Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 149, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 22, 2012, 3:04 AM AKDT. It was in force for 11 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 22, 2012, 3:04 AM AKDT (11:04 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 22, 2012, 1:42 PM AKDT
- In force
- 11 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
367 FZAK52 PAFG 221104 CWFWCZ COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 304 AM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012 NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ299-230215- 304 AM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... 1002 MB LOW JUST SOUTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND WEAKEN. IT WILL BE ABOUT 600 NM NORTH OF BARROW AT 4 AM TUE. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE INTERIOR OF ALASKA WILL HOLD IN PLACE. 986 MB LOW JUST OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA WILL MOVE NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN SEA OF OKHOTSK AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY MON PM. 979 MB LOW WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TO REACH KISKA ISLAND MON PM. IT WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TUE. THE WEATHER FRONT AHEAD OF THIS LOW WILL WEAKEN OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA ON TUE. $$ PKZ200-230215- NORTON SOUND- 304 AM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012 .TODAY...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. $$ PKZ210-230215- DALL POINT TO WALES- 304 AM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012 .TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ215-230215- KOTZEBUE SOUND- 304 AM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING... .TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS CALM. .TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .FRI...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS CALM. $$ PKZ220-230215- WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON- 304 AM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING... .TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS MORNING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. .TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ TF/JK OCT 12
1 follow-up statement
517 FZAK52 PAFG 222142 CWFWCZ COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 142 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012 NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ299-231230- 142 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 1010 MB LOW 400 MILES NW OF BARROW WILL MOVE TO 750 MILES N OF THE MACKENZIE DELTA BY 4 PM TUE WEAKENING TO 1024 MB. A 1026 MB HIGH 400 MILES NW OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL BUILD TO A 1040 MB HIGH 500 MILES NW OF BARROW BY 4 PM TUE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN ALASKA INTERIOR. $$ PKZ200-231230- NORTON SOUND- 142 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT. SEAS CALM. .TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT. SEAS CALM. .FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ210-231230- DALL POINT TO WALES- 142 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012 .TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ215-231230- KOTZEBUE SOUND- 142 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 5 KT. SEAS CALM. .TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. SEAS CALM. .WED...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .FRI...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. $$ PKZ220-231230- WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON- 142 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012 .TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. .TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ RF/CC OCT 12
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 21, 1:07 PM AKDT, 13 hours 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 21, 1:07 PM AKDT, 13 hours 57 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 107 PM AKDT SUN OCT 21 2012 .DISCUSSION... CURRENT SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL PROGS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 12Z TUE. 998 MB LOW NW OF THE GULF OF ANADYR AT 21/18Z PROGGED TO MOVE TO ABOUT 300 NM N OF BARROW BY 12Z TUE...FILLING TO AROUND 1020 MB. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ALASKA INTERIOR WILL WEAKEN A FEW MB TONIGHT THEN GRADUALLY REBUILD THROUGH TUE AS IT EXPANDS OVER ALL OF THE NRN AK MAINLAND. STRONG WINDS NEAR THE BERING STRAIT ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AROUND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON...THEN START TO DIMINISH. HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE BERING STRAIT AREA HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE SURF CONTINUING NEAR THE BERING STRAIT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AND NORTH OF KIVALINA THROUGH THIS EVENING. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED IN THE INTERIOR. COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4... A MODERATELY STRONG STORM IS PROGGED BY MODELS TO MOVE EWD OR NEWD ACROSS THE BEAUFORT SEA/ARCTIC OCEAN WED THROUGH THU. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR WRANGEL ISLAND AROUND 12Z WED. CURRENT MODEL SOLUTIONS DIFFER CONSIDERABLY ON TIMING AND TRACK...BUT ALL AGREE THAT THIS WILL BE A MODERATELY STRONG SYSTEM. THE WORST CASE SCENARIO AT THIS TIME IS PRESENTED BY THE GFS...DEVELOPING SW WINDS 30-40 KT FROM BARROW WWD WED...SHIFTING TO W 25-30 KT WED EVENING. HIGH SURF AND POSSIBLY COASTAL FLOODING COULD OCCUR WITH THIS SOLUTION. NAM WINDS APPEAR A BIT LESS THAN THE GFS THROUGH THE END OF THE NAM RUN. ECMF CARRIES THE LOW ON A TRAJECTORY MUCH FARTHER TO THE NORTH WITH NO WIND ISSUES FOR THE ARCTIC COAST. SO AT THIS TIME THERE IS HIGH UNCERTAINTY IN THE DAY 3 AND 4 FORECAST. FUTURE MODEL RUNS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED TO SEE HOW THIS SCENARIO DEVELOPS. && .AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ207-AKZ213. THE WARNING FOR AKZ213 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ235. GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230. && RF OCT 12
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 21, 11:36 PM AKDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1136 PM AKDT SUN OCT 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1229 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WALES 65.61N 168.08W
10/21/2012 M64.00 MPH AK AWOS
0842 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 25 S KIVALINA 67.36N 164.53W
10/21/2012 M61.00 MPH PKZ220 AK MESONET
RED DOG DOCK RDDA2
&&
JMALINGONearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.