Brisk Wind Advisory 51, NWS Fairbanks, AK

988 
FZAK51 PAFG 081126
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
226 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-090230-
226 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1008 MB LOW OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA WILL MOVE NORTH AND DISSIPATE
BY THIS AFTERNOON. A 1022 MB HIGH WILL PERSIST OVER FAR EAST
RUSSIA THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK LOW WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY EVENING
AND PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE EASTERN ARCTIC
COAST...THEN DRIFT NORTHEAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ225-090230-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
226 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
BLOWING SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-090230-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
226 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-090230-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
226 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-090230-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
226 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT.
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-090230-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
226 AM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT AFTER NOON.
BLOWING SNOW IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT BECOMING W. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RL/SDB FEB 12

544 
FZAK51 PAFG 082349
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
249 PM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-091500-
249 PM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1007 MB LOW OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA COAST WILL TRACK NORTHEAST. AT
3 AM AKDT FRI...THE LOW WILL BE 1003 MB 200 NM NORTHEAST OF
BARTER ISLAND. A 1020 MB HIGH OVER WRANGEL ISLAND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST. AT 3 PM AKDT FRI...THE HIGH WILL BE 500 NM NORTH OF
BARROW.

$$

PKZ225-091500-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
249 PM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW.  
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG.  
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-091500-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
249 PM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT TURNING NE...INCREASING TO 20 KT BY
MIDNIGHT. FOG. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-091500-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
249 PM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT TURNING NE...INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-091500-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
249 PM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT...EXCEPT SW WINDS 10 KT OR LESS NEAR
SHORE. 
.THU...SW WINDS 10 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-091500-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
249 PM AKST WED FEB 8 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT...EXCEPT W WINDS 20 KT NEAR SHORE. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

DA/DJH FEB 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1219 PM AKST TUE FEB 7 2012

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES OVER WESTERN CANADA AND EASTERN ALASKA
WITH NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST RIDGE AXIS TRANSITIONING TO A NORTH
SOUTH RIDGE AXIS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AND EARLY MID TERM.

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DOMINATE ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
INTERIOR. A WEAK MID LEVEL LOW ASSOCIATED WITH A 1000 TO 500 MB
COLD POCKET IS MOVING NORTHWEST ALONG THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE AND IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR BURWASH LANDING IN THE
YUKON. VERY NICE CIRCULATION AROUND THIS WEAK LOW IS NOTED ON
SATELLITE. EXPECT AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER TO MIGRATE INTO THE
EASTERN INTERIOR AND SCATTERED FLURRIES TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE THIS EVENING AND IN FORTY MILE COUNTRY.

THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO CHANGE ORIENTATION TONIGHT AND TOMORROW TO
A MORE NORTH SOUTH RIDGE AXIS...EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE THROUGH
ALASKA RANGE PASSES AS MID LEVEL SOUTHERLY WINDS INDUCE A WEAK LEE
SIDE TROUGH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

THE REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUSION IN THE BERING STRAIT WILL CONTINUE
TO WEAKEN AND MOVE WEST AND NORTH. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
SLOWLY DIMINISH OVER THE WEST COAST NORTH OF THE SEWARD PENINSULA
WHILE A WEAK LOW MOVING NORTHWEST OUT OF THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS AND PROVIDE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE WEST
COAST SOUTH OF THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND ST LAWRENCE ISLAND.

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE PATTERN IS SEEN THROUGH MEDIUM RANGE
WITH A MEAN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR KAMCHATKA
AND A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER WESTERN
CANADA AND EASTERN ALASKA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE DRIVEN STRONGLY BY
CLOUDS OR THE LACK THERE OF AND RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOW AND MID ALTITUDES. STRONG INVERSIONS ARE LIKELY IN VALLEY
LOCATIONS IN THE INTERIOR THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

CC FEB 12