Small Craft Advisory 792, NWS Anchorage, AK

460 
FZAK52 PAFC 050754 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1055 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

UPDATED ZONE 150

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-051500-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL DRIFT INTO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA TUE AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-051500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
1055 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
11 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 14
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 17 FT.  
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-051500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-051500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF 160W...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. E OF 160W...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W OF 160W...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. E
OF 160W...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-051500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-051500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS
11 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT N 20 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 9
FT...EXCEPT 7 FT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-051500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT BERING SIDE...10 FT
PACIFIC SIDE. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT BERING SIDE...8
FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-051500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-051500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-051500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE...12 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-051500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-051500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-051500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

903 
FZAK52 PAFC 051243
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-060300-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL DRIFT EASTWARD TO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT WILL
MOVE OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-060300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9
FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-060300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9
FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-060300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W OF 160W...N WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. E OF 160 W...
N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W OF 160W...N WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. E OF 160 W...N
WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-060300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY E OF PORT MOLLER.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY E OF PORT MOLLER.
.TUE...E OF PORT MOLLER...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. W OF PORT MOLLER...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-060300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS
7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-060300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CHANNELED TERRAIN. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT E OF DUTCH HARBOR. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-060300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CHANNELED TERRAIN. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-060300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 15 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. E OF SEGUAM
ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-060300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-060300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...BERING SIDE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...E 
WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...E
WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...BERING SIDE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...E WIND
40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-060300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-060300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

668 
FZAK52 PAFC 051711 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
805 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

UPDATED 150 155 170 171 179

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-060300-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL DRIFT EASTWARD TO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT WILL
MOVE OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-060300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
805 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9
FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-060300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
805 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9
FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-060300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W OF 160W...N WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. E OF 160 W...
N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W OF 160W...N WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. E OF 160 W...N
WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-060300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY E OF PORT MOLLER.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY E OF PORT MOLLER.
.TUE...E OF PORT MOLLER...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. W OF PORT MOLLER...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-060300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS
7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-060300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
805 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-060300-
UNALASKA BAY
805 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-060300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 15 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. E OF SEGUAM
ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-060300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-060300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...BERING SIDE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...E 
WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...E
WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...BERING SIDE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...E WIND
40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-060300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-060300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
805 AM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

566 
FZAK52 PAFC 060017
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-061500-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL DRIFT EASTWARD TO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA EARLY WED MORNING AND THEN MOVE INLAND. A WEATHER
FRONT FROM A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
TUE AFTERNOON AND MOVE NORTH TO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-061500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ155-061500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ160-061500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ165-061500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
$$

PKZ180-061500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SOUTH AND EAST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. FROM NUNIVAK ISLAND NORTH AND WEST...N WIND
15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...SOUTH AND EAST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. OTHERWISE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT SOUTH AND EAST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND EXCEPT
VARIABLE 10 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ170-061500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
UNALASKA E...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ171-061500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 20 KT BY MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ172-061500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ175-061500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT PACIFIC SIDE...25 KT BERING SIDE. SEAS 8 FT
BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ176-061500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ185-061500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
$$

