Storm Warning 134, NWS Anchorage, AK

141 
FZAK52 PAFC 240622 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1020 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

CORRECTED 175 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-241500-
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 988 MB LOW 250 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN TO 985
MB 220 NM NORTHEAST OF ADAK MON AFTERNOON. A NEW 987 MB LOW WILL
DEVELOP 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT MON AFTERNOON AND STRENGTHEN TO
983 MB 115 NM NORTH OF COLD BAY LATE MON NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL THEN
ABSORB THE FIRST LOW AND STRENGTHEN TO 978 MB 140 NM NORTH OF DUTCH
HARBOR TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-241500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-241500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE
WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO
9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-241500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-241500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-241500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-241500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...BERING SIDE...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-241500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-241500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
815 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-241500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
1020 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 15
FT. 
.MON...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-241500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-241500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-241500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

424 
FZAK52 PAFC 241158
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-250300-
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 986 MB LOW 175 NM NORTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO NEAR FALSE PASS AT 987
MB MON NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING. A 993 MB LOW DEVELOPS 200 NM SOUTH
OF SAND POINT MIDDAY MON STRENGTHENS TO 981 MB AS IT MOVES TO 85 NM
NORTH OF COLD BAY TUE MORNING...THEN STRENGTHENS TO 977 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 70 NM EAST OF DUTCH HARBOR LATE TUE NIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC
LOW RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS TO 959 MB AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TO 270 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-250300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-250300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-250300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-250300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-250300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-250300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BERING SIDE...17 FT
PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-250300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-250300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 20 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-250300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-250300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
SHEMYA W...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-250300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-250300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

125 
FZAK52 PAFC 242354
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-251500-
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 988 MB LOW 230 MB NORTHEAST OF ADAK WILL DRIFT EASTWARD AT SAME
STRENGTH THIS EVENING. A 990 MB LOW 115 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT
WILL STRENGTHEN TO 978 MB 70 NM NORTH OF COLD BAY TUE AFTERNOON AND
ABSORB THE FIRST LOW. A 974 MB LOW WILL FORM 430 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK
TUE EVENING AND ABSORB THE SECOND LOW AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFY TO 956 MB
230 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WED MORNING.
$$

PKZ150-251500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 12
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   

$$

PKZ155-251500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 13 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-251500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT BY THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE WIND 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-251500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W OF COLD BAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. E OF COLD BAY...S
WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-251500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.   
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-251500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...BERING SIDE...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-251500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-251500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. FROM SEGUAM ISLAND
W...SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. FROM SEGUAM ISLAND W...SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-251500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT... E OF AMCHITKA PASS...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W OF
AMCHITKA PASS...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...BERING SIDE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PACIFIC
SIDE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-251500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-251500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-251500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 PM AKDT SUN SEP 23 2012

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN ABOVE AVERAGE AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC
PATTERN THROUGH THE END OF THE COMING WEEK. THERE ARE A FEW
DIFFERENCES WITH THE STRENGTH AND POSITION OF A MAJOR LOW THAT WILL
DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN GULF AROUND MIDWEEK...AND BASED ON RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY A FURTHER EAST TRACK SIMILAR TO THE NAM AND ECMWF IS
PREFERRED. NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST (DAY
5-8) WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE LARGE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW THAT HAS DOMINATED MAINLAND ALASKA
OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS IS WEAKENING AND IN THE PROCESS OF MOVING
INLAND ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT HAS RACED NORTHWARD
WITH THE JET STREAM AND IS ALREADY APPARENT ON SATELLITE OVER THE
ARCTIC OCEAN. THE REMNANT COLD UPPER LOW IS ALLOWING IMPRESSIVE
SHOWER ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL TODAY EMBEDDED
IN THE SOUTHEAST FLOW. FURTHER WEST...A GENERALLY DISORGANIZED BAND
OF CLOUDS OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS IS SLOWLY BEGINNING TO LOOK MORE
IMPRESSIVE ON SATELLITE AS IT MAKES PROGRESS EASTWARD. A STRONG 160+
KT ZONAL JET STREAM NEAR 40N WILL BEGIN TO INFUSE ENERGY INTO THIS
BROAD AND COMPLEX LOW OVER THE COMING DAYS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH MONDAY MORNING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
AS THE UPPER LOW OPENS TO A TROUGH AND LIFTS NORTHWARD THROUGH COOK
INLET. IF A LINE OF SHOWERS ENDS UP STATIONARY OVER A GIVEN
LOCATION...SOME ADDITIONAL SWELLING OF LOCAL STREAMS IS LIKELY TO
OCCUR. FOR THIS REASON A FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL...WITH FLOOD WARNINGS ELSEWHERE AROUND SOUTHCENTRAL.
AFTER A BRIEF LULL MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING YET ANOTHER FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF ON TUESDAY MORNING. AS BEFORE...HEAVIEST RAIN
WILL FALL ALONG THE COASTLINES AND THE WESTERN SUSITNA VALLEY.
HOWEVER...IT IS LIKELY LIGHTER RAIN WILL ALSO FALL IN THE NORMALLY
DRY WESTERN SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE WESTERN KENAI UP THROUGH
THE ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY. THUS EXPECT ONLY A GRADUAL
DECREASE IN RIVER LEVELS ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WEATHER FRONT WILL
ALSO BRING HIGH WINDS BACK TO FAVORED AREAS INCLUDING TURNAGAIN
ARM...WHERE GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE LIKELY BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ALASKA...A BAND OF MODERATE RAIN ACROSS THE
BRISTOL BAY ZONE WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY RETREAT TO THE NORTHEAST
AS THE GULF LOW MOVES INLAND TONIGHT. MONDAY SHOULD BE A DRY DAY WITH
SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS BEFORE RAIN DEVELOPS ALONG THE ALASKA
PENINSULA MONDAY EVENING AND MOVES NORTHWARD ONCE AGAIN.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...COMPLEX LOW NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TO
GRADUALLY GAIN STRENGTH WHILE MARCHING EASTWARD THROUGH MIDWEEK.
GENERALLY EXPECT RAIN AND GALE FORCE WINDS TO HAVE IMPACTED MOST
LOCATIONS BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
AS MENTIONED IN THE MODEL DISCUSSION...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT
A MAJOR LOW WILL BE PRESENT IN THE WESTERN GULF BY MIDWEEK. UNLIKE
PREVIOUS THE STORMS OF RECENT WEEKS...THIS LOW SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY
STATIONARY IN THE GULF INSTEAD OF MOVING INTO INTERIOR ALASKA. THIS
WILL KEEP RAINY AND WINDY WEATHER CONFINED MAINLY TO THE COASTLINES
AND KODIAK ISLAND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FLOOD WARNING 111 121 125 145
         FLOOD ADVISORY 101 141
MARINE...GALE WARNING 120 130 132 138 150 155 160 165 170 171 172 175
                      176 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DIXON SEP 12