Brisk Wind Advisory 121, NWS Fairbanks, AK

806 
FZAK51 PAFG 060933
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
133 AM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-070030-
133 AM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM KOTZEBUE NORTHWEST WILL STRENGTHEN
THROUGH MONDAY. A LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND ALASKA MON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM
NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA TO THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL
PERSIST INTO MON.

$$

PKZ225-070030-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
133 AM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-070030-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
133 AM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-070030-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
133 AM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-070030-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
133 AM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-070030-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
133 AM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

JK/RF MAY 12

386 
FZAK51 PAFG 062205
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
205 PM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-071315-
205 PM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM KOTZEBUE NORTHWEST WILL WEAKEN TUE. 
A LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN INTERIOR
OF ALASKA MON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM NORTH OF
THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA TO THE GULF OF ANADYR WILL PERSIST
INTO TUE. 

$$

PKZ225-071315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
205 PM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. FOG.
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-071315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
205 PM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-071315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
205 PM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-071315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
205 PM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.FOG. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-071315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
205 PM AKDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

MAY 12

735 
FZAK51 PAFG 070938
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
138 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-080045-
138 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM KOTZEBUE NORTHWEST WILL WEAKEN TUE. 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM NORTH OF THE ARCTIC
COAST OF ALASKA TO THE GULF OF ANADYR WILL PERSIST INTO TUE.

$$

PKZ225-080045-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
138 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-080045-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
138 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-080045-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
138 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-080045-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
138 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-080045-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
138 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

JK MAY 12

512 
FZAK51 PAFG 071026
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
226 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-080130-
226 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM KOTZEBUE NORTHWEST WILL WEAKEN TUE. 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM NORTH OF THE ARCTIC
COAST OF ALASKA TO THE GULF OF ANADYR WILL PERSIST INTO TUE.

$$

PKZ225-080130-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
226 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-080130-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
226 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-080130-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
226 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-080130-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
226 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-080130-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
226 AM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

JK MAY 12

060 
FZAK51 PAFG 072244
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
244 PM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-081230-
244 PM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM KOTZEBUE NORTHWEST WILL WEAKEN TUE. 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM NORTH OF THE ARCTIC
COAST OF ALASKA TO THE GULF OF ANADYR WILL PERSIST INTO TUE AND
WEAKEN WED. A WEATHER FRONT IN THE WESTERN CHUKCHI SEA WILL MOVE
INTO THE NORTHWEST COAST OF ALASKA WED.

$$

PKZ225-081230-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
244 PM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-081230-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
244 PM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-081230-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
244 PM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...SE WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-081230-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
244 PM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-081230-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
244 PM AKDT MON MAY 7 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

MAY 12

094 
FZAK51 PAFG 081047
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
247 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-090200-
247 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM KOTZEBUE NORTHWEST WILL WEAKEN TUE. 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM NORTH OF THE ARCTIC
COAST OF ALASKA TO THE GULF OF ANADYR WILL PERSIST INTO TUE AND
WEAKEN WED. A WEATHER FRONT IN THE WESTERN CHUKCHI SEA WILL MOVE
INTO THE NORTHWEST COAST OF ALASKA WED.

$$

PKZ225-090200-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
247 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 5 KT BECOMING S. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-090200-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
247 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-090200-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
247 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-090200-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
247 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-090200-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
247 AM AKDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

JK MAY 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
357 AM AKDT SAT MAY 5 2012

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER AIR...THE DEEP UPPER LOW THAT PASSED BY ST LAWRENCE ISLAND
YESTERDAY MORNING IS PASSING OVER THE PRIBILOF'S EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE LOW WILL MOVE TO NIKOLSKI LATER THIS MORNING AND
THEN TURN EAST AND HEAD OFF TOWARD THE GULF OF AK. AN UPPER TROUGH
IS EXPECTED TO SWING AROUND THE LOW IN THE GULF AND MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THE MODELS DIFFER
ON THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SFC...A 1032 MB HIGH IN THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA WILL EXPAND EAST
THIS WEEKEND AND BY 00Z MONDAY WILL COVER A LARGE AREA FROM THE
CHUKOTSK PENINSULA TO THE SOUTHERN CANADIAN ARCHIPELAGO.  AS THE
UPPER LOW DROPS SOUTH OF THE ERN ALEUTIANS A SFC LOW DEVELOPS AROUND
THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND DEEPENS TO AROUND 990 MB IN THE
NORTHERN GULF SUNDAY. A THERMAL TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
PAOR-PABI-PAMH TODAY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY. THE
THERMAL TROUGH MERGES WITH A SFC TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW IN
THE NORTHERN GULF THAT MOVES UP INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY.

