Small Craft Advisory 92, NWS Anchorage, AK

429 
FZAK52 PAFC 011209
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-020300-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 953 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT PEAKS IN INTENSITY AT 
947 MB 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES UP
SHELIKOF STRAIT WHILE WEAKENING TO 973 MB THROUGH THU AFTERNOON. A
993 MB LOW 75 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 270 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA
AT 985 MB THIS EVENING...THEN TRACK TO NEAR SAINT GEORGE ISLAND AT
994 MB LATE THU NIGHT. A 975 MB LOW 530 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA THU
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO AROUND 175 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA AT 961 MB LATE
THU NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-020300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT
OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT...GUSTING TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-020300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
DEVELOPING ALONG THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT...GUSTING TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT...GUSTING TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DIMINISHING TO NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-020300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SNOW.
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-020300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. FROM PORT
MOLLER E... SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SEAS 
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-020300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. S OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...WINDS INCREASING TO N 
50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...N WIND 50 KT. N OF NUNIVAK 
ISLAND...N WIND 35 KT.  
.THU...S OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...NW WIND 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-020300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS
18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...BERING SIDE...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PACIFIC SIDE...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-020300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT BY LATE
MORNING. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT...WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-020300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 40 KT
BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY E
OF SEGUAM ISLAND IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-020300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-020300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 24 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-020300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-020300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT.  

$$

JAM

442 
FZAK52 PAFC 012355
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-021500-
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 944 MB LOW 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES OVER COOK INLET
AND WEAKENS TO 980 MB THU AFTERNOON. A 986 MB LOW 300 NM NORTH OF
SHEMYA MOVES TO 120 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL AT 990 MB FRI MORNING. A
DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK AT 
958 MB FRI AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-021500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-021500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER
GUSTS 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 27 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-021500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. 

$$

PKZ165-021500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT.
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...WIND BECOMING SE AND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE 
FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-021500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT EXCEPT N 35 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND.  
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-021500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
UNALASKA E...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...BERING SIDE...N WIND DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING AND
BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PACIFIC SIDE...NW WIND 40 KT
BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-021500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-021500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 40 KT
BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. 
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-021500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-021500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-021500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SNOW.
.THU...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 30 KT.
SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. 

$$

PKZ179-021500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST WED FEB 1 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. 

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS INITIALIZATIONS WERE REASONABLE. THE ECMWF
WITH THE FURTHER WEST TRACK OF THE MODELS APPEARS TO BE THE BEST
SOLUTION AT THIS POINT.

.UPPER LEVELS...MINOR SHORT WAVES OVER SOUTHCENTRAL TRACK EAST
TONIGHT. A SHORT WAVE SOUTH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS INTENSIFIES AS IT
COMES IN PHASE OF WITH TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA AND COLD AIR
FLOWING OUT OF BERING SEA. A LOW FORMS WITHIN THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH
AND INTENSIFIES AS IT MOVES TO SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WED. THE LOW
DRIFTS NORTH AND WEAKENS THU. A STRONG SOUTHERLY JET FORMS ON THE
EAST FLANK OF THE LOW AND MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD WED. MINOR SHORT
WAVES MOVE EAST ACROSS THE BERING SEA THROUGH THU.

