Small Craft Advisory 33, NWS Fairbanks, AK

514 
FZAK51 PAFG 011322 AAA
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
522 AM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

UPDATED ZONE 235

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-020315-
522 AM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA
WED AND MOVE NORTH ON THU. A 999 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR
DEMARCATION POINT THU AND MOVE NORTH THU NIGHT. A 987 MB LOW NEAR
THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS WILL MOVE TO THE YUKON DELTA AS A 1000 MB LOW
BY 4AM THU AND THEN DISSIPATE.

$$

PKZ225-020315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
522 AM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. 
.THU...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-020315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
522 AM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-020315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
522 AM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT.  
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT.  
.SUN...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-020315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
522 AM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT. FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT.  
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT.  
.SUN...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-020315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
522 AM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

AUG 12

392 
FZAK51 PAFG 012150
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
150 PM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-021400-
150 PM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA WILL MOVE NORTH 
WED NIGHT AND THU. A 999 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR DEMARCATION
POINT THU MORNING AND MOVE NORTH THU NIGHT AND FRI. A 987 MB LOW
NEAR MEKORYUK WILL MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ALASKA WED
NIGHT AND THEN DISSIPATE ON THU.

$$

PKZ225-021400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
150 PM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-021400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
150 PM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-021400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
150 PM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-021400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
150 PM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-021400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
150 PM AKDT WED AUG 1 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

CF/DA AUG 12

042 
FZAK51 PAFG 020958
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
158 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-030100-
158 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1013 MB HIGH 500 NM NORTH OF DEMARCATION POINT WILL CONTINUE
NORTH TODAY.  A 998 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR DEMARCATION POINT
THIS MORNING AND MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH FRI. A 989 MB LOW WILL
DEVELOP 300 NM NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND BY 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ225-030100-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
158 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-030100-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
158 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT NORTH OF ICY CAPE.
SE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W SOUTH OF ICY CAPE. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING
TO 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SW WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-030100-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
158 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT.
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 35 KT.
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT.

$$

PKZ240-030100-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
158 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. DRIZZLE...FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT BECOMING N DECREASING TO 10 KT. FOG.
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 30 KT.
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-030100-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
158 AM AKDT THU AUG 2 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. DRIZZLE...FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

RL/CB AUG 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
139 PM AKDT TUE JUL 31 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH AT LEAST 60 HOURS. LONG WAVE
TROUGH PATTERN OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTHERN ALASKA WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THU. A COLD LOW FROM THE
ARCTIC WILL MOVE DOWN TO ABOUT 200 NM NORTH OF BARTER ISLAND BY
SAT NIGHT. THE ECMWF IS THE ODD ONE OUT WITH BRINGING DOWN AND
EVEN COLDER UPPER LEVEL LOW TO JUST NORTH OF BARROW BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH LOWER HEIGHTS EXTENDING ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE GULF OF
ALASKA.

STRONG SURFACE LOW IN THE BERING SEA WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD RAIN
EASTWARD OVER MUCH OF THE WEST COAST THROUGH MUCH OF WED AS THE
UPPER LOW SPINS AROUND IN BRISTOL BAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER
MUCH OF NORTHERN ALASKA WILL BE THE NORM FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS OR SO
AS SEVERAL SHORT WAVES TRAVERSE THROUGH THE STATE OVER THE NEXT
WEEK.

LIMITED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS FOR MOST OF
NORTHERN ALASKA WITH THEN EXCEPTION OF THE AREA NEAR THE ALCAN BORDER.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WINDS WILL BE GUSTY IN GAP FLOW BUT RH VALUES WILL
REMAIN OVER 30 PERCENT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

CF JUL 12