
.WED...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND FOG. VSBY LESS THAN
1 NM.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN
AND FOG.
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-151515-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
744 PM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND FOG.  
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-151515-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
744 PM AKDT TUE AUG 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.WED...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN
AND FOG. 
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

JB AUG 12

164 
FZAK52 PAFG 151207
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
407 AM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-160315-
407 AM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 980 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL MOVE EAST AND
WEAKEN. IT WILL BE A 985 MB LOW OVER THE GULF OF ANADYR AT 4 AM
THU. A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE GULF OF
ANADYR WED AM WILL EXTEND SOUTH FROM A 983 MB LOW 300 NM NORTHEAST
OF WRANGEL ISLAND AT 4 AM THU. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND OF ALASKA WILL WEAKEN.

$$

PKZ200-160315-
NORTON SOUND-
407 AM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.  
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-160315-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
407 AM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 35 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT OFF THE YUKON DELTA
INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER NOON. SEAS 9 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-160315-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
407 AM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT BY NOON. SEAS BUILDING TO
5 FT. FOG... RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-160315-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
407 AM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

TF/DJH AUG 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
141 PM AKDT MON AUG 13 2012

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM MODEL RUNS OUT THROUGH WEDNESDAY ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT.

SURFACE TROUGH AND FRONT EXTENDING EASTWARD FROM A 997
MB LOW NEAR 70N/157E WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY...REINFORCED BY AN UPPER LOW AND TROUGH MOVING EASTWARD
INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA...WILL BRING RAIN TO MUCH OF THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST COASTS BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNING...ALONG WITH SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS MAINLY 15-25 KT.

THE NEXT LOW ON LINE IS NOW IN ITS EARLY DEVELOPING STAGES...CENTRAL
PRESSURE AROUND 996 MB NEAR 62N/130E IN THE RUSSIAN INTERIOR. THIS
SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO DEEPEN TO AROUND 985 MB NEAR 67N/166E IN
EASTERN SIBERIA BY EARLY WED...THEN MOVE INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA
EAST OF WRANGEL ISLAND BY EARLY THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM AND ITS
ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL BRING ANOTHER PERIOD OF RAIN TO THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST COASTS ALONG WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS 25-40 KT.
ALONG THE NORTHWEST COAST...THERE MAY NOT BE MUCH OF AN
INTERMISSION BETWEEN THE PERIODS OF RAIN ASSOCIATED
WITH THESE TWO SYSTEMS. THE SECOND SYSTEM WILL SPREAD
RAIN INTO ZONE 202 AS WELL.

OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...UPPER RIDGING WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...HIGHS WILL
BE WELL INTO THE 70S IN MANY AREAS. UPPER RIDGING WILL ALSO PERSIST
OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR...BUT WITH 850 MB AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES
CLOSER TO NORMALS.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL...STORM SURGE OF 2 TO AROUND 2.8 FEET
WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25-30 KT AND SEAS TO 6-8 FEET OFFSHORE
EXPECTED LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT ALONG THE
SEWARD PENINSULA COAST FROM EAST OF WALES TO UNALAKLEET. WAVES
WILL DIMINISH AS THEY BREAK ONSHORE. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN SOME
ELEVATED SURF ONSHORE BUT CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE SERIOUS
ENOUGH TO ISSUE A HIGH SURF ADVISORY. IN THE NOME AREA...MAXIMUM
SURGE OF ABOUT 2.5 FEET IS EXPECTED DURING THE MID DAY PERIOD
THURSDAY...WITH MAXIMUM TIDES OF AROUND OF 4 FEET. AT
GOLOVIN...MAXIMUM SURGE OF ABOUT 2.8 FEET AND MAXIMUM TIDE OF
ABOUT 4.8 FEET EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE
OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND...SOUTH WINDS TO 30-35 KT WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL PRODUCE MODERATE SURF...SEAS TO 7-9
FEET OFFSHORE. WAVES WILL DIMINISH AS THEY BREAK ONSHORE. SEAS TO
7-10 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED OFFSHORE FROM THE NORTHWEST COAST
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT THE STRONGEST WAVE
ACTION WILL BE OFFSHORE. SEA LEVELS COULD BE AS MUCH AS 1.5 TO 1.8
FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEAST OF CAPE LISBURNE
TO WAINWRIGHT BUT WITH THE WINDS BLOWING APPROXIMATELY PARALLEL TO
THE COASTLINE...HIGH WAVES ARE NOT EXPECTED ONSHORE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WARM AND DRY TUE AND WED WITH MIN RH NEAR 30 PERCENT IN SOME
AREAS. INTERIOR SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT ON
TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH IN MANY AREAS WEDNESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE TWO WEATHER SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS...
WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS BEING ALONG SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
FACING SLOPES OF THE WESTERN BROOKS RANGE. ADDITIONALLY THE
SECOND SYSTEM MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN ZONE 211
AND IN THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF ZONE 210 WED NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. CURRENT GFS...NAM12 AND NAM40...AND ECMWF IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT ON A BROAD SCALE...RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON COULD 2-4 INCHES IN ZONES 208...1-3 INCHES IN
ZONE 207...1 TO LOCALLY 2+ INCHES IN ZONE 217...1 INCH OR MORE BE
AS MUCH AS 3-4 INCHES OVER THE SOUTH AND WEST FACING SLOPES OF THE
WESTERN BROOKS RANGE...AS MUCH AS 1 TO 2 INCHES IN ZONE 217...0.75
TO 1.5 INCHES IN ZONE 201 AND NEARBY AREAS IN ZONE 205. DOWNSLOPE
FLOW WILL RESULT IN MUCH LESS RAIN IN AREAS IMMEDIATELY IN THE LEE
OF THE BROOKS RANGE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME
SMALL STREAMS TO RISE TO NEAR OR ABOVE BANKFULL STAGES. EVENTUAL
RISES IN THE LEVELS OF LARGER RIVERS IN THE NOATAK BASIN ARE
POSSIBLE AS WATER MOVES FROM THE TRIBUTARIES INTO THE MAIN
STEM RIVERS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ235-PKZ240.
&&

RF AUG 12