Alert archive / Alaska / Brisk Wind Advisories in 2012

Brisk Wind Advisory 101, NWS Fairbanks, AK

April 4, 2012

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this brisk wind advisory at Apr 4, 2012, 4:04 AM AKDT. It was in force for 34 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Apr 4, 2012, 4:04 AM AKDT (12:04 UTC)
Expired: Apr 5, 2012, 2:09 PM AKDT
In force: 34 hr
Issued by: NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

197 
FZAK52 PAFG 041204
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
404 AM AKDT WED APR 4 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-050030-
404 AM AKDT WED APR 4 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A STRONG LOW JUST SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL WILL MOVE NORTH TO
THE SEWARD PENINSULA AS A 999 MB LOW BY 4PM THU AND THEN CONTINUE
NORTHWEST OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA FRI.

$$

PKZ200-050030-
NORTON SOUND-
404 AM AKDT WED APR 4 2012

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT BECOMING SW. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 40 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-050030-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
404 AM AKDT WED APR 4 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...NW WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 40 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 45 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-050030-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
404 AM AKDT WED APR 4 2012

.TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-050030-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
404 AM AKDT WED APR 4 2012

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT BECOMING W. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 40 KT.  

$$

APR 12

3 follow-up statements

621 
FZAK52 PAFG 042158
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
158 PM AKDT WED APR 4 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-051300-
158 PM AKDT WED APR 4 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A STORM NEAR DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE NORTH TO THE SEWARD
PENINSULA AS A 999 MB LOW BY 4PM THU AND THEN CONTINUE NORTHWEST
OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA TOWARD WRANGEL ISLAND ON FRI.

$$

PKZ200-051300-
NORTON SOUND-
158 PM AKDT WED APR 4 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT BECOMING W. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-051300-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
158 PM AKDT WED APR 4 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-051300-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
158 PM AKDT WED APR 4 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-051300-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
158 PM AKDT WED APR 4 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT BECOMING SW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

APR 12

327 
FZAK52 PAFG 051156
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
356 AM AKDT THU APR 5 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-060015-
356 AM AKDT THU APR 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 996 MB LOW OVER SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ALASKA WILL MOVE NORTHWEST
TO BE NEAR CAPE ESPENBERG AT 4PM THU AND NEAR POINT HOPE AT 10 PM
THU. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE NORTHWEST THEREAFTER.

$$

PKZ200-060015-
NORTON SOUND-
356 AM AKDT THU APR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON...
EXCEPT SW WINDS 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON FROM CAPE DARBY EAST.
BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-060015-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
356 AM AKDT THU APR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT BECOMING W 20 KT...EXCEPT N WINDS 25 KT
PERSISTING NEAR THE BERING STRAIT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM
OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-060015-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
356 AM AKDT THU APR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT.
BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-060015-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
356 AM AKDT THU APR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT BECOMING SW. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY
1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

DJH/JB APR 12

422 
FZAK52 PAFG 052209
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
209 PM AKDT THU APR 5 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-061315-
209 PM AKDT THU APR 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1004 MB LOW NEAR CAPE ESPENBERG WILL MOVE NORTHWEST OF POINT
HOPE AT 10 PM THU...THEN CONTINUE NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN TO 1012 MB
OVER WRANGEL ISLAND BY FRI AFTERNOON. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT.

$$

PKZ200-061315-
NORTON SOUND-
209 PM AKDT THU APR 5 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT.
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-061315-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
209 PM AKDT THU APR 5 2012

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-061315-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
209 PM AKDT THU APR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT BY MORNING. BLOWING
SNOW. SNOW.
.FRI...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-061315-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
209 PM AKDT THU APR 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT BECOMING SW. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

APR 12

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this brisk wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this brisk wind advisory went out at Apr 3, 2:24 PM AKDT, 13 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 3, 2:24 PM AKDT, 13 hours 40 minutes before

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
224 PM AKDT TUE APR 3 2012

.DISCUSSION...
PATTERN CHANGE UNDERWAY FOR NORTHERN ALASKA AS THE TRANSITION TO
THE WARM SEASON ACCELERATES.

