Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 182, NWS Fairbanks, AK

November 13, 2012

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 13, 2012, 3:21 AM AKST. It was in force for 46 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 13, 2012, 3:21 AM AKST (12:21 UTC)
Expired
Nov 15, 2012, 1:35 AM AKST
In force
46 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

356 
FZAK51 PAFG 131221
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
321 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-140330-
321 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
990MB LOW NEAR 78N/120W WILL DEVELOP A NEW 994MB CENTER 50 NM WEST
OF BANKS ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON...AND THEN DRIFT SOUTHEAST. A 956 MB
LOW NEAR ADAK WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TO BE 100 NM NORTH
OF ST PAUL ISLAND BY 3AM AKST WED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER
THE CHUKCHI SEA.

$$

PKZ225-140330-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
321 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-140330-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
321 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-140330-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
321 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-140330-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
321 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WINDS 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. BLOWING SNOW.
VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-140330-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
321 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR
LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. VSBY 1 NM
OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT.
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT.

$$

EWP/JK NOV 12
4 follow-up statements
103 
FZAK51 PAFG 132254
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
154 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-141615-
154 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
COMPLEX 990MB LOW NEAR 78N/120W DRIFTING EAST. HIGH PRESSURE
OF 1034 MB OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA AND RUSSIAN ARCTIC WILL
DRIFT EAST OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH THU AND CONTINUE DRIFTING
EAST THROUGH SUN.

$$

PKZ225-141615-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
154 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   
.SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   
.SUN...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-141615-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
154 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT.   
.SAT...S WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   
.SUN...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-141615-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
154 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT.   
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT.   
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT.   
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT.   
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT.   
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT.   
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT.   
.SAT...SW WINDS 5 KT.   
.SUN...SW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-141615-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
154 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW.   
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW.   
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.   
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT.   
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT.   
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT.   
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT.   
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT.   
.SUN...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-141615-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
154 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 3 FT. BLOWING SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 2 FT. BLOWING SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 2 FT. BLOWING SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.FRI...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.   
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   
.SUN...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

JL/CC NOV 12
151 
FZAK51 PAFG 141114
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
214 AM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-150415-
214 AM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 998 MB LOW NEAR 85N/145W WILL MOVE SOUTH TO 150 NM WEST OF BANKS
ISLAND BY 3AM THU AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHEAST THROUGH
FRI. A 1033 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA AND
RUSSIAN ARCTIC WILL DRIFT EAST OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH THU
AND CONTINUE DRIFTING EAST ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGH SUN.

$$

PKZ225-150415-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
214 AM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-150415-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
214 AM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-150415-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
214 AM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT.  
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT.  
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT.  
.SUN...N WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-150415-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
214 AM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT.  
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 KT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-150415-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
214 AM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.THU...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT.  
.FRI...NW WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

EWP/JK NOV 12
392 
FZAK51 PAFG 142326
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
226 PM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-151430-
226 PM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 999 MB LOW NEAR 79N/145W WILL MOVE TO JUST SOUTH OF BANKS ISLAND
3PM THU AND THEN CONTINUE EAST. A 1033 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
CHUKOTSK PENINSULA AND RUSSIAN ARCTIC WILL DRIFT EAST OVER THE
CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH THU AND CONTINUE DRIFTING EAST ACROSS NORTHERN
ALASKA THROUGH SUN.

$$

PKZ225-151430-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
226 PM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 6 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-151430-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
226 PM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-151430-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
226 PM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-151430-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
226 PM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-151430-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
226 PM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

JL/CC NOV 12
506 
FZAK51 PAFG 151035
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
135 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-160145-
135 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1003 MB LOW 200 NM WEST OF BANKS ISLAND WILL MOVE TO JUST SOUTH
OF BANKS ISLAND 3PM THU AND THEN CONTINUE EAST. A 1036 MB HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA AND RUSSIAN ARCTIC WILL DRIFT
EAST OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH THU NIGHT AND CONTINUE DRIFTING
EAST ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGH SUN.

$$

PKZ225-160145-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
135 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-160145-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
135 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-160145-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
135 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-160145-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
135 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-160145-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
135 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

