Alert archive / Alaska / Brisk Wind Advisories in 2012

Brisk Wind Advisory 206, NWS Fairbanks, AK

December 25, 2012

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this brisk wind advisory at Dec 25, 2012, 2:53 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Dec 25, 2012, 2:53 AM AKST (11:53 UTC)
Expired: Dec 26, 2012, 2:46 AM AKST
In force: 24 hr
Issued by: NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

963 
FZAK51 PAFG 251153
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
253 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-260300-
253 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE FROM THE SOUTH CHUKCHI SEA TO NORTH OF
BARTER ISLAND WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER
TROUGH WILL MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA TUESDAY
TO THE SOUTH CHUKCHI SEA TUESDAY NIGHT.

$$

PKZ225-260300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
253 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-260300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
253 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-260300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
253 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-260300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
253 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-260300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
253 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

DA DEC 12

2 follow-up statements

566 
FZAK51 PAFG 252329
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
229 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-261245-
229 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1012 MB LOW NEAR BARTER ISLAND WILL STRENGTHEN SLOWLY IN PLACE
TO BE A 1006 MB LOW BY 3AM THU. A 994 MB LOW NEAR GAMBELL WILL
MOVE TO THE GULF OF ANADYR AS A 998 MB LOW BY 3PM WED THEN
CONTINUE MOVING WEST. A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING FROM THIS LOW TO
KOTZEBUE WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA WED AND THEN
DISSIPATE. A STRONG LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE TO INTO
BRISTOL BAY WED NIGHT AND TO THE SOUTHEAST BERING SEA THU PM. 

$$

PKZ225-261245-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
229 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 40 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-261245-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
229 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-261245-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
229 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-261245-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
229 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. FOG. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-261245-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
229 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...N WINDS 5 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

DEC 12

525 
FZAK51 PAFG 261146
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
246 AM AKST WED DEC 26 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-270300-
246 AM AKST WED DEC 26 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1006 MB LOW WILL REMAIN OVER DEMARCATION POINT THROUGH THU AM. A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE FROM POINT HOPE TO SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND
WILL MOVE EAST. THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL EXTEND FROM POINT
LAY TO KOTZEBUE TO UNALAKLEET THU AM. A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING
FROM GAMBELL THROUGH BERING STRAIT TO KIVALINA WILL MOVE OVER THE
SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA WED AND THEN DISSIPATE. MODERATE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL SIBERIA WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN.

$$

PKZ225-270300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
246 AM AKST WED DEC 26 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-270300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
246 AM AKST WED DEC 26 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-270300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
246 AM AKST WED DEC 26 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-270300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
246 AM AKST WED DEC 26 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-270300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
246 AM AKST WED DEC 26 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT.
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

TF DEC 12

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this brisk wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this brisk wind advisory went out at Dec 24, 3:53 PM AKST, 11 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 24, 3:53 PM AKST, 11 hours before

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
353 PM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...
A DEEP COLD CUT OFF LOW OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL DRIFT WEST AND
MERGE WITH SEVERAL OTHER LOWS TO A FORM A DEEP LONG WAVE TROUGH
OVER THE BERING ON WED WITH A RIDGE OVER EASTERN ALASKA CAUSING A
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW PATTERN OVER MAINLAND ALASKA. THIS IS
CAUSING WARM AIR TO PUSH OVER NORTHERN ALASKA TONIGHT AND TUE.

A WEAK CHINOOK IS NOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AND
CAUSING A SHARP WARM UP ALONG THE MOUNTAINS FROM HEALY WEST.

SURFACE...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM THE BERING STRAIT TO BARTER ISLAND WILL
WEAKEN THROUGH TUE. NORTHEAST WINDS 25-35 KT NORTH OF THAT TROUGH
ARE NOW WEAKENING AND BLOWING SNOW WILL DECREASE. EXCEPTION IS NEAR
POINT WHEN WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PERSIST INTO TUE.

A SURFACE HIGH NOW DEVELOPING OVER THE YUKON TERRITORY WILL CAUSE
WINDS TO BLOW DOWN THE YUKON RIVER PAST EAGLE. SINCE THIS IS
DRAINING THE COLD VALLEY EAGLE IS EXPECTED TO HAVE TEMPERATURE
DROP AS THE WINDS INCREASE TONIGHT.

A LOW IN BRISTOL BAY WILL MOVE TO ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AS A 996 MB
LOW BY 3PM TUE AND THEN CONTINUE NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN. A WARM
STRETCHING EAST FROM THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO KOYUKUK TO EAGLE BY 3AM
TUE AND TO ALONG THE BROOKS RANGE TONIGHT AND TO THE THE ARCTIC
SLOPE WED. WILL SEE HILLS WARM TO JUST ABOVE ZERO SOUTH OF THIS
FRONT WITH VALLEY TEMPERATURES RISING CLOSE TO ZERO AS CLOUDS
THICKEN.

AN OCCLUDED FRONT STRETCHING SE FROM THE LOW WILL SPREAD SNOW AND
CLOUDS TO SW ALASKA TONIGHT TO THE SEWARD PEN AND SW INTERIOR TUE...
TO THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND NW ALASKA TUE NIGHT...AND TO THE
CENTRAL INTERIOR WED. THIS WILL BRING 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW TO THE
WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR TONIGHT AND WED AND FLURRIES TO
THE CENTRAL INTERIOR TUE NIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZE WELL AND SHOW SIMILAR SOLLUTIONS. THE GFS IS A
BIT FASTER THAN THE NAM WITH FEATURES MOVING N FROM THE GULF OF
ALASKA. FAVOR THE GFS AS THIS HIGHLY DYNAMIC PATTERN FAVOR A MORE
RAPID MOVEMENT.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ224.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ223.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ230-PKZ240-
PKZ245.
&&

JB DEC 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 25, 5:02 AM AKST	Wind Advisory	AFG		16 hr

Nearby

Brisk Wind Advisories in Alaska, 2012 Every brisk wind advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.