Brisk Wind Advisory 166, NWS Fairbanks, AK

164 
FZAK52 PAFG 151036
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
136 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-160145-
136 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 992 MB LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT SOUTHEAST
THROUGH FRI. A 1036 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA
AND RUSSIAN ARCTIC WILL DRIFT EAST OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH
THU NIGHT AND CONTINUE DRIFTING EAST ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA
THROUGH SUN. A 980 MB LOW NEAR THE SOUTHERN KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL
MOVE NORTH TO THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST MAINLAND BY FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ200-160145-
NORTON SOUND-
136 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-160145-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
136 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. BLOWING SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-160145-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
136 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-160145-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
136 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. STRONGEST WINDS NEAR
THE BERING STRAIT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

EWP/JK NOV 12

692 
FZAK52 PAFG 152328
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
228 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-161430-
228 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1003 MB LOW JUST SOUTH OF BANKS ISLAND 3PM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY
EAST. ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE HIGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE HIGH WILL COVER
THE AREA FROM THE CHUKCHI SEA TO THE BEAUFORT SEA. A 992 MB LOW
IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT SOUTHEAST THROUGH FRI.
A 978 MB LOW EAST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE NORTH TO
THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST MAINLAND BY FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ200-161430-
NORTON SOUND-
228 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT.
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-161430-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
228 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT E 25 KT W OF ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT W OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT W OF ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-161430-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
228 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-161430-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
228 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

NOV 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
612 AM AKST WED NOV 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO
THE GULF OF ALASKA THURSDAY AND MERGE WITH A COLD UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH DIGGING SOUTH FROM THE CANADIAN ARCTIC. THIS WILL SET UP A HIGH
AMPLITUDE PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION WITH A STRONG RIDGE BUILDING OVER
THE BERING SEA...AND A LONG WAVE TROUGH SETTLING IN ALONG THE
ALCAN BORDER. COLD AND DRY NORTHERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER MUCH
OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE NORTH PACIFIC STORM TRACK REMAINING
FAR TO THE SOUTH. MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT IN MAINTAINING
SOME VARIATION OF THIS PATTERN WELL INTO NEXT WEEK.

AT THE SURFACE...A WEAKENING 973 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST TO THE GULF OF ALASKA BY THURSDAY. A
SECOND LOW NEAR IN THE HIGH ARCTIC NEAR 85N/145W WILL SLIDE SOUTH
TO BANKS ISLAND ON THURSDAY AND THEN TRACK EASTWARD DEEPER INTO
CANADA. MEANWHILE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER FAR EAST RUSSIA WILL
BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA INTO THE WEEKEND.

ARCTIC COAST...WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
ARCTIC. WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN TONIGHT ALONG THE EASTERN
BEAUFORT SEA COAST AS THE SURFACE LOW APPROACHES BANKS ISLAND AND
TIGHTENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT EAST OF PRUDHOE BAY. WEST WINDS 35
TO 45 MPH WILL RESULT IN LOW VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW INTO
THURSDAY BUT A FULL BLOWN BLIZZARD IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT IN THE WESTERN ARCTIC AS HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST.

WEST COAST...THINGS ARE QUIETING DOWN AS THE BERING SEA LOW
WEAKENS AND BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA. NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE COASTAL THROUGH
TONIGHT...AND IN WESTERN ALASKA ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
IN FROM THE WEST. SOME SNOW IS STILL FALLING FROM ABOUT UNALAKLEET
TO MCGRATH AND SOUTHWARD BUT WILL TAPER OFF INTO THIS EVENING.
CLEARING SKIES ON THURSDAY.

INTERIOR...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS INCREASED OVER THE INTERIOR
AND WINDS HAVE PICKED UP OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND CHANNELED
AREAS. SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
HIGHWAY SUMMITS FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
BERING SEA LOW WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR TODAY
WITH SEVERAL INCHES IN THE ALASKA RANGE AND UPPER TANANA VALLEY.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ215-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

NOV 12