.SURFACE...
THE MAIN FEATURE IS A DEVELOPING LOW WITHIN THE COMPLEX SOUTH OF THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE CENTER WHICH IS PROBABLY IN THE 970S THIS
AFTERNOON INTENSIFIES UNDER A DIGGING UPPER TROUGH AND A STRONG JET.
THE LOW SHOULD DEEPEN INTO THE 940S AS IT APPROACHES KODIAK ISLAND
WED AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT HEADS TOWARD COOK INLET THU. THIS
TRACK IS A LITTLE FURTHER WEST THEN YESTERDAYS RUNS...BUT LOOKS
REASONABLE AS THE LOW SHOULD MOVE TOWARD THE COLD AIR TO THE WEST AS
IT OCCLUDES. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES TO KODIAK TONIGHT AND TO THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND COOK INLET WED NIGHT. A VIGOROUS 970S MB LOW
NEAR ATKA IS PRODUCING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TONIGHT AS THE LOW DROPS
SOUTHEAST AND WEAKENS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT AS IT
TRACKS NORTH IN THE GULF. HIGH WIND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER
KODIAK ISLAND AND IN ZONE 135. WINDS WILL DIMINISH OVER KODIAK WED
AFTERNOON AND ZONE 135 WED NIGHT. WARM AIR WILL SPREAD NORTH WITH THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING ALONG THE COASTS WILL
START AS SNOW BUT SHOULD RAPIDLY SHIFT TO RAIN OR A MIX. THAT
SAID...KODIAK AND ZONE 135 MAY SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW VISIBILITIES
IN BLOWING SNOW WITH THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. TEMPS WILL REMAIN
COLD ENOUGH IN 125(INTERIOR LOCATIONS) AND 131 (THOMPSON PASS)...SO
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITH THE ONSET OF SNOW WED. TEMPS WARM
ENOUGH IN ZONE 125 WED NIGHT...SO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS SHOULD END.
STRENGTHENING SOUTHEAST FLOW ACROSS THE TALKEETNA AND CHUGACH
MOUNTAINS SHOULD PRODUCE RELATIVELY DRY DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS TO THE
LEE. HOWEVER...UPSLOPE CONDITIONS SHOULD DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN
SUSITNA VALLEY WED AFTERNOON AND BRING SIGNIFICANT SNOW POTENTIAL.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND AK PEN...
INCREASING NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE WIND CHILLS OVER THE DELTA
THROUGH THU. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS COMBINED WITH SNOW ALONG THE
LEADING EDGE OF OCCLUDED FRONT WILL BRING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO THE
AK PEN STARTING WED MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO THU MORNING.

.ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS SHOULD END OVERNIGHT AS LOW TRACKS SOUTH AND WEAKENS.
ANOTHER LOW...A LITTLE WEAKER THAN THE LAST ONE WILL BRING UNSETTLED
WEATHER WITH SHOWERS AND GENERALLY SUB-GALE WINDS WED AND THU.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
COLD ADVECTION SNOW WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY OVER THE UPPER COOK INLET
REGION INCLUDING ANCHORAGE AS LOW PRESSURE WINDS DOWN AND SLIDES
NORTH AND EAST TOWARDS THE ALCAN BORDER. AS THIS HAPPENS...ANOTHER
POWERFUL LOW WILL TAKE SHAPE NEAR THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS
AND THEN BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL AND/OR WESTERN BERING
SEA. THIS WILL SET UP DEEP SOUTHEASTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER MUCH
OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA BY THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. EXPECT CONTINUED INCREASED STORMINESS WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR
NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING...187
         BLIZZARD WATCH...125 131 161 181 (UPGRADES LIKELY)
         HIGH WIND WATCH...135 171 (UPGRADES LIKELY)
MARINE...GALES...125 140 141 160 165 170 171 172 175 179 180
         STORMS...120 130 132 138 150 155
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC JAN 12

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
605 PM AKST TUE JAN 31 2012

AKZ101-111-121-125-131-135-141-145-171-010900-

...A POWERFUL STORM IS HEADED FOR THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA...

A STRONG STORM OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL PACIFIC THIS AFTERNOON WILL
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE WAY OUT
AHEAD OF THE LOW CENTER...AFFECTING KODIAK ISLAND AND PORTIONS
OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND SPREADING TO SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG
WINDS AND HEAVY PRECIPITATION WITH THE MOST EXTREME CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST. THE STORM WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES TO THE KENAI PENINSULA THURSDAY. WARMER AIR WILL ALSO SURGE
NORTHWARD AND CHANGE PRECIPITATION TO RAIN ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL. THIS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED THOUGH...AS COLDER AIR WILL
LIKELY MOVE BACK IN THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AND CHANGE EVERYTHING
BACK TO SNOW.

THE IMPACTS OF THIS STORM WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE REGION.
TO FIND OUT HOW YOUR PARTICULAR AREA WILL BE AFFECTED GO TO
HTTP://PAFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SEB