PKZ179-061500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST MON NOV 5 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
130 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
ALASKA AND THE NORTH PACIFIC REMAIN IN A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN FEATURING A RIDGE ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING SEA AND A BROAD
LONGWAVE TROUGH GENERALLY CENTERED SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. JET
STREAM ENERGY IS CONSOLIDATED INTO A SINGLE 130 KNOT BRANCH THAT IS
WELL SOUTH OF OUR AREA AND IS SUPPORTING THE LONGWAVE TROUGH. STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS OVER THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA ARE USHERING COLD AIR
INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT AND BRINGING GUSTY WINDS AS
FAR SOUTH AS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA. COLD AIR IS
ALSO POOLED OVER INTERIOR ALASKA AND IS BEGINNING TO FILTER THROUGH
THE MOUNTAINS INTO SOUTHCENTRAL AND ON TO THE COAST. IN
RESPONSE...GUSTY WINDS HAVE INTENSIFIED THROUGH THE NORMAL TERRAIN
GAPS FROM THOMPSON PASS TO WHITTIER AND RESURRECTION BAY. IN
ADDITION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER
THE INTERIOR FOR THE LAST 36 HOURS IS POISED TO BEGIN MOVING
SOUTHWARD AS WELL. WHILE GENERALLY STARVED FOR MOISTURE...THIS TROUGH
HAS MANAGED TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW IN THE FAIRBANKS AREA DUE
TO ITS VERY SLOW MOVEMENT.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FIRST 84 HOURS
(SHORT TERM) OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT A
SUSTAINED PERIOD OF COLD OUTFLOW WINDS ACROSS COASTAL SOUTHCENTRAL
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. LESS CERTAIN IS THE IMPACT OF
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY STRETCHING ACROSS INTERIOR ALASKA.
THE MODELS AGREE THAT THIS TROUGH WILL SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH
THE ANCHORAGE BOWL ON TUESDAY. THE LINGERING QUESTION IS HOW MUCH
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE IS AVAILABLE TO DEVELOP CLOUDS AND SNOW ACROSS
THE REGION. GENERALLY SPEAKING...COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGHS DROPPING
DOWN FROM THE NORTH ARE STARVED FOR MOISTURE AND STRUGGLE TO PRODUCE
MORE THAN FLURRIES. HOWEVER...SINCE THIS FEATURE WILL BE MOVING SO
SLOWLY...AND WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW IN FRONT OF THE TROUGH...THERE
REMAINS A CHANCE SOME AREAS AROUND COOK INLET COULD SEE SOME MINOR
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON TUESDAY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...A TROUGH ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST CONTINUES WITH A
WEAK CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE MEAN FLOW CURRENTLY NEAR MIDDLETON
ISLAND. THIS FEATURE IS KEEPING SHOWER ACTIVITY AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND AND CORDOVA...WHICH SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING. AS
MENTIONED ABOVE...EXPECT GAP OUTFLOW WINDS TO REALLY ESTABLISH THIS
EVENING AS THE COLD ADVECTION PROCESS INTENSIFIES. THE ARRIVAL OF THE
COLD AIR WILL ALSO HELP REDEVELOP A LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL ACT TO TIGHTEN PRESSURE GRADIENTS
ACROSS THE REGION EVEN MORE. INLAND...LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR...AND KEEP AFTERNOON HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH THE START OF THE
WEEK. AS DISCUSSED IN THE MODEL DISCUSSION...STILL A CHANCE THAT COOK
INLET REGION MAY SEE A BIT OF SNOW FROM THE UPPER TROUGH MOVING
THROUGH ON TUESDAY. BETTER CHANCES FOR SNOW OVER WESTERN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN AVAILABLE
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE.

SOUTHWEST...WITH A RIDGE TO THE WEST AND TROUGH TO THE EAST...EXPECT
COLD DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION
TO BEGIN THE WEEK. NORTH/NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
MORE NORTHEASTERLY AS THE LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF DRIFTS TOWARD
KODIAK ISLAND TUESDAY. ONCE THIS HAPPENS....THE LOCATION OF THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY SHIFT FROM ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
COAST TO INLAND BRISTOL BAY. THE GUSTIEST WINDS WILL LIKELY SHOW A
DIURNAL TREND (HIGHER DURING THE DAY...LOWER AT NIGHT) AS THE SUN IS
STILL STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SOME MIXING IN THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP WEATHER
UNSEASONABLY TRANQUIL OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN BERING THROUGH
TUESDAY. FURTHER EAST...STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS CURRENTLY OVER THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TOWARD THE MAINLAND BEFORE
DIMINISHING MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A LARGE AND SLOW-MOVING
PACIFIC LOW WILL GRADUALLY NUDGE NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...GRADUALLY SWITCHING WINDS AROUND TO THE EAST AND INCREASING TO
GALE FORCE BY TUESDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN 1/2 OF THE ALEUTIANS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A PATTERN CHANGE LOOKS LIKELY BY MIDWEEK AS THE CURRENT
HIGH-AMPLITUDE PATTERN BECOMES MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH FEATURES MORE
FREELY MOVING AROUND THE REGION. THE LONG-RANGE MODELS ALSO SEEM TO
BE SUGGESTING THAT THE PATTERN MAY TRANSITION BY NEXT WEEKEND INTO A
TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA AND A RIDGE OVER THE GULF. IF THIS WERE TO
HAPPEN...IT COULD SET MUCH OF MAINLAND ALASKA UP WITH WINDY AND MOIST
SOUTHERLY FLOW...REMINISCENT OF SEPTEMBER.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 130 132 150 155 160 165 170 171 180 175 176
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 150 160 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DIXON NOV 12