Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 183, NWS Fairbanks, AK

November 15, 2012

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 15, 2012, 1:36 AM AKST. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Nov 15, 2012, 1:36 AM AKST (10:36 UTC)
Expired: Nov 19, 2012, 2:35 AM AKST
In force: 4 days
Issued by: NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

164 
FZAK52 PAFG 151036
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
136 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-160145-
136 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 992 MB LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT SOUTHEAST
THROUGH FRI. A 1036 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA
AND RUSSIAN ARCTIC WILL DRIFT EAST OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH
THU NIGHT AND CONTINUE DRIFTING EAST ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA
THROUGH SUN. A 980 MB LOW NEAR THE SOUTHERN KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL
MOVE NORTH TO THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST MAINLAND BY FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ200-160145-
NORTON SOUND-
136 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-160145-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
136 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. BLOWING SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-160145-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
136 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-160145-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
136 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. STRONGEST WINDS NEAR
THE BERING STRAIT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

EWP/JK NOV 12

8 follow-up statements

692 
FZAK52 PAFG 152328
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
228 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-161430-
228 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1003 MB LOW JUST SOUTH OF BANKS ISLAND 3PM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY
EAST. ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE HIGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE HIGH WILL COVER
THE AREA FROM THE CHUKCHI SEA TO THE BEAUFORT SEA. A 992 MB LOW
IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT SOUTHEAST THROUGH FRI.
A 978 MB LOW EAST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE NORTH TO
THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST MAINLAND BY FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ200-161430-
NORTON SOUND-
228 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT.
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-161430-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
228 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT E 25 KT W OF ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT W OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT W OF ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-161430-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
228 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-161430-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
228 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

NOV 12

161 
FZAK52 PAFG 161304
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
404 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-170415-
404 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
1034 MB HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL ARCTIC COAST EXTENDS SOUTHWEST
THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT AND WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STATIONARY
THROUGH SUNDAY. A 977 MB LOW IN THE NORTHWESTERN BERING SEA WILL
MOVE TO THE NORTH CENTRAL BERING SEA SUNDAY MORNING AS IT WEAKENS
TO 1010 MB.

$$

PKZ200-170415-
NORTON SOUND-
404 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-170415-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
404 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND...OTHERWISE
E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND...OTHERWISE
E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND...OTHERWISE
E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-170415-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
404 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE 5 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-170415-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
404 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT THIS MORNING.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SDB/JK NOV 12

183 
FZAK52 PAFG 162317
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
217 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-171430-
217 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
1034 MB HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL ARCTIC COAST EXTENDS SOUTHWEST
THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT AND WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STATIONARY
THROUGH MONDAY. A 977 MB LOW IN THE NORTHWESTERN BERING SEA WILL
MOVE TO THE NORTH CENTRAL BERING SEA SUNDAY MORNING AS IT WEAKENS
TO 1015 MB.

$$

PKZ200-171430-
NORTON SOUND-
217 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-171430-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
217 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND...OTHERWISE
E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND...OTHERWISE 
E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-171430-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
217 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-171430-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
217 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

DA/TH NOV 12

451 
FZAK52 PAFG 171142
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
242 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-180500-
242 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
1034 MB HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL ARCTIC COAST EXTENDS SOUTHWEST
THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT AND WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STATIONARY
THROUGH MONDAY. A 991 MB LOW IN THE NORTHWESTERN BERING SEA WILL
MOVE TO THE NORTH CENTRAL BERING SEA SUNDAY MORNING AS IT WEAKENS
TO 1015 MB.

$$

PKZ200-180500-
NORTON SOUND-
242 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT.  
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-180500-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
242 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-180500-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
242 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 5 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT.  
.TUE...W WINDS 5 KT.  
.WED...E WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-180500-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
242 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  
.TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

CF/SDB NOV 12

166 
FZAK52 PAFG 172314
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
214 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-181415-
214 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1034 MB HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL ARCTIC COAST WILL MOVE EAST TO THE
SOUTHERN BEAUFORT SEA ON MONDAY. A 1019 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 400 NM
NORTHWEST OF BARROW MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE NEAR
BARROW MONDAY EVENING. A 1000 MB LOW IN THE NORTHWESTERN BERING
SEA WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA ON
MONDAY.

$$

PKZ200-181415-
NORTON SOUND-
214 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-181415-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
214 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-181415-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
214 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-181415-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
214 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

DA NOV 12

787 
FZAK52 PAFG 181122
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
222 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-190230-
222 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1028 MB HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL ARCTIC COAST WILL MOVE EAST TO THE
SOUTHERN BEAUFORT SEA ON MONDAY. A 1020 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 400 NM
NORTHWEST OF BARROW MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF
BARROW TO THE ARCTIC PLAIN AT 1023 MB BY TUE AFTERNOON. A 1013 MB
LOW IN THE NORTHWESTERN BERING SEA WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE
OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA BY SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ200-190230-
NORTON SOUND-
222 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-190230-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
222 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20KT BY LATE EVENING. 
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-190230-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
222 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUE...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-190230-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
222 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

CF/SDB NOV 12

874 
FZAK52 PAFG 182324
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
224 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-191430-
224 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND
SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH THURSDAY. STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE FAR WESTERN BERING SEA ON MONDAY WILL MOVE NORTH AND WEAKEN
OVER SIBERIA BY TUESDAY NIGHT.

