Brisk Wind Advisory 46, NWS Fairbanks, AK

271 
FZAK52 PAFG 061233
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
333 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-070030-
333 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 973 MB LOW NEAR ST MATTHEW ISLAND WILL MOVE TO THE GULF OF
ANADYR AS A 986 MB LOW BY 3PM MON AND TO WRANGEL ISLAND AS A 1002
MB LOW BY 3AM TUE. A WEATHER FRONT FROM THIS LOW TO THE SOUTHERN 
CHUKCHI SEA THEN SOUTH ALONG THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE MON AND MOVE TO THE WESTERN CAPES OF ALASKA TUE.

$$

PKZ200-070030-
NORTON SOUND-
333 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-070030-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
333 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.WED...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-070030-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
333 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-070030-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
333 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

FEB 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1204 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH 60 HOURS. THE MODERATELY STRONG
SURFACE LOW IN THE BERING HOVERING AROUND 971 MB HAS BEGAN TO
TRACK NORTHWARD IN THE FLOW AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING
FROM WESTERN CANADA TO THE WEST COAST.

AS THE BERING LOW MOVES NORTH TO NEAR THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA BY
MON AFTERNOON IT WILL LIFT THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD NORTH TO
WRANGEL ISLAND AND LEAVE THE WASHED OUT OCCLUDED FRONT OVER THE
WEST COAST FROM ABOUT KOTZEBUE SOUTHWARD.

SURFACE HIGH NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD AND
THEN MOVE EASTWARD TO NEAR BANKS ISLAND BY TUE AFTERNOON.

A SERIES OF WEAK LOWS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BERING SEA AND THEN
NORTHWARD SPREADING PERIODS OF SNOW OVER THE WEST COAST ZONES
THROUGH THE WEEK.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT WILL EXPAND WESTWARD OVER MOST ALL OF
NORTHERN ALASKA BY TUE WILL USHER IN SIGNIFICANT WARM AIR OVER THE
ENTIRE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE STATE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. IT
APPEARS THAT THE ANTITHESIS OF JANUARY WILL BE AT LEAST THE FIRST
HALF OF FEBRUARY. LITTLE TO KNOW PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE
INTERIOR FOR THE WEEK. THE COLDEST AIR WILL BE LOCKED IN OVER
EASTERN RUSSIA AND NORTHERN CANADA.

WINDS OVER THE STATE WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE AFTER MONDAY AS THE MAIN
LOW MOVES NORTHWARD BUT THEN INCREASE AGAIN LATER ON WED OVER THE
WEST COAST WITH A NEW STRONGER LOW MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
BERING SEA.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ213.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ211.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235.
&&

CF FEB 12