Brisk Wind Advisory 75, NWS Fairbanks, AK

356 
FZAK52 PAFG 051100
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
200 AM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-060200-
200 AM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 975 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF CAPE OLYUTORSKIY IN THE WESTERN
BERING SEA WILL MOVE EAST. IT WILL BE A 990 MB LOW 300 NM
SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL AT 3 AM TUE. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
BETWEEN THE PRIBILOFS AND SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND MOVE NORTH TO ST
LAWRENCE ISLAND AND NORTON SOUND MON AFTERNOON...THEN TO KOTZEBUE
SOUND MON EVENING.

$$

PKZ200-060200-
NORTON SOUND-
200 AM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. BLOWING
SNOW. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT BECOMING W. SNOW.
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT.
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-060200-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
200 AM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. BLOWING 
SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-060200-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
200 AM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING.
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-060200-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
200 AM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT.
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT.
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

DA/TF MAR 12

749 
FZAK52 PAFG 052249
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
149 PM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-061400-
149 PM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 988 MB LOW IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTHWEST 
OF GAMBELL AT 3 AM TUE AS A 992 MB LOW. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER
FRONT NEAR KOTZEBUE WILL DISSIPATE BY LATE MON NIGHT. A 995 MB LOW
WILL DEVELOP NEAR DEMARCATION POINT LATE MON NIGHT AND MOVE EAST
THROUGH TUE.

$$

PKZ200-061400-
NORTON SOUND-
149 PM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT BECOMING W 20 KT LATE MON EVENING. SNOW.
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-061400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
149 PM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-061400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
149 PM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT LATE THIS EVENING. 
BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-061400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
149 PM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

CF/CWA MAR 12

676 
FZAK52 PAFG 061112
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
212 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-070215-
212 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 992 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL AT 3 AM AKST TUE WILL 
MOVE INLAND NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND TUE NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER
FRONT OVER NORTON SOUND WILL DISSIPATE MON AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SIBERIA TUE...THEN PERSIST THROUGH WED.
STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST BERING SEA FROM THE
NORTH PACIFIC WED AND THEN MOVE EAST.

$$

PKZ200-070215-
NORTON SOUND-
212 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

.TODAY...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING NORTH TO 15 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-070215-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
212 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-070215-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
212 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-070215-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
212 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

DA/TF MAR 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
333 AM AKST SUN MAR 4 2012

.DISCUSSION...

A FAIRLY ACTIVE AND PROGRESSIVE PATTERN EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

UPPER AIR...A TROUGH ALONG THE NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST WILL SWING
ACROSS THE BROOKS RANGE THIS AFTERNOON AND THE FAR NORTHEAST
INTERIOR TONIGHT BEFORE EXITING INTO CANADA. A DEEPENING LOW NEAR
THE SOUTHERN KAMCHATKA COAST MOVES INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA
THIS EVENING FORCING A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE TO BUILD ALONG THE WESTERN
MAINLAND. THE TROUGH AND RIDGE WILL BE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE
TROUGH PUSHING EAST AND INTO THE WEST COAST BY MON NIGHT.

SFC...AN OLD 1002 MB LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF AK WILL CONTINUE
TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS OFF TOWARD THE AK
PANHANDLE. A 1037 MB HIGH CENTERED JUST WEST OF WRANGEL ISLAND
WILL SPLIT INTO TWO CENTERS. ONE CENTER WILL RETREAT BACK INTO
SIBERIA WITH A SECOND WEAKER CENTER MOVING ACROSS THE BROOKS RANGE
AND NORTHERN INTERIOR TONIGHT BEFORE SLIDING OFF INTO NW CANADA
MONDAY. A LOW IS VISIBLE ON SAT PIX RAPIDLY DEEPENING IN THE FAR
SE BERING SEA. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH AND DEEPEN
TODAY WITH MOST OF THE MODELS HAVING THE LOW AROUND 970 MILLIBARS
BY THIS EVENING. THE LOW THEN BEGINS TO MOVE EAST AND SLOWLY
WEAKENS MON INTO TUE. A FAIRLY STRONG OCCLUSION IS EXPECTED TO
EXTEND FROM THE LOW TO ST MATTHEW ISLAND AND THE AK PENINSULA MON
MORNING. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTH TO NEAR ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND AND THE NORTON SOUND BY MON EVE.

