Small Craft Advisory 915, NWS Anchorage, AK

796 
FZAK51 PAFC 180657 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
955 PM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

UPDATED ZONE 120

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181500-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 17 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 50 NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL STRENGTHEN TO 974 MB 80
NM EAST OF CHIGNIK LATE MON NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN TO 971
MB 275 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY TUE EVENING. THIS LOW WILL THEN
SLOWLY DRIFT TO 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 975 MB WED
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-181500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
955 PM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-181500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT...GUSTING TO 25 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT...GUSTING TO 30 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT...GUSTING TO 30 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS 
AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
 
$$

PKZ129-181500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER...BECOMING
VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 40 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-181500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. E OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT THIS EVENING...THEN
INCREASING TO 40 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT.
SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING NW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19
FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-181500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SE 45 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW AND RAIN.  
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-181500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8
FT. FROM KALGIN ISLAND N...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. FROM KALGIN ISLAND N...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-181500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

JM

097 
FZAK51 PAFC 181227
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 976 MB LOW 70 NM WEST OF SITKINAK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 972 MB NEAR
300 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING LATE THIS EVENING. THIS LOW WILL THEN
SLOWLY DRIFT TO 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF HAIDA GWAII AT 980 MB LATE WED
NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-190300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-190300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-190300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ129-190300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-190300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS W. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT EXCEPT 13 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-190300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 35 KT TOWARD EVENING. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
AFTER MIDNIGHT ALONG THE COAST . 
.WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-190300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ140-190300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ141-190300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

004 
FZAK51 PAFC 181611 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
700 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

UPDATED 121 132

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 976 MB LOW 70 NM WEST OF SITKINAK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 972 MB NEAR
300 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING LATE THIS EVENING. THIS LOW WILL THEN
SLOWLY DRIFT TO 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF HAIDA GWAII AT 980 MB LATE WED
NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-190300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-190300-
RESURRECTION BAY
700 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-190300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ129-190300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-190300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS W. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT EXCEPT 13 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-190300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
700 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 35 KT TOWARD EVENING. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
AFTER MIDNIGHT ALONG THE COAST . 
.WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-190300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ140-190300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ141-190300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

506 
FZAK51 PAFC 190015
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191500-
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 971 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL DRIFT EAST AND
STRENGTHEN TO 968 MB 290 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND LATE TONIGHT
BEFORE WEAKENING AND MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC ON WED.
$$

PKZ120-191500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT
FT. SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-191500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF 
CAINES HEAD. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-191500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-191500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR
WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 55 KT.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-191500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF
BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED...NW WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 19
FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...
SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-191500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 
ALONG THE COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-191500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-191500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FROM KALGIN
ISLAND N...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
FROM KALGIN ISLAND N...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-191500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

JM

937 
FZAK51 PAFC 191232
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED DEC 19 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 19 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 968 MB LOW NEAR 54N 144W WILL DRIFT SOUTH INTO THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND WEAKEN TODAY.

