Brisk Wind Advisory 100, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1052 AM AKDT MON APR 2 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED
OVER ALASKA AND A PROGRESSIVE RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE BERING SEA
AND THEN MOVING OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA BY WED. AS RIDGE BUILDS INTO
ALASKA HEIGHTS INCREASE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH COLD AIR
POOL RETREATING TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA.

A STRONG SHORT WAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
FLATTENING THE RIDGE AS A 986 MB SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO THE
SOUTHERN BERING SEA. SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THIS LOW
MAY ALLOW FOR MIXED PRECIP IN ZONES 214 AND 215 WED AS 850 MB
TEMPS WARM TO NEAR -2. PRECIP APPEARS TO REMAIN ALL SNOW FROM
SEWARD PENINSULA AND POINTS NORTHWARD. WEAK CHINOOK FLOW WILL
DEVELOP IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE
ON WED. ENHANCED GAP FLOWS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE ALASKA RANGE
PASSES BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

WIND CHILLS ARE SLOWLY IMPROVING ALONG THE BERING STRAIT AS WINDS
SLOWLY DIMINISHING AND TEMPERATURES MODERATE. THE WIND CHILL
ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRED IN ZONE 213. WINDS WILL REMAIN
BRISK NEAR POINT LAY WHERE THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL BE
EXTENDED THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL
REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING FOR ZONE 201.

THROUGH THE INTERIOR PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS
EXIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WHILE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EXIST ACROSS THE WESTERN AND EASTERN
INTERIOR.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NONE

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ201-AKZ207.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

CCC APR 12