Brisk Wind Advisory 29, NWS Fairbanks, AK

873 
FZAK51 PAFG 242340
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
240 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-251445-
240 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE ARCTIC COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.
A 1045 MB HIGH OVER EASTERN SIBERIA WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH THURSDAY.

$$

PKZ225-251445-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
240 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-251445-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
240 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT FROM ICY CAPE WEST THIS
EVENING. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 KT OR LESS...TURNING NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...S WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-251445-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
240 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. FOG.
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-251445-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
240 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT W WINDS 10 KT NEAR SHORE. FOG.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT SW WINDS 10 KT NEAR SHORE. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-251445-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
240 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

CCC/DJH JAN 12

793 
FZAK51 PAFG 251228
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
328 AM AKST WED JAN 25 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-260015-
328 AM AKST WED JAN 25 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ARCTIC COAST WILL PERSIST THROUGH THU. A
WEATHER FRONT ALONG THE GULF OF ALASKA COAST WILL MOVE OVER THE
BEAUFORT SEA THU. 


$$

PKZ225-260015-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
328 AM AKST WED JAN 25 2012

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-260015-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
328 AM AKST WED JAN 25 2012

.TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-260015-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
328 AM AKST WED JAN 25 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-260015-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
328 AM AKST WED JAN 25 2012

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-260015-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
328 AM AKST WED JAN 25 2012

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

JAN 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
154 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE MUCH DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PERSISTS OVER MAINLAND
ALASKA. PULSES OF ENERGY AND MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL
MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE TROUGH. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD CLOUDS AND BOUTS OF SNOW TO THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE INTERIOR AND ARCTIC COAST. MEANWHILE THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
STATE WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DRY AND CLOUD FREE.

THE AIR MASS IS DOWNRIGHT COLD OVER PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
AND WILL CONTINUE TO COOL A BIT MORE OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS
ARCTIC AIR GRADUALLY SPILLS SOUTHWARD TOWARDS BRISTOL BAY. 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL IN THE -30'S C WITH SOME COOLER POCKETS
ALONG THE BROOKS RANGE AND ARCTIC COASTAL PLAIN. UNDER CLEAR SKIES
THESE TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL EASILY SUPPORT SURFACE READINGS FROM
30 TO 50 BELOW AND COLDER. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ALREADY
INDICATES SOME ISOLATED POCKETS COLDER THAN 60 BELOW IN THE UPPER
COLVILLE RIVER VALLEY. THE INFLUX OF CLOUDS AND SNOW INTO EASTERN
HALF OF THE STATE WILL MODERATE TEMPERATURES CONSIDERABLY. IN ANY
CASE TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW OR WELL BELOW SEASONAL
AVERAGES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.

LOW WIND CHILL READINGS ARE STILL THE MAIN FORECAST HAZARD AT THE
MOMENT AS IT TAKES VERY LITTLE WIND TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS WIND
CHILLS WITH SUCH COLD AIR IN PLACE. THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WILL FLUCTUATE SOME THE NEXT TWO DAYS
AND WE WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR WINDS KICKING THE WIND CHILL VALUES
BACK AND FORTH ACROSS ADVISORY AND WARNING THRESHOLDS.

THE MEDIUM RANGE CONTINUES WITH NORTHERN ALASKA LOCKED UNDER A
COLD UPPER TROUGH WITH LOW 500 MB HEIGHTS THAT AVERAGE ONE TO TWO
STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW THE MEAN FOR JANUARY. THE PATTERN
BECOMES MORE MESSY AND LESS PREDICTABLE WITH TIME BY THE WEEKEND
AND INTO NEXT WEEK. A SERIES OF NORTH PACIFIC LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO
TRACK SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THERE
WILL LIKELY BE CLOUDS AND SOME CHANCES FOR SNOW IN PARTS OF THE
INTERIOR AS THESE LOWS LIFT INTO THE NORTHERN GULF...BUT THE
SPECIFICS REMAIN HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. IN AREAS WHERE THERE IS LESS
CLOUD COVER THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT WELL
BELOW NORMAL TEMPS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ214-AKZ215-AKZ217-AKZ219-AKZ221-
AKZ222.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ206.

WIND CHILL WARNING FOR AKZ204-AKZ220.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220.
&&

EWP JAN 12