Brisk Wind Advisory 18, NWS Fairbanks, AK

284 
FZAK52 PAFG 132255
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
155 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-141400-
155 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1049 MB HIGH OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR WILL BUILD TO 1054 MB
BY SAT EVENING AND MOVE TO CENTRAL INTERIOR. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO BUILD IN THE BERING SEA THROUGH SUN AND THE AXIS OF
THE RIDGE WILL EXTEND NORTH OVER WRANGEL ISLAND.

$$

PKZ200-141400-
NORTON SOUND-
155 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-141400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
155 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING W. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-141400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
155 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2012

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-141400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
155 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2012

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

CF/SDB JAN 12

525 
FZAK52 PAFG 141126
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
226 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-150230-
226 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1052 MB HIGH OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR WILL BUILD TO 1054 MB
BY SAT EVENING AND MOVE TO CENTRAL INTERIOR. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO BUILD IN THE BERING SEA THROUGH SUN AND THE AXIS OF
THE RIDGE WILL EXTEND NORTH OVER WRANGEL ISLAND.

$$

PKZ200-150230-
NORTON SOUND-
226 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-150230-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
226 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SNOW.
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-150230-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
226 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2012

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-150230-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
226 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RF/CC JAN 12

598 
FZAK52 PAFG 142344
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
244 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-151500-
244 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND
CHUKCHI SEA SATURDAY NIGHT...THEN ACROSS NORTON AND KOTZEBUE
SOUNDS ON SUNDAY. A 1053 MB HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR OF
NORTHERN ALASKA WILL DRIFT TO THE EASTERN INTERIOR ON SUNDAY.
STRONGER HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA
MONDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

PKZ200-151500-
NORTON SOUND-
244 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SW 5 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-151500-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
244 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-151500-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
244 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-151500-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
244 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2012

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

CF/DA JAN 12

095 
FZAK52 PAFG 151205
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
305 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-160315-
305 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS NORTON AND KOTZEBUE SOUNDS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND AND WEAKEN. A 1055 MB HIGH OVER THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR OF NORTHERN ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO
DRIFT EASTWARD TO THE EASTERN INTERIOR AND YUKON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA MONDAY AND
PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

PKZ200-160315-
NORTON SOUND-
305 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT BECOMING N. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-160315-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
305 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-160315-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
305 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2012

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 5 KT BECOMING W. 
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-160315-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
305 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

RF/CC JAN 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1253 AM AKST FRI JAN 13 2012

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH ALOFT AND ASSOCD SFC TROUGH OVER
THE HIGH ARCTIC WILL SWEEP SEWD ACROSS THE ERN BEAUFORT SEA
THROUGH SAT NIGHT. THIS COMBINED WITH BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE INTERIOR WILL BRING UP WINDS ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST
BEGINNING LATER THIS MORNING. BLIZZARD EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN
AKZ203-AKZ204 THIS AFTN CONTINUING INTO SAT AFTN. BLIZZARD
EXPECTED TO END SAT EVE AS THE TROUGH MOVES INTO NW CANADA.

THE SHORT WAVE WILL TEMPORARILY REINFORCE THE COLD
AIRMASS OVER THE ARCTIC AND CNTRL/ERN INTERIOR...BUT
THE COLDEST CORE WILL PASS BY TO THE NE AND E.

OVER THE BERING SEA AND W COAST...UPPER RIDGE BUILDING
THROUGH 12Z SAT. SHORT WAVE MOVING EWD THROUGH THE
RIDGE WILL TEMPORARILY SQUASH IT DOWN SOME...BUT THIS
WILL BE FOLLOWED BY STRONG REBUILDING. STRONG BLOCKING
HIGH WITH 570+ DAM 500 MB HEIGHTS BECOMING ESTABLISHED
OVER THE BERING SEA BY 12Z MON. THE SHORT WAVE WILL SPILL
SOME HIGH CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE W COAST/WRN INTR AND INTO
THE CNTRL INTR...BUT SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT SUN NIGHT AS THE
BLOCKING HIGH BUILDS. THIS CIRRUS...WHILE IT LASTS...SHOULD
PROVIDE SOME SLIGHT MITIGATION OF THE COLD TEMPERATURES.

QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED OVER THE W COAST FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT WEEK AS THE BLOCK KEEPS STORMY CONDITIONS FAR TO THE
WEST. MSLP EXPECTED TO BUILD TO A LITTLE OVER 1050 MB OVER
MUCH OF THE INTERIOR SAT...EXPANDING TO THE W CST AND NRN
BERING SEA BY SUN. THIS WILL PUSH ALTIMETER SETTINGS TO
OVER 31 INCHES HG.

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION...THE MAJOR PATTERN THAT IS TAKING
PLACE DURING THE SHORT TERM WILL BE COMPLETE BY THE START OF THE
MEDIUM RANGE ON MONDAY. A STRONG 570 DAM HIGH WILL BE CENTERED IN
THE EASTERN BERING SEA WITH AN OMEGA BLOCK IN PLACE AS THERE WILL
BE FAIRLY DEEP LOWS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE SPRAWLING HIGH. THE HIGH
CENTER IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RETROGRADE WITH TIME AND SHOULD BE
CENTERED OVER SIBERIA MID-LATE NEXT WEEK. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF
ARE CLOSE TO EACH OTHER AND TO THEIR RESPECTIVE ENSEMBLE MEANS.
THIS WILL LEAD TO A VERY STABLE AND HIGHLY PREDICTABLE PATTERN.
THE NCEP RMOPS CONTINUE TO INDICATE HIGH MEASURES OF
PREDICTABILITY WITH THIS FEATURE. THIS BLOCK WILL KEEP STORM
ACTIVITY DISPLACED FAR TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF THE BERING SEA
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT SYSTEMS TO AFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN MAINLAND AS
SFC HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW
NORMAL...ESPECIALLY SO IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR. SOME
OF THE RIVER VALLEYS IN THE EASTERN INTERIOR MAY REMAIN IN THE
DEEP FREEZE MUCH OF THE WEEK. MORE SIGNIFICANT MODERATION OF THE
AIR MASS EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST COAST AND INTO THE WESTERN
INTERIOR...BUT MANY VALLEYS REMAINING COLD.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ201-AKZ202-AKZ204-AKZ206.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ203-AKZ204.

WIND CHILL WARNING FOR AKZ203-AKZ205.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ240-PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

RF/CB JAN 12