Brisk Wind Advisory 6, NWS Fairbanks, AK

557 
FZAK51 PAFG 052255
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
155 PM AKST THU JAN 5 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-061400-
155 PM AKST THU JAN 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1032 MB HIGH OVER EASTERN SIBERIA AND A 1030 MB HIGH LOCATED 600
NM NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY. A
LOW PRESSURE TROUGH ALONG THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTH.

$$

PKZ225-061400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
155 PM AKST THU JAN 5 2012

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-061400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
155 PM AKST THU JAN 5 2012

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-061400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
155 PM AKST THU JAN 5 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-061400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
155 PM AKST THU JAN 5 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-061400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
155 PM AKST THU JAN 5 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

CCC/DA JAN 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
209 PM AKST WED JAN 4 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT 48 HOURS. COLD UPPER
LEVEL LOW OVER WEST COAST WILL CONTINUE ITS INFLUENCE THROUGH THE
FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER NORTHERN
ALASKA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH THE ONLY EXCEPTION OF
SOME SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR ON THU. IT WILL BE
SHORT LIVED AS THE COLDER AIR PUSHES BACK IN FROM THE WEST ON THU
NIGHT AND FRI. ANOTHER WAVE WILL MOVE NORTH ON SAT BRINGING WITH
IT A LITTLE WARMER AIR TO THE EASTERN INTERIOR.

WINDS ON THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST WILL INCREASE BUT WIND CHILLS MAY
STAY JUST ABOVE WIND CHILL CRITERIA.

SEVERAL SHORT WAVES OR WASHING OUT OCCLUSIONS WILL WORK THEIR WAY
NORTH THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. WITH COLDER AIR IN
PLACE....THERE WILL BE AMPLE OPPORTUNITY FOR OVERRUNNING SNOWFALL.

LOOKING AT THE MID RANGE MODELS...THE GFS SUGGESTS THAT THE COLD
AIR WILL BE LOCKED IN OVER NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. THE ECMWF IS A LITTLE MORE HOSPITABLE WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES FILLING IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF THE BUILDING
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ213.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CF JAN 12