Brisk Wind Advisory 170, NWS Fairbanks, AK

181 
FZAK51 PAFG 262240
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
140 PM AKST MON NOV 26 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-271345-
140 PM AKST MON NOV 26 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD DOWN FROM THE NORTH POLE TO THE
ARCTIC COAST MON EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ225-271345-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
140 PM AKST MON NOV 26 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-271345-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
140 PM AKST MON NOV 26 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-271345-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
140 PM AKST MON NOV 26 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-271345-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
140 PM AKST MON NOV 26 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-271345-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
140 PM AKST MON NOV 26 2012

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

CF/JM NOV 12

432 
FZAK51 PAFG 271232
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-280345-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR THE NORTH POLE WILL
CONTINUE TO BUILD SOUTH OVER THE ALASKAN ARCTIC COAST.

$$

PKZ225-280345-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT E WINDS 25 KT NORTH OF CAPE
KRUSENSTERN THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-280345-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT EAST OF ICY CAPE. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT NEAR ICY CAPE
THIS EVENING.
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-280345-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-280345-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT TURNING NORTHWEST TOWARD EVENING.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-280345-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

DJH/JK NOV 12

504 
FZAK51 PAFG 272321
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
221 PM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-281430-
221 PM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR THE NORTH POLE WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE ALASKAN ARCTIC COAST. A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD FROM THE HIGH CANADIAN ARCTIC BRINGING
BRISK WIND AND SNOW FOR EASTERN AREAS OF THE BEAUFORT SEA ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

$$

PKZ225-281430-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
221 PM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-281430-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
221 PM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-281430-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
221 PM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-281430-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
221 PM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-281430-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
221 PM AKST TUE NOV 27 2012

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. SNOW.
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

MAK/JAM NOV 12

726 
FZAK51 PAFG 281252
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
352 AM AKST WED NOV 28 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-290400-
352 AM AKST WED NOV 28 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR THE NORTH POLE WILL PERSIST
OVER THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST AND INLAND OVER THE ARCTIC SLOPE.
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA WILL MOVE SOUTH
TO LIE OVER THE ARCTIC COAST FROM BARROW TO KAKTOVIK AROUND
MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

$$

PKZ225-290400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
352 AM AKST WED NOV 28 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-290400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
352 AM AKST WED NOV 28 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-290400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
352 AM AKST WED NOV 28 2012

.TODAY...NW WINDS 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY NOON.
.THU...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-290400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
352 AM AKST WED NOV 28 2012

.TODAY...W WINDS  20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-290400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
352 AM AKST WED NOV 28 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY NOON. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

DJH/JK NOV 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
209 PM AKST SUN NOV 25 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH 60 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY MONDAY BEFORE AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES EAST TO MOVE THE RIDGE TO A NORTHWEST
SOUTHEAST ORIENTATION BY TUE. UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 80 DEGREES
NORTH WILL MOVE RAPIDLY SOUTHWARD TO MACKENZIE BAY BY MON
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BRING DOWN DECENT COLD ADVECTION INTO
NORTHEASTERN ALASKA AND NORTHWESTERN CANADA. THIS WILL PUSH THE
COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE STATE BY TUE
NIGHT AND WED.

THE NEAR TERM WEATHER SHOULD BE RELATIVELY UNEVENTFUL. AS THE FIRST
UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES SOUTHWARD TO THE ARCTIC COAST IT WILL SPREAD
SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES FROM ABOUT NUIQSUT EASTWARD TONIGHT.
1000 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING WITH ASSOCIATED TRIPLE POINT
WILL MOVE EASTWARD TONIGHT AND WEAKEN AND FRONT WILL OCCLUDE AND
MOST OF THE ENERGY WILL SCOOT SOUTH TO THE GULF OF ALASKA BY TUE
WITH BARELY ANY PRECIPITATION IF ANY MAKING IT TO THE WEST COAST.

MODELS SHOW MINIMAL FRONTOGENESIS DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTH SLOPES
OF THE BROOKS RANGE EAST OF THE PIPELINE BY MON AFTERNOON. THIS
MAY PRODUCE A LITTLE SNOWFALL ON THE UPSLOPE OF THE NORTH SIDE OF
THE BROOKS RANGE. TUE NIGHT SHOWS DECENT FRONTOGENESIS MOVING
SOUTH OVER EAST CENTRAL ALASKA. THIS MAY PRODUCE A FEW FLURRIES
DURING ITS MOVE SOUTHWARD.

THE CURRENT UPPER LEVEL COLD LOW OVER NORTHERN CANADA WILL REMAIN
LOCKED INTO THAT POSITION THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL
GENERATE A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVES THAT WILL MOVE SOUTH
OUT OF THE HIGH ARCTIC AND WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH COLDER AIR
SOUTHWARD TO NEAR THE ALASKA CANADA BORDER THROUGH THE WEEK. THE
COLDEST AIR WILL RESONATE OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE STATE
THROUGH THE WEEK AND BY THE END OF THE WEEK A LONG WAVE TROUGH
FORMS OVER EASTERN ALASKA.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

CF NOV 12