Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 11, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jun 20, 2012, 1:22 PM AKDT. It was in force for 50 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 20, 2012, 1:22 PM AKDT (21:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 22, 2012, 3:17 PM AKDT
- In force
- 50 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
699 FZAK51 PAFG 202122 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 122 PM AKDT WED JUN 20 2012 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-211230- 122 PM AKDT WED JUN 20 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 975 MB LOW 500 NM NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO A 989 MB LOW 600 NM NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY BY 4 PM AKDT FRI. A TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE LOW AND INTO THE NORTHERN CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH THU. A SERIES OF WEAK LOWS WILL MOVE OFF CHUKOTKA AND INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH THU. $$ PKZ225-211230- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 122 PM AKDT WED JUN 20 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. .THU...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. .THU NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS CALM. .SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ230-211230- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 122 PM AKDT WED JUN 20 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG. .THU...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. .THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ235-211230- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 122 PM AKDT WED JUN 20 2012 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. .THU...SW WINDS 30 KT. .THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. .FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. .SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. .MON...E WINDS 15 KT. $$ PKZ240-211230- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 122 PM AKDT WED JUN 20 2012 .TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. .THU...W WINDS 20 KT. .THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. .SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. .SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. .MON...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ245-211230- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 122 PM AKDT WED JUN 20 2012 .TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. .THU...W WINDS 20 KT. .THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. .FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. .SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON...E WINDS 25 KT. $$ JK/RT JUN 12
4 follow-up statements
945 FZAK51 PAFG 210945 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 145 AM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-220045- 145 AM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 975 MB LOW 500 NM NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO A 989 MB LOW 600 NM NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY BY 4 PM AKDT FRI. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL EXTEND SOUTHWEST FROM THIS LOW INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH FRI. $$ PKZ225-220045- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 145 AM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... .TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. .TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. .FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ230-220045- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 145 AM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... .TODAY...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. .FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ235-220045- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 145 AM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... .TODAY...SW WINDS 30 KT. FOG. .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. FOG. .FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. .SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ240-220045- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 145 AM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 .TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. .TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. .MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ245-220045- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 145 AM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 .TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. .TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...S WINDS 10 KT. .FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. .SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ RL/RF JUN 12
009 FZAK51 PAFG 212122 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 122 PM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-221245- 122 PM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 989 MB LOW 600 NM NORTH OF BARROW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST. A WEATHER FRONT STRETCHING FROM THAT LOW A 1004 MB LOW NEAR ANADYR WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN CHUKCHI SEA FRI AND THEN TO LIE ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA SAT. $$ PKZ225-221245- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 122 PM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...DRIZZLE. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. .FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. .FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ230-221245- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 122 PM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG...DRIZZLE. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. .FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. .SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ235-221245- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 122 PM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT. FOG... DRIZZLE. VSBY 1 NM. .FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. FOG. .FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG. .SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. .TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. $$ PKZ240-221245- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 122 PM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 .TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. .MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. .TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. $$ PKZ245-221245- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 122 PM AKDT THU JUN 21 2012 .TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE. .FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT. .FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG. .SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON...E WINDS 20 KT. .TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. $$ JUN 12