$$

PKZ200-191430-
NORTON SOUND-
224 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT.
.TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-191430-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
224 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-191430-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
224 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-191430-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
224 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. SEAS CALM. 
.TUE...W WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

DA NOV 12

931 
FZAK52 PAFG 191135
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
235 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-200245-
235 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND
SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH THURSDAY. STRONG LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE FAR WESTERN BERING SEA ON MONDAY WILL MOVE NORTH
AND WEAKEN OVER SIBERIA BY TUESDAY NIGHT.

$$

PKZ200-200245-
NORTON SOUND-
235 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-200245-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
235 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-200245-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
235 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-200245-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
235 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. SEAS CALM. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

CF/SDB NOV 12

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 14, 2:48 PM AKST, 10 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 14, 2:48 PM AKST, 10 hours 48 minutes before

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
248 PM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT...LOW OVER SOUTHEAST BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO SOUTH OF KODIAK
ISLAND 3AM THU THEN CURVE NORTHEAST THROUGH FRI TO THE EASTERN
GULF OF ALASKA. LOW EAST OF BANKS ISLAND MOVING EAST WHILE SHORT
WAVE TROUGH MOVES SOUTH OVER EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA TO THE EASTERN
ARCTIC COAST 3PM THU THEN TO GREAT BEAR LAKE TO FAIRBANKS 3PM FRI.
RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE BERING SEA AND CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH THU AM
FORMING OMEGA BLOCK WHICH PERSISTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NORTHERLY
FLOW DEVELOPING OVER NORTHERN ALASKA WITH THIS SCENARIO BY FRI.

SURFACE...984 MB LOW OVER OUTER BRISTOL BAY WITH OCCLUSION OVER
THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND SOUTH OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA.
THE OCCLUSION WILL CONTINUE NORTHEAST TO MOVE FULLY INTO CANADA BY
3AM THU. THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA BY THU AM. A
LOW AT 80 NORTH LATITUDE AND 145 WEST LONGITUDE WILL MOVE TO
JUST SOUTH OF BANKS ISLAND 3PM THU THEN MOVE EAST. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA AND CHUKCHI SEA WILL DRIFT EAST TO
COVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN AND MOST OF NORTHERN ALASKA BY 3AM SAT.

MODELS...AGREE FAIRLY WELL IN SHORT TERM AS WELL AS THROUGH THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. OPERATIONAL ECMWF IN THE MID WEEK PERIOD
DOES SPLIT THE HIGH OVER THE BERING AND DEVELOPS A LOW IN ITS
PLACE WHICH IS DIFFERENT FROM THE GFS AND GFS ENSEMBLE.

NORTH SLOPE...WITH SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING SOUTH OVER THE EASTERN
ARCTIC EXPECT ANOTHER PERIOD OF WEST WINDS OVER THE EASTERN ZONES.
HAVE ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW FOR TONIGHT
AND THU FOR ZONE 204 BASED ON THIS AND THE PROSPECT OF LITTLE
SNOWFALL EXPECTED SO VISIBILITIES SHOULD NOT BE REDUCED AS MUCH.
AFTER THIS FEATURE THE HIGH AT THE SURFACE SHOULD MOVE OVER THE
ARCTIC OCEAN TURNING WINDS TO NORTHEAST AND KEEPING SPEEDS LIGHT.

WESTERN ALASKA...SKIES ARE CLEARING FROM THE NORTH AND THIS TREND
WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. A PERIOD OF CLOUDS WILL MOVE SOUTH OVER THE
NORTHERN ZONES WITH THE SHORT WAVE MOVING SOUTH OVER THE ARCTIC
OCEAN THUS AND THU NIGHT. COLDER TEMPS EXPECTED WITH THE CLEARING
SKIES AS WELL AS A COLDER AIR MASS. WINDS DIMINISHING THROUGH THU
AS THE HIGH BUILDS IN OVER THE AREA. SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS WILL
OCCUR OVER OUTER COASTAL AREAS ON COASTLINES WHICH FACE NORTH.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...THE WEATHER FRONT OVER SOUTHEAST
INTERIOR WILL PROVIDE SNOW TO ZONES 225 223 224 226 TONIGHT WHICH
WILL THEN DIMINISH THU AND THU NIGHT. AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED OVER ZONES 226 AND 224 WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES FOR ZONES 225
AND 223. ZONES 221 AND 222 SHOULD SEE SOME FLURRIES TONIGHT.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE OVER ZONE 218 AND NORTHERN 220 THU WITH
SYSTEM MOVING SOUTH FROM HIGH ARCTIC...THEN DIMINISH. OTHERWISE
SLOW CLEARING WILL OCCUR FROM THE NORTH THROUGH EARLY FRI ALONG
WITH COLDER TEMPS. NORTHEAST WINDS OVER SUMMITS WILL DIMINISH SOME
THU AND FRI...MAY PICK UP A LITTLE SATURDAY AS THE GULF OF ALASKA
SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN COAST.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ204.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ245.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ220-PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ240.
&&

JL NOV 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 14, 3:02 PM AKST	Winter Weather Advisory	AFG		26 hr
Nov 15, 1:08 PM AKST	Blizzard Warning	AFG		4 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012 Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.