$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED DEC 19 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.
SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY EXCEPT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
 .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 19 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED DEC 19 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.  SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST WED DEC 19 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST WED DEC 19 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
19 FT EXCEPT 12 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY EXCEPT
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS W. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED DEC 19 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED DEC 19 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 19 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 19 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE PREVAILING WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE ALASKA DOMAIN REMAINS QUITE
PROGRESSIVE...WITH EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES STEERED BY A 125+ KT JET
STREAM QUICKLY MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. THE ZONAL JET STREAM FLOWS
JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA BEFORE JET REMAINS
GENERALLY JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS BEFORE TURNING SOUTHWARD
TOWARD THE COAST OF BRITISH COLUMBIA. THIS IS LEAVING SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...WITH SOME OF THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON SO FAR OCCURRING AT MANY PLACES THIS
MORNING. OUT WEST...A LOW IN THE MID 980S NEAR THE BERING STRAIT IS
SENDING A WEAKENING ASSOCIATED FRONT THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND...WHERE THE MAIN IMPACT IS LOW CLOUDS AND A BIT OF SNOW. THE
MAIN FEATURE ON THE MAP IS ANOTHER MID 980S LOW LOCATED JUST WEST OF
DUTCH HARBOR THAT IS STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES TO THE EAST. THIS LOW
WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT HEADS TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND...AND
WILL BE THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS ACROSS
THE DOMAIN.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE HANDLING THE EVOLUTION OF THE BERING SEA LOW FAIRLY
WELL. ALL MODELS SHOW THE STORM FOLLOWING A TRACK ACROSS THE ALASKA
PENINSULA THIS EVENING AND SAGGING SLIGHTLY SOUTHWARD TO NEAR THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF KODIAK ISLAND BY TUESDAY MORNING...STEADILY
STRENGTHENING AS IT PROGRESSES. THE LOW THEN STALLS IN THE SOUTHERN
GULF FOR ABOUT 12 HOURS BEFORE RESUMING AN EASTWARD PATH. CONFIDENCE
IS HIGH THAT COLD AIR BEHIND THE LOW WILL CHANGE A RAIN/SNOW MIX IN
KODIAK BACK TO ALL SNOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LEAD TO
SUBSTANTIAL SNOWFALL AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AROUND KODIAK THAT
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE OTHER SIGNIFICANT IMPACT
TO THE REGION WILL BE STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS
THE ALASKA PENINSULA BEHIND THE LOW. WITH PLENTY OF COLD AIR MOVING
INTO THE REGION...PRESSURE RISES FROM THE APPROACHING RIDGE IN THE
BERING...AND ENHANCED DOWNWARD VERTICAL VELOCITY DUE TO AN UPPER
LEVEL WAVE DROPPING DOWN FROM THE NORTH...WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH
HURRICANE FORCE IN CHANNELED AREAS STARTING LATE TONIGHT.
OVERALL...THE GFS HAS BEEN THE MOST CONSISTENT MODEL WITH THE TIMING
AND STRENGTH OF THE BERING STORM...AND WAS THE FAVORED MODEL WEST OF
THE ALASKA RANGE. TO THE EAST...THE SUPERIOR RESOLUTION OF THE NAM
WAS FAVORED FOR GAP WINDS AROUND SOUTHCENTRAL.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE WEAKENING FRONT OVER SOUTHWEST
WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL HAVE LITTLE
IMPACT OTHER THAN TO HELP WARM TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES. MOST OF
THE SOUTHCENTRAL WILL REMAIN TOO FAR TO THE NORTH TO GET MORE THAN
MIDLEVEL CLOUDS FROM THE STORM THAT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF
TONIGHT. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...KODIAK ISLAND WILL BE A DIFFERENT
STORY. SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN ADVANCE OF THE
LOW...MIXING WITH RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY
MORNING...BEFORE THE WINDS SWITCH AND TEMPERATURES DROP AROUND MIDDAY
TUESDAY. THE MIX WITH RAIN OVERNIGHT WILL LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS...BUT
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOULD BRING SEVERAL HOURS OF MODERATE
TO HEAVY SNOW WITH BLOWING SNOW.

SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...RESIDUAL ONSHORE FLOW AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS
THE REGION WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHEAST
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONT. WITH THE LOW TRACKING JUST SOUTH OF
THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE...AREAS AROUND DILLINGHAM WILL SEE SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW AS POSSIBLE DEFORMATION BAND MOVES THROUGH THE ZONE
DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER...THE MOST IMPACTFUL WEATHER WILL
OCCUR ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA WHERE GAP FLOWS THROUGH COMPLEX
TERRAIN WILL LIKELY REACH HURRICANE FORCE BY TUESDAY MORNING.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...AS THE CURRENT LOW NEAR DUTCH HARBOR MOVES
EAST INTO THE GULF THE BERING SEA REGION WILL SEE A SUBSTANTIAL RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOP AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FOR MUCH OF THE
WEEK. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE RETURN OF NORTHERLY WINDS AND COLD
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING...WITH GUSTY SOUTHERLY FLOW
AND WARMER TEMPERATURES OVER THE WESTERN BERING. A SERIES OF
GALE-FORCE FRONTS WILL IMPACT THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS THIS
WEEK...BUT AT THIS POINT MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
HOLD STEADY AND DEFLECT MOST OF THESE FRONTS NORTHWARD INTO RUSSIA.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THERE ARE QUITE A FEW ISSUES WITH THE LONG RANGE MODELS...BUT THE
GENERAL TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND IS FOR THE BERING RIDGE
TO BECOME A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER FAR NORTHERN ALASKA AND THE
ARCTIC OCEAN. THIS MEANS A CONTINUATION OF A GENERALLY CLEAR AND COLD
PATTERN FOR MOST OF THE MAINLAND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 171
         HIGH WIND WARNING 181
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING 150
         STORM WARNING 130 132 155 160 165 170 176
         GALE WARNING 120 127 138 140 171 172 175 179
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD DEC 12