448 FZAK51 PAFG 221056 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 256 AM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-230200- 256 AM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN CHUKCHI SEA WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND LIE ALONG THE NORTHWEST ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA SAT. A 1015 MB HIGH WILL MOVE NORTH TO THE CENTRAL ARCTIC COAST SAT AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST. $$ PKZ225-230200- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 256 AM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. .TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ230-230200- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 256 AM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 1 FT. $$ PKZ235-230200- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 256 AM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 .TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG. .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG. .SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. .TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. $$ PKZ240-230200- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 256 AM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 .TODAY...SW WINDS 10 KT. .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. .SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON...N WINDS 10 KT. .TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. $$ PKZ245-230200- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 256 AM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 .TODAY...SW WINDS 10 KT. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. .MON...N WINDS 10 KT. .TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. $$ RF/RL JUN 12
764 FZAK51 PAFG 222317 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 317 PM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-231400- 317 PM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN CHUKCHI SEA WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND LIE ALONG THE NORTHWEST ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA SAT. A 1015 MB HIGH WILL MOVE NORTH TO THE CENTRAL ARCTIC COAST SAT AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST. A 1002 MB LOW IN THE FAR WESTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AS A 996 MB LOW ON SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ225-231400- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 317 PM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. FOG. .SAT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ230-231400- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 317 PM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. FOG. .SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 1 FT. $$ PKZ235-231400- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 317 PM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. .MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. .WED...N WINDS 10 KT. $$ PKZ240-231400- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 317 PM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...N WINDS 5 KT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. .MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. .TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. .WED...N WINDS 10 KT. $$ PKZ245-231400- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 317 PM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012 .TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT. .SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. .MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. .MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. .TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. .WED...W WINDS 15 KT. $$ CF/MAK JUN 12
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 20, 4:23 AM AKDT, 8 hours 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 20, 4:23 AM AKDT, 8 hours 59 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 423 AM AKDT WED JUN 20 2012 .DISCUSSION... UPPER AIR...AN ELONGATED RIDGE ALOFT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WILL CONSOLIDATE INTO A CLOSED 570-572 DM CENTER ALONG THE YUKON/NORTHWEST TERRITORIES BORDER BY 00Z FRI. A DEEP VORTEX IN THE HIGH ARCTIC NEAR 80N 170W WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN CANADIAN ARCHIPELAGO FRI. A TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWEST FROM THE MAIN LOW WILL EXTEND INTO CHUKOTKA BY FRI. AN UPPER LOW ALONG THE KAMCHATKA COAST WILL MOVE TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BY FRI. SFC...A 976 MB LOW UNDER THE VERTICALLY STACKED HIGH ARCTIC LOW WILL ALSO MOVE EAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND WEAKEN. A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE LOW INTO THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA THU WILL MOVE EAST ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST. A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA WITH A 1032 MB CENTER NEAR ST GEORGE ISLAND WILL MOVE TO THE NORTON SOUND AND WEAKEN TO 1020 MB BY 12Z FRI. A WEAK AND ILL DEFINED THERMAL TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE YUKON AND INTO EASTERN ALASKA THE NEXT FEW DAYS. NORTH SLOPE...SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL MEAN CONTINUED VERY WARM TEMPS WITH HIGHS INTO THE 70S FOR MANY INLAND AREAS AND LITTLE OR NO STRATUS/FOG. A COLD FRONT PUSHING EAST FRI WILL LIKELY CAUSE SIGNIFICANT COOLING FROM ABOUT BARROW WEST. A MORE TYPICAL ELY FLOW REGIME LIKELY BY THE WEEKEND WITH A RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE TEMPS. INTERIOR...WARM AND MOSTLY DRY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE ELONGATED HIGH ALOFT GRADUALLY MOVES INTO NW CANADA. THE BEST CHANCE OF CONVECTION WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR AND ERN AK RANGE...BUT FOR TODAY WILL EXTEND THAT CHANCE WEST TO NIKOLIA. TEMPS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH FRI ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...BUT NOT NEAR RECORD LEVELS. THE WARMEST TEMPS WILL BE NEAR THE ALCAN BORDER WITH TEMPS CLOSER TO SEASONABLE ACROSS THE WRN INTERIOR. WEST COAST...AREAS OF STRATUS AND FOG EVIDENT ON SAT PICTS EARLY THIS MORNING ALONG MOST COASTAL AREAS SOUTH OF THE BERING STRAIT WITH ANOTHER PATCH FROM ABOUT POINT HOPE TO KIVALINA ON THE CHUKCHI SEA COAST. IN SOME AREAS THE STRATUS HAS PUSHED QUITE FAR INLAND. A FAIRLY LIGHT WIND REGIME SOUTH OF THE NORTON SOUND WITH BRISK SW FLOW TO THE NORTH OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MEDIUM RANGE...THERE CONTINUES TO BE LARGE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE OPERATIONAL GFS AND ECMWF HOWEVER DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE ENSEMBLE MEANS IS LESS TODAY THAN YESTERDAY WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE IN THE STRENGTH OF THE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND WESTERN AK SUNDAY. THE GFS SOLUTION CONTINUES TO BUILD A 500 MB RIDGE FURTHER WEST OVER THE WESTERN YUKON AND EASTERN ALASKA WHILE THE ECMWF DIGS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FURTHER EAST OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND WESTERN ALASKA. THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MODELS IS LESS WITH TODAY RUNS VS YESTERDAY. OPTED TO NUDGE THE MEDIUM TERM GRIDS WITH LATEST HPC GUIDANCE WHICH FAVORED AN ENSEMBLE SOLUTION. COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE && .FIRE WEATHER...544 CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES YESTERDAY. THE BEST CHANCE OF ISOLATED STORMS THE NEXT TWO DAYS WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR AND ERN AK RANGE...BUT TODAY WILL EXTEND THE ISOLATED STORMS WEST TO ABOUT NIKOLAI. OTHERWISE VERY WARM AND DRY FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN AK THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH MIN RH'S 15 TO 25 PCT IN MANY INTERIOR VALLEYS. && .HYDROLOGY...HIGH FREEZING LEVELS IN THE AK RANGE WILL EXPEDITE SNOW AND GLACIAL MELT. THIS WILL CAUSE THE SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS FLOWING OUT OT THE AK RANGE TO RUN FAST. THE GLACIALLY FED RIVERS WILL START TO SEE SOME RISES LATER THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEK. && .CLIMATE...YESTERDAY WAS THE 1ST 80 DEGREE DAY AT THE FAIRBANKS INTL AIRPORT THIS YEAR...WHICH WAS 10 DAYS LATER THAN AVERAGE. IN A TYPICAL SUMMER...THERE ARE A TOTAL OF ELEVEN 80 DEGREE DAYS AT FAIRBANKS. OVER THE YEARS...THERE HAVE BEEN AS FEW AS JUST ONE TO AS MANY AS THIRTY 80 DEGREE DAYS DURING THE COURSE OF A SUMMER. && .AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220. GALE WARNING FOR PKZ225-PKZ230. BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ235. && CB/CCC JUN 12
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.