EWP/JK NOV 12

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 12, 3:26 PM AKST, 11 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 12, 3:26 PM AKST, 11 hours 55 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
326 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012

.DISCUSSION...
DYNAMIC WEATHER PATTERN FOR NORTHERN ALASKA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. 958MB LOW SW OF ADAK MON AFTERNOON WILL ONLY SLOWLY WEAKEN
AS IT MOVES TO NEAR ST PAUL ISLAND BY TUE EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED
OCCLUSION IS FRACTURED AND WILL INCREASINGLY BE SHEARED APART AS
MOST OF THE DYNAMICS PROPAGATE EWD INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA.
MEANWHILE...990MB LOW NEAR 80N/120W HAS A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE THE NORTH SLOPE MON NIGHT EVEN AS LOW MOVES
SWD. THE ASSOCIATED DIGGING TROF WILL NOT ONLY KEEP A COOL PATTERN
IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR BUT IS THE FORCING PREVENTING
THE BERING SEA LOW FROM MOVING NORTH OF 60N. SFC HIGH
CURRENTLY STRETCHES FROM NRN CHUKOTKA EWD ACROSS NRN INTERIOR
ALASKA WILL BASICALLY PERSIST BUT RECENTER OVER THE BROOKS RANGE
AS CRCLN FROM BERING THEN GULF OF ALASKA LOWS EXPANDS NORTH OF
THE ALASKA RANGE.

THE MODEL GUIDANCE HAS SOME VARIANCE IN HOW MUCH WX WILL BE LEFT
IN THE OCCLUSION AS IT MOVES NEWD. HOWEVER...THERE DOES SEEM TO BE
AGREEMENT THAT THERE WILL BE LITTLE OR NO FREEZING RAIN NORTH OF
THE KUSKO RIVER ZONES AND QPFS WILL LIKELY REMAIN BLO HALF AN
INCH. WITH IN CLOUD TEMPS UP ABOUT -5C AND FAIRLY STRONG SFC WINDS
RESULTING IN CRYSTAL FRACTURING...SNOW-LIQUID RATIOS SHOULD BE
NEAR 10-1.

MID-RANGE GUIDANCE IS ACTUALLY FAIRLY CONSISTENT...WITH RIDGE
ALONG ABOUT THE DATELINE DRIFTING EWD A BIT AND LONG WAVE
TROUGHING ALONG ABOUT 135W. THIS WILL BE A COOL AND MOSTLY DRY
PATTERN FOR THE CWA...WITH ERN ZONES HAVING LARGER NEGATIVE TEMP
ANOMALIES THAN THE WEST COAST.

NORTH SLOPE...NO CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE
WITH THE WARNINGS. BLIZZARD STARTING THIS EVENING SEEMS A NEAR
CERTAINTY FOR ZONE 204...WITH COLD ADVECTION...STRONG LOW LEVEL
WINDS AND A NWLY PRES GRADIENT TO ENHANCE THE BARRIER JET. BLIZ IS
LIKELY IN ZONE 203 AS WELL BUT WINDS NOT AS STRONG AND WILL NOT
LAST AS LONG.

WEST COAST...WITH THE OCCLUSION WKNG QUICKLY AS IT MOVES
NWD...THERE SEEMS TO BE ALMOST NO WINTER WEATHER ELEMENT THAT
COULD REACH WARNING CRITERIA. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT IN ZONE 215
EITHER SNOW OR FREEING RAIN MIGHT MAKE ADVISORY LEVEL AND THIS
WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED.

INTERIOR...IN THE SHORT TERM MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM IS PATCHY BUT
SLOWLY DECREASING STRATUS AND THE IMPACTS OF 20+ DEGREES ON VALLEY
TEMPS. WINDS WILL INCREASE MID-WEEK AS LOW IN THE GULF EXPANDS.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ203-AKZ204.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-
PKZ245.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ240-PKZ245.

STORM WARNING FOR PKZ210.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ220-PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ235-PKZ240.
&&

RT NOV 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 13, 3:36 AM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG35 hr
Nov 13, 4:11 AM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAFG25 hr
Nov 13, 4:16 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFG25 hr
Nov 13, 1:54 PM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG60 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.