BROAD TROF ALOFT EXTENDING FROM SRN SIBERIA/CHUKOTKA TO THE ERN GULF OF
ALASKA...INCLUDING MOST OF MAINLAND ALASKA TO BE REPLACED BY A
FAIRLY STRONG RIDGE ALONG ABOUT 140W BY THU. LOW ALOFT
CONSOLIDATING OVR THE NRN BERING SEA NXT 24 HOURS WILL THEREAFTER
ROTATE NWWD AND WKN...WITH SOME OF THE ENERGY PEELING OFF NEWD.

AT THE SURFACE...986MB LOW NEAR ATKA WILL WEAKEN AND SPLIT BY WED
EVENING...WITH NORTHERN CENTER MOVG BRISTOL BAY WED EVENING AND TO
WRN NORTON SOUND AS A 996 MB CENTER ON THU AFTERNOON. BROAD HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS OVR THE ARCTIC OCEAN. 1025 MB HIGH BUILDING
WED AND THU OVR THE ERN GULF OF ALASKA.

MID-RANGE CONTINUES TO PRESENT FORECAST DIFFICULTIES...ESP BEYOND
DAY FIVE. MODELS CONT STRUGGLE WITH THE EXTENT TO WHICH HIGH ALOFT
CUTS OFF OVR SRN YT OR NRN BC. THE GEM HAS BEEN AGGRESSIVE WITH
THIS SOLUTION SINCE AT LEAST SUNDAY AND OTHER GUIDANCE IS STARTING
TO LEAN THIS WAY. ECMWF REMAINS MORE PROGRESSIVE...WITH A WEAKER
HIGH FARTHER SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER...THE 12Z TUE EC IS NOW DEFINITELY
TRENDING TOWARD A STRONGER...FARTHER NORTH HIGH ALF TOO. BY THE
WEEKEND THERE ARE ALSO SGFT DIFFS BETWEEN THE TUE 06Z GFS AND MOST
OTHER GUIDANCE IN HANDLING TROF/CLOSED LOW MOVING FROM THE BERING
SEA INTO THE CHUKCHI...WITH MOST GUIDANCE KEEPING THIS FEATURE
MUCH FARTHER NW THAN THE GFS HAS BY SUN. 12Z GFS MORE IN LINE WITH
OTHER MODELS. NONE OF THE ABOVE SOLUTIONS ARE INTRINSICALLY
UNLIKELY OR UNCLIMATOLOGICAL.

NORTH SLOPE...TEMPS MODERATING ENOUGH NOW TO ALLOW THE WIND CHILL
ADVISORY TO EXPIRE...EVEN THOUGH WINDS REMAIN BRISK.

WEST COAST...TEMPS AND WINDS HAVE MODERATED ENOUGH TO END WIND
CHILL ADVISORIES FOR ZONES 207 AND 213. INCOMING STORM WILL SPREAD
OVERRUNNING SNOW NWD WED NIGHT AND THU. AT THIS TIME NO ADVISORIES
EXPECTED. MODELS ARE IN KEEPING AMS COOL ENOUGH FOR SNOW. 15Z SREF
HAS A LOW BUT NON-ZERO CHANCE OF RAIN INTO ZONES 227 AND 216 ON
THU.

INTERIOR...BIG WARM-UP ON THE WAY..ESPC EAST OF 150W. AS RIDGE
BUILDS...WINDS THRU ALASKA RANGE PASSES WILL INCREASE AND MAY
APPROACH ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH ISABEL PASS ON THU.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ201-AKZ207-AKZ213.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

RT APR 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 4, 4:25 AM AKDT	Winter Weather Advisory	AFG		47 hr
Apr 4, 1:58 PM AKDT	Brisk Wind Advisory	AFG		37 hr

Nearby

Brisk Wind Advisories in Alaska, 2012 Every brisk wind advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.