Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 827, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 17, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 17, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 20, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

030 
FZAK51 PAFC 171242
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180300-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 989 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL STRENGTHEN TO
980 MB AND MOVE TO 220 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND LATE SUN NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ120-180300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY
NEAR THE COAST. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COAST IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-180300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-180300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-180300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE EVENING. SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-180300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY
WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-180300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-180300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-180300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-180300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
 
$$
8 follow-up statements
841 
FZAK51 PAFC 171859 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1000 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

UPDATED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180300-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 989 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL STRENGTHEN TO
980 MB AND MOVE TO 220 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND LATE SUN NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ120-180300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY
NEAR THE COAST. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COAST IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-180300-
RESURRECTION BAY
1000 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-180300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-180300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE EVENING. SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-180300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY
WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-180300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-180300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-180300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-180300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
 
$$
013 
FZAK51 PAFC 180036
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181500-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 982 MB LOW 80 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 
290 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY ON MON WITH LITTLE CHANGE 
IN STRENGTH.

$$

PKZ120-181500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT SE 20 KT E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT.
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-181500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 40 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-181500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. STRONGER
GUSTS 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-181500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT N 25 KT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS...EXCEPT SNOW SHOWERS AND FREEZING SPRAY W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT NE 20 KT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 7
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-181500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-181500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-181500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 17 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$
199 
FZAK51 PAFC 181256
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190300-
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 979 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 300 NM
SOUTH OF SITKA AT 987 MB MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-190300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. W OF CAPE CLEARE...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING
E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-190300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-190300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3
FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-190300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-190300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF
THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W
OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS.   
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-190300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-190300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-190300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-190300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
237 
FZAK51 PAFC 181935 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1035 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

UPDATED ZONE 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190300-
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 979 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 300 NM
SOUTH OF SITKA AT 987 MB MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-190300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. W OF CAPE CLEARE...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING
E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-190300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-190300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3
FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-190300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-190300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF
THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W
OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS.   
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-190300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-190300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
1035 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. NW GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS 
AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. NW GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS 
AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-190300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-190300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
794 
FZAK51 PAFC 190043
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191500-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 978 MB LOW 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES
INTO THE PACIFIC SUN NIGHT. A 978 MB LOW OFF THE BRITISH COLUMBIA
COAST WILL TRACK TO 300 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING MON NIGHT AT 
989 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES BACK INTO THE PACIFIC ON 
TUE.

$$

PKZ120-191500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-191500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-191500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 30 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 30 KT OUT OF
NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-191500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-191500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-191500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-191500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. STRONGER GUST 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
NEAR THE SOUTHERN END. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. STRONGER GUST 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES NEAR
THE SOUTHERN END. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-191500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 18 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$
314 
FZAK51 PAFC 191252
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 979 MB LOW 225 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND
DISSIPATE MON AFTERNOON. A 976 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF SITKA WILL
MOVE TO 185 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 987 MB LATE MON NIGHT
THEN DRIFT SOUTH AND WEAKEN IN THE NORTH PACIFIC LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
 
$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW E OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW E OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
376 
FZAK51 PAFC 200036
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 981 MB LOW AROUND 295 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO
275 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN TO 992
MB. THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO 440 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WEDNESDAY.

$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUST TO 55 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED....W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS.  
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON NOV 19 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
571 
FZAK51 PAFC 201217
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 250 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 993 MB TUE NIGHT THEN DISSIPATE WED
MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 20 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 16, 11:55 AM AKST, 16 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 11:55 AM AKST, 16 hours 5 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A HIGH AMPLITUDE
PATTERN IN PLACE ACROSS THE ALASKA REGION WITH A VERY NARROW (SHORT
WAVE-LENGTH) RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND TROUGHS ON
EITHER SIDE OF IT. A STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BERING
IS TRACKING RIGHT INTO THE RIDGE...AIDED BY A STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET
(MAX SPEED AROUND 170 KT). THIS IS TRANSPORTING A LOT OF MOISTURE
AND WARM AIR ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING.
PRECIPITATION IS FOCUSED ALONG A FRONTAL SYSTEM WHICH EXTENDS FROM
A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TO THE CENTRAL BERING
AND ALEUTIANS. A TRIPLE POINT LOW HAS DEVELOPED NORTH OF ATKA...BUT
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.

A LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION DOMINATES THE GULF OF ALASKA AND
NORTHEAST PACIFIC...WITH A VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE SURFACE LOW IN THE GULF AND SURFACE HIGH OVER NORTHERN ALASKA.
THIS IS CONTRIBUTING TO STRONG GAPS WINDS ALONG THE COAST. MEANWHILE
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE IS DIGGING SOUTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL...
ADVECTING ARCTIC AIR SOUTHWARD AND HELPING TO MIX STRONG WINDS DOWN
TO THE SURFACE. THIS FEATURE WILL STRENGTHEN THE GAP WINDS AS IT
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD INTO THE GULF THIS AFTERNOON.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SYNOPTIC
SCALE FEATURES. THERE ARE SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES WITH THE TRACK OF
THE TRIPLE POINT LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING. BASED ON SATELLITE
TRENDS PREFER THE MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK AS SEEN IN THE ECMWF SOLUTION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EXPECT WINDY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP ACROSS
MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL THIS AFTERNOON AS UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO
PASS OVERHEAD AND HIGHER LEVEL WINDS MIX DOWN TOWARD THE SURFACE.
GAP WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST...AIDED BY A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT
AND COLD AIR ADVECTION. AS UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE DIMINISHES TONIGHT
IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH EXPECT WINDS TO DIMINISH IN MANY AREAS AS
THE SURFACE DECOUPLES FROM THE UPPER LEVELS AND INVERSIONS SET BACK
UP. MEANWHILE...GAP WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BLOW. THIS WILL CREATE
LARGE DIFFERENCES IN TEMPERATURE BETWEEN WINDY AREAS AND NON-WINDY
AREAS...MAKING FOR A VERY CHALLENGING MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FORECAST.
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE WILL DROP INTO SOUTHCENTRAL
SATURDAY...EVOLVING INTO AN UPPER LOW AND TRACKING SOUTHWARD INTO
THE WESTERN GULF AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS TROUGH/LOW
WILL HELP FORM A NEW SURFACE LOW OVER THE GULF HELPING TO RE-ENFORCE
THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND KEEP GAP WINDS GOING. THIS WILL
ALSO BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW TO THE NORTH GULF COASTAL AREAS...
ALTHOUGH OFFSHORE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL ENSURE ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATION.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AS SEEN IN THE 12Z KING SALMON SOUNDING
TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA ARE KEEPING MUCH
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT FROM MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE. AN UPPER
LEVEL WAVE WILL PASS THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY LATER TODAY AND
DOWN INTO BRISTOL BAY TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE JUST ENOUGH DOWNWARD
MOMENTUM WITH THIS WAVE TO BREAK THROUGH THE INVERSION IN SOME
LOCATIONS...BUT EXPECT ANY WINDS THAT DO DEVELOP TO BE LOCALIZED.
THAT WILL CHANGE AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A MORE SIGNIFICANT
UPPER LOW DEVELOPS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND DIGS SOUTHWARD INTO THE
GULF. THE COMBINATION OF STRONGER DOWNWARD MOTION AND LOW LEVEL
COLD ADVECTION WILL BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE MORE WIDESPREAD WINDS
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET WILL BARGE RIGHT
THROUGH THE RIDGE AXIS AND CONTINUE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC.
THIS WILL CAUSE FRONTAL SYSTEM TO ELONGATE AND SHEAR APART TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY. A NEW RIDGE WILL THEN DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM
MOVING OUT OF ASIA ON SUNDAY WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL LOW SETS UP OVER
THE WESTERN GULF. THIS WILL SET UP A COLD ADVECTION EVENT OVER THE
EASTERN BERING/EASTERN ALEUTIANS/ALASKA PENINSULA RESULTING IN
STRONG GUSTY NORTHERLIES AND SNOW SHOWERS. AS THE RIDGE MOVES
EASTWARD ON MONDAY ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE
ALEUTIANS AND WESTERN BERING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...EXPECT A FAIRLY STABLE PATTERN IN THE DAY 4
THROUGH 7 PERIOD WITH A MEAN RIDGE OVER THE BERING AND A MEAN LOW
IN THE GULF. THIS MEANS MAINLAND ALASKA WILL STAY ON THE DRY AND
COLD SIDE WITH GAP WINDS PERSISTING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA. STORMS COMING OUT OF ASIA WILL BE FORCED
NORTHWARD UP THE WEST SIDE OF THE BERING RIDGE...MAINTAINING AN
ACTIVE PATTERN OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...127 128 155 165 170 172 176 179 180 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...121 129 140 160 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB NOV 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 16, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC7 days
Nov 16, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Nov 16, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC8 days
Nov 16, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC60 hr
Nov 16, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 17, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC5 days
Nov 17, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC7 days
Nov 17, 4:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 17, 10:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC18 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.