Brisk Wind Advisory 9, NWS Fairbanks, AK

730 
FZAK52 PAFG 071221
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
321 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-080330-
321 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 996 MB LOW BETWEEN ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND ST PAUL ISLAND WILL
MOVE TO NEAR NOME AS A 1000 MB LOW SUNDAY MORNING...AND WILL THEN
DISSIPATE. A 1002 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 300 NM WEST OF ST PAUL
ISLAND LATE TONIGHT AND WILL THEN MOVE EAST TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND
BY 3 AM AKST MONDAY. A 970 MB LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
OF ALASKA THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY
OVER SIBERIA.

$$

PKZ200-080330-
NORTON SOUND-
321 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT.
.SUN...S WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER NOON.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT.
.TUE...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 25 KT.

$$

PKZ210-080330-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
321 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING NE 15 KT FROM SAINT
LAWRENCE ISLAND SOUTH AND WEST. SNOW. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT SE WINDS 15 KT EAST OF ST
LAWRENCE ISLAND IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT SOUTH OF ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT.
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-080330-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
321 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-080330-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
321 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

DJH/CB JAN 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
143 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012

.DISCUSSION...COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE BERING STRAIT
CONTINUES TO SLOWLY RETREAT WESTWARD AS RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE
YUKON AND BC BUILDS SLIGHTLY. A STRONG SHORT WAVE WITH A 991 MB
SURFACE REFLECTION OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTHEAST ALONG THE BACK SIDE OF THE RIDGE.

SNOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR WITH
GENERALLY 1 TO 3 INCHES REPORTED. SATELLITE AND RADAR INDICATE THE
SPREAD AND INTENSITY OF THE SNOW IS DIMINISHING. SKIES ARE
BEGINNING TO SCATTER OUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AS THE SYSTEM
PULLS TO THE NORTH THROUGH THE EASTERN INTERIOR. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO DROP ACROSS THE CENTRAL INTERIOR THIS EVENING AS
SKIES CONTINUE TO SCATTER OUT.

AN ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NORTH OF PASC AND PABA CONTINUES
TO DEEPEN. THE 12Z GFS IS ABOUT 4 MB HIGHER WITH THIS FEATURE AS
COMPARED TO THE NAM12. FAVORED THE NAM12 ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS FEATURE AND EXPECT WEST WINDS TO INCREASE THIS EVENING ALONG
THE NORTH SLOPE COAST ESPECIALLY EAST OF BARROW. WINDS NEAR PABA
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 30 MPH WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES ALONG THE
EASTERN NORTH SLOPE ALONG WITH INCREASING WINDS WILL PUSH WIND
CHILL VALUES TO NEAR ADVISORY LEVELS BEGINNING THIS EVENING AND
CONTINUING THROUGH TOMORROW.

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND FRIGID CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE
WESTERN INTERIOR AND WEST COAST. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE A
STRONG LOW DEVELOPING IN THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUESDAY MORNING AND
MOVING NORTHEAST INTO BRISTOL BAY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE LOW IS
PROGGED TO CONTINUE TO THE NORTHEAST AND MOVE INTO THE INTERIOR
THURSDAY. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE FORECAST AREA
STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD BRING SIGNIFICANT
WARMING ALONG THE WEST COAST AND INTERIOR.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ226.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CCC JAN 12