Red Flag Warning 11, NWS Fairbanks, AK

351 
WWAK63 PAFG 222220
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
220 PM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITY FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN
INTERIOR...

AKZ220-231900-
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-120624T0800Z/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
220 PM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT SATURDAY
NIGHT. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT.

* 20 FT WINDS...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

* TIMING...LOWEST RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

137 
WWAK63 PAFG 231543
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
743 AM AKDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT
FOR LOW HUMIDITY FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN INTERIOR...

AKZ220-240745-
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-120624T0800Z/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
743 AM AKDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT
FOR LOW HUMIDITY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT.

* TIMING...LOWEST VALUES FROM 3 PM TO 7 PM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

461 
WWAK63 PAFG 232240
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
240 PM AKDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT
FOR LOW HUMIDITY FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN INTERIOR...

AKZ220-240800-
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-120624T0800Z/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
240 PM AKDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT
FOR LOW HUMIDITY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 12 PERCENT.

* TIMING...LOWEST VALUES FROM 3 PM TO 7 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

953 
WWAK63 PAFG 240435
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
835 PM AKDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR LOW HUMIDITY FOR A PORTION
OF THE NORTHERN INTERIOR...

AKZ220-240545-
/X.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-120624T0800Z/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
835 PM AKDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR LOW HUMIDITY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 



$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
144 AM AKDT FRI JUN 22 2012

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER RIDGING EXTENDS FROM A 572 DAM HIGH OVER THE SERN YT TO
KODIAK IS AND SWWD INTO THE PACIFIC. THIS RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH FRI...THEN GET SHOVED EWD INTO CANADA AS A SHORT
WAVE TROUGH MOVES NWD...EXTENDING FROM UNALAKLEET TO NORTHWAY BY
SUN AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LOW OVER THE SW BERING SEA WILL TRACK
EWD...LIKELY BECOMING AN ELONGATED OR DOUBLE CENTER EXTENDING FROM
KUSKOKWIM BAY TO THE KENAI PEN BY TUE AFTN. AS THIS FEATURE MOVES
EWD...FLOW ALOFT OVER THE SRN PARTS OF NRN AK WILL BECOME SELY
AND THEN ELY WITH HEIGHTS FALLING TO BELOW NORMAL BY TUE. THIS
TREND IS INDICATED BY THE OPERATIONAL GFS/ECMWF AND ALSO THEIR
ENSEMBLE MEANS. THIS WILL LIKELY BRING MORE MOISTURE INTO THE AK
INTERIOR AND INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CNTRL AND ERN
INTERIOR THROUGH SUN. GFS CONTINUES TO RUN A FEW DEGREES C WARMER
AT 850 MB THAN THE ECMWF OVER THE ERN INTERIOR...WITH THE LARGEST
DIFFERENCES NEAR THE ALCAN BORDER. BOTH MODELS AND THE ENSEMBLE
MEANS INDICATE COOLER TEMPERATURES BY TUE AS HEIGHTS FALL WITH
THE TRANSITION INTO A MORE MOIST FLOW PATTERN.

STRATUS AND AREAS OF FOG WILL REMAIN OVER NORTON SOUND
AND THE CHUKCHI SEA COAST NW OF CAPE KRUSENSTERN TODAY
WITH ONSHORE FLOW.

ISOLATED TSTMS OVER THE AK RANGE AND SRN INTERIOR TODAY AND
SAT....AND OVER MOST OF THE INTERIOR SUN. THERE SHOULD BE MORE
ACTIVITY SUN AS THE NWD MOVING SHORT WAVE PROVIDES UPPER LEVEL
FORCING AND A BETTER DEFINED SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH INCREASES LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MIN RH IN THE INTERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO BE BELOW PERCENT IN MANY
AREAS. A NUMBER OF SITES IN AKZ220 WERE IN THE 15-20 PERCENT
RANGE THU...A FEW SITES BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT THEY SHOULD NOT BE
AS GUSTY AS THEY WERE THU DUE TO THE WEAKER SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT. WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE
CRITICAL CONDITIONS...BUT SOME SITES IN AKZ220 COULD HAVE MIN RH
NEAR 15 PERCENT TODAY AND AGAIN SAT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
FREEZING LEVELS OVER THE ERN AK RANGE WILL REMAIN NEAR 10000 FT
THROUGH SUN...PERMITTING CONTINUED HIGH ELEVATION AND GLACIAL
SNOWMELT. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN HIGHER STAGES OF STREAMS AND
RIVERS FEEDING INTO THE TANANA RIVER...AND A VERY SLOW RISE IN THE
LEVEL OF THE MAIN STEM OF THE TANANA RIVER.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

RF JUN 12