INTERIOR...SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TODAY FROM THE
WEST WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST OF FAIRBANKS.  SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
WESTERN INTERIOR BY LATE MON AFTERNOON OR MON EVENING AND SPREAD
EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE INTERIOR MON NIGHT INTO TUE.
STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS A GOOD SET UP FOR GETTING A FEW TO
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE INTERIOR. IT
LOOKS LIKELY THAT SOME ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED FOR SNOWFALL AND
THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ON THE SUMMITS.

NORTH SLOPE...CONTINUE COLD WEATHER FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.  AN
UPPER TROUGH ALONG THE NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST SWINGS ACROSS THE
ARCTIC COAST THIS MORNING AND EXITS INTO CANADA TON. THIS WILL AID TO
REINFORCE THE COLD AIR MASS THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE. THE WIND
HAS DIMINISHED TO AROUND 10 MPH AT BARTER ISLAND BUT IS EXPECTED
TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...WHICH WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS IN THE 50 TO 60 BELOW
RANGE. WILL EXTEND THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN ZONE 204 THROUGH
TONIGHT AND WILL PUT SOME LANGUAGE IN THE STATEMENT THAT THE WIND
WILL PICK UP AGAIN LATER THIS MORNING OR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. IT
ALSO LOOKS LIKE THE WIND WILL INCREASE ENOUGH ALONG THE CENTRAL
BEAUFORT SEA COAST BY THIS AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE WIND CHILLS TO 70
BELOW SO WILL ISSUE A WIND CHILL WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT. FURTHER
WEST...FROM BARROW SOUTH AND WEST THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LIGHT. THE WIND ALONG THE BEAUFORT SEA COAST SHOULD BEGIN TO
DIMINISH MONDAY MORNING.

WEST COAST...STILL GETTING ENOUGH WIND AT POINT HOPE AND THROUGH THE
BERING STRAIT FOR ADVISORY LEVEL WIND CHILLS.  THE GRADIENT WILL
CONTINUE TO RELAX TODAY SO THE LOW WIND CHILLS WILL BECOME LESS
HARSH BY THIS AFTERNOON.  THE INCOMING OCCLUSION WILL SPREAD SNOW TO
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND TO THE Y-K DELTA BY LATE TONIGHT/EARLY MONDAY
MORNING.  THE SNOW WILL SPREAD TO THE NORTH AND EAST DURING THE DAY
MONDAY REACHING AS FAR NORTH AND EAST AS GALENA BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON.  SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 3 TO 6 INCH
RANGE FOR MUCH OF THE WEST COAST FROM THE SEWARD PENINSULA SOUTH.
THIS WILL LIKELY REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
EITHER LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ZONES 211-212-213-214-215-216.
IT STILL APPEARS THAT THERE MAYBE ENOUGH WIND RIGHT AT THE ONSET
OF THE SNOW AT GAMBELL FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.
THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IF THEY SHOULD DEVELOP WOULD LIKELY BE
SHORT LIVED AS THE OCCLUSION MOVES NORTH DURING THE DAY MONDAY AND
THE WIND BEGINS TO WEAKEN. FOR NOW THE PLAN IS TO BEEF UP THE
LANGUAGE IN THE ZONES TO MENTION ACCUMULATIONS ON MONDAY AND
POTENTIAL BLOWING SNOW ISSUES ON ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND ALONG THE
Y-K DELTA.

IN THE MEDIUM RANGE...IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM THAT MOVES EAST
ACROSS THE INTERIOR AT THE END OF THE SHORT TERM IT DRIES OUT AND
MUCH OF THE MAINLAND COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A COLD UPPER
TROUGH ALOFT.  THIS SHOULD KEEP TEMPS BELOW NORMAL WITH THE MAIN
STORM TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA AND INTO THE GULF OF
ALASKA.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ204-AKZ207-AKZ213.

WIND CHILL WARNING FOR AKZ203.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ245.
&&

CB MAR 12