NORTH SLOPE...EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW WILL INCREASE GRADUALLY OVER
THE WEEKEND AS THE SFC RIDGE EXPANDS EAST.  AREAS OF STATUS AND FOG
AND FLURRIES WILL BE THE RULE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPS
REMAINING 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

INTERIOR...THE AIR MASS HAS MODERATED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE LAST
24-36 HOURS AND NEAR TO JUST BELOW SEASONABLE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP
ALONG AND NEAR THE THERMAL TROUGH MAINLY IN THE AREA FROM THE
ALASKA RANGE TO THE YUKON UPLANDS. A MORE STABLE AIR MASS FURTHER
TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN INTERIOR WHERE THERE IS STILL
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ON THE GROUND.

WEST COAST...A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS FROM ABOUT GALENA SOUTH AS
MOISTURE AND SHORTWAVES ROTATE AROUND THE SRN BERING SEA LOW AS IT
MOVES OFF TOWARD THE GULF.  NLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MARINE
AREAS FROM CAPE LISBURNE SOUTH THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT TO THE ST
LAWRENCE WATERS WITH MINIMAL BRISK WINDS.  TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY MODERATE FROM THE EAST THIS WEEKEND.

MID-RANGE GUIDANCE PRESENTS CONSIDERABLE DIFFICULTIES WITH THE DAY
TO DAY FORECAST IN SPITE OF THE BROAD AGREEMENT ON THE LARGE SCALE
PATTERN...AS IS NOT UNCOMMON THIS TIME OF YEAR. ON TUE...THE REMAINS
OF THE COLD LOW ALOFT NOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL BE IN THE
NE GULF OF ALASKA...EVEN A CLOSED CENTER REMAINS OVR THE SRN BERING.
THERE REMAINS LARGE DIFFS ON HANDLING CLOSED LOW MOVG FROM NR THE
POLE MON AND THEN TOWARD WRANGEL ISLAND. SOME OF THE DIFFICULTY IS
TIED TO THE STRUCTURE OF BIG HIGH ALOFT OVR NRN SEA OF OKHOTSK AND
ERN SIBERIA. BY LATE IN THE WEEK THERE IS SOMETHING OF A TREND
TOWARD LOW HEIGHT RIDGING ALOFT OVR THE SERN INTR. BUT THIS IS
COMPLICATED BY SOME GUIDANCE AGREEMENT ON A TIGHT LOW DEV LOPING NR
GREAT BEAR LAKE. SENSIBLE WX WILL BE DOMINATE BY SMALL SCALE SHORT
WAVES. THE ONLY THING THAT SEEMS LIKELY IS THAT NO SGFNTLY ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPS ARE EXPECTED ANYTIME SOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A THERMAL TROUGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR WILL
PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS FROM THE AK RANGE NORTH TO THE YUKON UPLANDS. THE
THREAT OF LIGHTNING REMAINS LOW. TEMPS WILL BE SEASONABLE THIS
WEEKEND WITH MIN RH'S IN THE 20-35 PCT FOR MOST INTERIOR
VALLEYS. NE WINDS MAY LOCALLY GUST TO 25 MPH ACROSS THE YUKON
FLATS TODAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NO KNOWN TROUBLE SPOTS ATTM. BREAK-UP WILL CONTINUE
ALONG THE YUKON DOWNRIVER FROM FT YUKON FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
WEEKS. BREAK-UP WILL LIKELY BEGIN ON RIVER IN NW ALASKA IN COUPLE
OF WEEKS...BUT RECENT COLD WEATHER HAS DELAYED BREAK-UP FOR A
WHILE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

&&

CB/RT MAY 12