Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 99, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 4, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Feb 4, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Feb 4, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired: Feb 6, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST
In force: 36 hr
Issued by: NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

286 
FZAK51 PAFC 050004
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-051500-
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 991 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK WILL DISSIPATE 200 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK SUN MORNING. A 998 MB LOW 285 NM SOUTHWEST 
OF SITKA SAT NIGHT WILL DISSIPATE NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN NIGHT. 
A 972 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-051500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W OF CAPE CLEARE...NE WIND 35 KT. E OF CAPE CLEARE...
NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-051500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS 
AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-051500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-051500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-051500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-051500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-051500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-051500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ141-051500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING 
SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 

$$

3 follow-up statements

040 
FZAK51 PAFC 051257
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-060300-
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. A WEATHER FRONT
WILL REMAIN STATIONARY OVER THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH MON NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ120-060300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 20 KT N OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-060300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-060300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-060300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-060300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55
KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 17 FT EXCEPT 11 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-060300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-060300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-060300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ141-060300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 

$$

174 
FZAK51 PAFC 060008
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-061500-
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1006 MB LOW 165 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA WILL DISSIPATE 100 NM 
SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MON MORNING. A 965 MB LOW 425 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK MON NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 225 NM SOUTHWEST 
OF SITKINAK AT 962 MB TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-061500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...NE WIND 35 KT. 
E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-061500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-061500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-061500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-061500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 
50 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9 FT. E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS....SE 
WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-061500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-061500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-061500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ141-061500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

509 
FZAK51 PAFC 061254
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070300-
400 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH
TUE NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF MON NIGHT AND
BECOMES STATIONARY.  

$$

PKZ120-070300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS 11
FT EXCEPT 8 FT N OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 25 KT N OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT
EXCEPT 9 FT N OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-070300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-070300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-070300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-070300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT EXCEPT E 25 KT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 11
FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-070300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-070300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-070300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ141-070300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON FEB 6 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 4, 4:00 PM AKST, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 4, 4:00 PM AKST, 0 minutes before

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 4 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS RATHER SIMPLE
TODAY BUT IT IS LEADING TO A BIT OF A COMPLEX SURFACE MAP. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS THERE IS A RIDGE WITH AN AXIS OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND
INTO THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE. AN UPPER LOW CENTER IS OVER EASTERN
RUSSIA BRINGING SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA.
THERE IS ALSO A WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA.
THE SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE GULF SHORT WAVE IS STILL
IMPRESSIVE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT IT WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
NORTHWEST AS THE UPPER SUPPORT DIMINISHES.
THE BIGGEST WEATHER FEATURE IS THE STRONG FRONT THAT STRETCHES DUE
SOUTH TO NORTH OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA TO THE SEWARD PENINSULA. THE
PARENT LOW FOR THE IS FRONT IS SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR AND IS
DRIFTING NORTHWARD. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT WEATHER LIES ALONG THE FRONT
WHICH IS CAUSING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF BRISTOL BAY.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE A LITTLE BIT OF A MIXED BAG TODAY.
THEY ARE CONSISTENT WITH THE STORM TRACK AND TROUGH AXIS BUT THERE
ARE SOME SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES PAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE THINKING
REMAINS THAT THE GFS HAS A MORE FAVORABLE SOLUTION AND IS BEING
LEANED ON FOR THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGES. THE NAM SOLUTIONS IS
ALSO VERY SIMILAR TO THE GFS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
IN THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE FOR AREAS NORTHWEST
OF KING SALMON. ENOUGH COLD AIR HAS REMAINED IN THESE AREAS TO KEEP
PRECIPITATION SNOW. THE BLOWING SNOW WITH WINDS GUSTING FROM 35 TO 55
MPH IS CAUSING WIDESPREAD WHITE OUT CONDITIONS IN THESE AREAS. TE
FRONT WILL WEAKEN OVERNIGHT AND DIMINISH THE WINDS TO CAUSE THE
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO END. WARM AIR MOVING INTO THESE AREAS FROM THE
SOUTH WILL ALSO HELP TO END THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.
RAIN WILL PERSIST IN THE WARM AIR OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA WITH SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN ALEUTIANS IN THE COLD AIR WRAPPING
AROUND THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE LOW.
THE WEAKENING SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL BRING PRECIPITATION
INTO KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. IT WILL LIKELY BEGIN AS SNOW
BUT TURN TO RAIN AS THE WARMER AIR MOVES OVER THE ISLAND.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...A WARM CORE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS SETTING UP
OVER NORTHWESTERN CANADA AND WILL REMAIN THERE FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH
A LONG WAVE TROUGH SETTING UP OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA. THIS WILL
KEEP FLOW FOR MOST OF THE STATE FROM THE SOUTH BRINGING UP WARMER
MOIST AIR FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC AND BRING WARMER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 155 161.
MARINE...GALE 120 130 132 138 150 155 160 165 172 175 176 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

FEB 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Feb 4, 4:00 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	48 hr
Feb 4, 4:00 PM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	48 hr
Feb 4, 4:00 PM AKST	Heavy Freezing Spray Warning	AFC	12 hr
Feb 5, 4:00 AM AKST	Brisk Wind Advisory	AFC	36 hr
Feb 5, 4:00 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	12 hr
Feb 5, 4:00 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	24 hr
Feb 5, 4:00 AM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	48 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012 Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.