Brisk Wind Advisory 83, NWS Fairbanks, AK

022 
FZAK52 PAFG 132205
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
205 PM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-141400-
205 PM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AROUND A 1030 MB HIGH OVER
MAINLAND SIBERIA WILL RETREAT SLOWLY TO THE WEST. A BROAD AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE AROUND A 980 MB LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL REMAIN
OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA. A 981 MB LOW 100 NM
SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR TUE PM WILL SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD BY WED
AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ200-141400-
NORTON SOUND-
205 PM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-141400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
205 PM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-141400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
205 PM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT...EXCEPT W WINDS 10 KT SOUTH OF CAPE
ESPENBERG.
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT...EXCEPT W WINDS 10 KT SOUTH OF CAPE
ESPENBERG. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-141400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
205 PM AKDT TUE MAR 13 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

CF/DJH MAR 12

477 
FZAK52 PAFG 140927
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
127 AM AKDT WED MAR 14 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-150015-
127 AM AKDT WED MAR 14 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AROUND A 1030 MB HIGH OVER
MAINLAND SIBERIA WILL RETREAT SLOWLY TO THE WEST. A BROAD AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE AROUND A 980 MB LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL REMAIN
OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA. 

$$

PKZ200-150015-
NORTON SOUND-
127 AM AKDT WED MAR 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-150015-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
127 AM AKDT WED MAR 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-150015-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
127 AM AKDT WED MAR 14 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-150015-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
127 AM AKDT WED MAR 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

JK MAR 12

762 
FZAK52 PAFG 142132
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
132 PM AKDT WED MAR 14 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-151400-
132 PM AKDT WED MAR 14 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AROUND A 1030 MB HIGH OVER
MAINLAND SIBERIA WILL EXPAND SLOWLY TO THE EAST WHERE A 1026 MB
HIGH WILL FORM OVER THE ARCTIC COAST BY FRI AFTERNOON. A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AROUND A 980 MB LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA
WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA AND WEAKEN TO 989
MB BY LATE FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ200-151400-
NORTON SOUND-
132 PM AKDT WED MAR 14 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-151400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
132 PM AKDT WED MAR 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW.  
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW.  
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW.  
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT.  
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT.  
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...N WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-151400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
132 PM AKDT WED MAR 14 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT WEST WINDS 10 KT SOUTH OF CAPE
ESPENBERG. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT...EXCEPT WEST WINDS 10 KT SOUTH OF CAPE
ESPENBERG. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W.  
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT.  
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-151400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
132 PM AKDT WED MAR 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT WELL OFFSHORE. BLOWING
SNOW. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT WELL OFFSHORE. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

CF/DJH MAR 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
325 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE GFS AND NAM COMPUTER WEATHER FORECAST MODELS ARE IN SYNC. A
COLD TROUGH ALOFT NOW EXTENDS FROM BARTER ISLAND TO A CLOSED LOW
NEAR MCGRATH. THE NAM AND GFS FORECAST THE MCGRATH LOW TO MOVE
SOUTHWEST TO BETHEL BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND TO CONTINUE
DRIFTING SOUTHWARD THROUGH FRIDAY. THE NORTH PORTION OF THE TROUGH
ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER BARTER ISLAND. COLD NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT
WILL STRENGTHEN SOME OVER THE ARCTIC AND WESTERN COASTAL REGIONS
OF THE REALM. IN TANDEM WITH THIS...COASTAL REGION NORTH WINDS
WILL INCREASE SOME...AND MEET BRISK WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR THE
REST OF THIS WEEK.

THE GFS MODEL FORECASTS THE TROUGH ALOFT TO SHIFT TO AN AXIS FROM
PRUDHOE BAY TO KODIAK EARLY NEXT WEEK. A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST WILL BUILD OVER THE
BERING SEA THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. THIS PATTERN IS QUITE A STABLE
ONE...AND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. THERE WILL
BE VERY LITTLE PRECIPITATION IN THE REALM UNTIL THE PATTERN
CHANGES. THAT WILL TAKE AT LEAST 10 DAYS.

TO THE EAST OF THE TROUGH ALOFT...WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO BRING EASTERN INTERIOR TEMPERATURES UP A LITTLE LATER
THIS WEEK.

A 967 MB LOW NOW 250 MILES NORTH OF AMCHITKA ISLAND HAS BEEN WELL
FORECAST BY THE MODELS. IT IS NOW WEAKENING AND HEADED
EASTWARD...AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE PAST DUTCH HARBOR EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. OTHER THAN BRINGING A LITTLE ENERGY TO THE NORTHERLY
SURFACE WINDS TO THE CHUKCHI AND BERING SEA COASTAL REGIONS THIS
SYSTEM WILL HAVE VERY LITTLE EFFECT IN NORTHERN ALASKA.

THE LARGE BODY OF ARCTIC AIR IN THE TROUGH ALOFT OVER ALASKA WILL
ACT AS AN EFFECTIVE BARRIER TO PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS. ONCE
THE LOW NOW IN THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA PASSES EASTWARD...THE NORTH
PACIFIC STORM TRACK WILL BE FAR TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
MAINLAND.

OVERALL...ALL ASPECTS OF CIRCULATION OVER ALASKA AND THE BERING
SEA ARE VERY STABLE. RATHER COOL SPRING WEATHER LOOKS LIKE IT WILL
CONTINUE FOR SOME TIME. ASIDE FROM PERSISTENT LOW CLOUDS AND
FLURRIES OVER THE ARCTIC SLOPE...SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING
STRAIT...THE WEATHER OVER NORTHERN ALASKA WILL BE CLEAR IN THE
WEST AND PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN INTERIOR FOR SOME
TIME.

EARLY AFTERNOON POLAR ORBITING SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LINGERING
LOW CLOUDS OVER THE ARCTIC COAST AND PART OF THE INLAND COASTAL
PLAIN...AND ALSO OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT. THE
EXTENT OF THE LOW CLOUDS OVER THE ARCTIC SLOPE HAS DECREASED SOME
IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE SOUTHEASTERN INTERIOR REMAINS MOSTLY
CLOUDY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

TF MAR 12