Brisk Wind Advisory 32, NWS Fairbanks, AK

630 
FZAK52 PAFG 281058
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
158 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-290200-
158 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTH OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. THE 995 MB LOW WILL BE LOCATED BETWEEN WRANGEL ISLAND AND
BARROW SUNDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

PKZ200-290200-
NORTON SOUND-
158 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-290200-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
158 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-290200-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
158 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 5 KT BECOMING NW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-290200-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
158 AM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

.TODAY...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

JAN 12

833 
FZAK52 PAFG 282228
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
128 PM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-291330-
128 PM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 998 MB LOW 300 NM NW OF POINT LAY WILL MOVE TO 150 NM NW POINT
LAY BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A 978 MB LOW 50 NM N OF COLD BAY WILL BE
ABSORBED BY A NEW LOW MOVING EASTWARD AND BECOME A 981 MB LOW AT
KODIAK ISLAND BY MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ200-291330-
NORTON SOUND-
128 PM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-291330-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
128 PM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-291330-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
128 PM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-291330-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
128 PM AKST SAT JAN 28 2012

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. FOG...SNOW.
.SUN...W WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

CF/SDB JAN 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
531 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2012

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER AIR...MODELS AGREE WITH DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN
DURING THE WEEKEND AND BY SUNDAY EVENING HAVING THE LOW OVER THE
CHUKCHI SEA. THE LOW WILL LIKELY BE SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 475 DM AND
481 DM CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES NORTHEAST OF WRANGEL ISLAND
SUNDAY EVENING.

SURFACE...A 998 MB LOW OVER BANKS ISLAND WILL MOVE NORTHWEST AND
DISSIPATE ON SATURDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH TO THE CHUKCHI
SEA SATURDAY...BUT MODELS ARE NOT YET IN AGREEMENT ON THE LOCATION
OF THE LOW EVEN AS EARLY AS MID DAY SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE NORTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA WILL DISSIPATE TODAY AS ANOTHER
STRONGER LOW MOVES NORTH FROM THE GULF. THIS SECOND LOW WILL MOVE
OFF EAST INTO CANADA ON SUNDAY.

NORTH SLOPE...VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST LOCATION OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA HAS MADE FORECASTING WEATHER OVER
THE NORTH SLOPE DIFFICULT IN THE SHORT TERM. THE GFS PULLS LOW
PRESSURE SOUTH TO NEAR WRANGEL ISLAND ON SUNDAY. THE ECMWF TAKES
THE LOW SOUTH TO NEAR BARROW ON SUNDAY. THE NAM KEEPS THE LOW A
FEW HUNDRED MILES NORTHWEST OF BARROW ON SUNDAY. THE MODELS ARE
ACTUALLY IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE WEATHER FORECAST FOR
TUESDAY...WITH EACH INDICATING A DEVELOPING MACKENZIE BAY LOW. IN
GENERAL...INCREASING WINDS FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION MAY BE
EXPECTED TONIGHT AS THE CHUKCHI SEA LOW MOVES SOUTH. THESE WINDS
WILL BE STRONGER FOR THE WEST HALF OF THE NORTH SLOPE THAN FOR THE
EAST HALF. BRISK WINDS TO 30 KNOTS MAY OCCUR OVER MARINE ZONES 225
THROUGH 235. THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...FROM
BARROW WEST BUT WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS UNLIKELY.

WEST COAST...THE WEST COAST WILL FIND ITSELF BETWEEN LOW PRESSURES
SEPARATED BY A NARROW RIDGE JUTTING EAST FROM SIBERIA. BY SUNDAY
THERE WILL BE LOW PRESSURE SOMEWHERE BETWEEN WRANGEL ISLAND TO
NORTH OF BARROW AND OTHER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.
SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE ALEUTIAN LOWS WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN WEST
COAST SATURDAY NIGHT THEN EXPAND NORTH TO THE INTERIOR SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY. NORTHERN WEST COAST AREAS...FROM NORTON SOUND
NORTH...WILL REMAIN VERY COLD AND RELATIVELY DRY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.

INTERIOR...COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
THEN A LITTLE WARMING MAY OCCUR FOR THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR EARLY
NEXT WEEK. LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST FROM THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
SUNDAY WILL SPREAD SNOW TO THE WESTERN INTERIOR SUNDAY AND TO THE
CENTRAL INTERIOR MONDAY. AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 2
INCHES. THE ALASKA RANGE WILL BLOCK MUCH OF THE SNOW THE SOUTHEAST
INTERIOR FROM ACCUMULATIONS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.

WIND CHILL WARNING FOR AKZ203-AKZ204.
&&

DA JAN 12