Small Craft Advisory 790, NWS Anchorage, AK

186 
FZAK52 PAFC 041328 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
430 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

UPDATED ZONES 160 185

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-050300-
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA THROUGH MON
NIGHT. STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN BERING. A
WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS MON EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-050300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE..NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-050300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT 25 KT W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 7
FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT 25 KT W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-050300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
430 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 35 KT W OF 160W. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 35 KT W OF 160W. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-050300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 35 KT W OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS 13 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 35 KT W OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-050300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-050300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...BERING SIDE...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT
BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E OF DUTCH HARBOR...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. W OF
DUTCH HARBOR...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT BERING SIDE...9 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. SNOW.
.MON...E OF DUTCH HARBOR...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W OF DUTCH
HARBOR...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-050300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-050300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 20 KT W OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT W OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 15 KT W OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-050300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-050300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-050300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
430 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT W OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-050300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

045 
FZAK52 PAFC 041632 AAB
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
730 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

UPDATED ZONES 150 155 170 171 172 179 185

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-050300-
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA THROUGH MON
NIGHT. STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN BERING. A
WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS MON EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-050300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
730 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8
FT.  
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE..NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-050300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
730 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7
FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-050300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
430 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 35 KT W OF 160W. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 35 KT W OF 160W. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-050300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 35 KT W OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS 13 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 35 KT W OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-050300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-050300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
730 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT BERING SIDE...9 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...8 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-050300-
UNALASKA BAY
730 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-050300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
730 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 20 KT W OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 15 KT W OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-050300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-050300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-050300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
730 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-050300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
730 AM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

821 
FZAK52 PAFC 050032
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-051500-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL DRIFT INTO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA TUE AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-051500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
9 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 14
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 17 FT.  
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-051500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-051500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF 160W...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. E OF 160W...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W OF 160W...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. E
OF 160W...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-051500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-051500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS
11 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT N 20 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 9
FT...EXCEPT 7 FT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-051500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT BERING SIDE...10 FT
PACIFIC SIDE. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT BERING SIDE...8
FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-051500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-051500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-051500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE...12 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-051500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-051500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-051500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 PM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST THIS AFTERNOON IS THE LARGE VERTICALLY
STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA...WHICH
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND RAIN SHOWERS OVER MARINE AREAS
AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD AND WEAKENS.
PRECIPITATION REMAINS MOSTLY CONFINED TO COASTAL PORTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL AK...WITH INLAND AREAS SEEING GENERALLY CLOUDY SKIES
WITH A FEW BREAKS OF SUNSHINE. THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND REMAINS UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF A FAIRLY BENIGN PATTERN...WITH OFFSHORE FLOW
YIELDING CLEAR SKIES OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS
OVER THE EASTERN RUSSIA AND THE WESTERN BERING...WITH STRONG
NORTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN THIS FEATURE AND THE GULF LOW BRINGING SNOW
SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE EASTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC
PATTERN THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. THE STACKED LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN COAST INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE
LOW WILL TRANSITION TO AN OPEN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND MOVE
INLAND SUNDAY AS THE NEXT DISTURBANCE RIDES INTO THE PANHANDLE.
DESPITE THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT...DISCREPANCIES REMAIN
REGARDING PLACEMENT OF MESOSCALE FEATURES...WITH SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE GULF LOW CONTRIBUTING TO FORECAST
UNCERTAINTIES IN THE LIKELIHOOD AND TIMING OF PRECIPITATION OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...THE STACKED LOW IN THE GULF REMAINS THE PROBLEM
THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS LOW WILL LIFT TO THE COAST EAST OF CORDOVA
TONIGHT AS ANOTHER LOW MOVES INTO THE PANHANDLE. A COUPLE UPPER
DISTURBANCES WILL ENCIRCLE THE LOW TONIGHT WITH SOME SHOWERS
REMAINING MAINLY ALONG THE COASTAL LOCATIONS. SOME SNOW WILL SPREAD
INLAND OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN BUT REMAIN MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. MODERATE WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA AS THE LOW
REMAINS IN THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH SUNDAY. GAP WINDS ALONG THE
COAST WILL PICK UP SUNDAY AS THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE NEUTRAL
ALLOWING FOR WESTERLY AND NORTHERLY GAP FLOWS TO DEVELOP. IN
ADDITION...THE GRADIENT BECOMES MORE FAVORABLE.

IN THE MEANTIME...AN UPPER TROUGH SINKS INTO THE REGION AND SLOWLY
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. AS THE FLOW
ALOFT TURNS MORE SOUTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...SUSPECT CHANCES
OF PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE OVER THE REGION. THE PRECIP WILL BE IN
THE FORM OF SNOW SINCE THE TROUGH IS BRINGING COLDER ARCTIC AIR. AS
THE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH TUESDAY...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL PICK UP AND
THE GAP FLOWS WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT DUE TO LOW IN THE GULF
AND DEVELOPING HIGH IN THE WESTERN BERING. MODERATE WINDS INLAND AND
STRONG WINDS ALONG THE AKPEN AND THE BERING SEA COASTLINE. THE LOW IN
THE GULF WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE A BIT EAST TOMORROW AND
MONDAY AS THE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN THE EASTERN BERING. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THE TROUGH MOVING SOUTH THROUGH
NORTHERN AND WESTERN ALASKA IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OVER
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND VALLEY AREAS AS WELL. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE TO SLIDE SOUTH TONIGHT WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS MOVING INTO
BRISTOL BAY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THE TROUGH AXIS MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH WINDS DIMINISHING AND
SKIES CLEARING MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES OVER THE
BERING IN MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW. OVER THE
WATER...CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS WILL REMAIN THE RULE THROUGH TONIGHT
AND INTO TOMORROW FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE WESTERN BERING TO SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL BERING MONDAY
WITH WINDS AND SHOWERS DIMINISHING OVER THE BERING. A DEVELOPING LOW
IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL BRING SOME HIGHER EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS TO
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BEGINNING TUESDAY. THE LOW WILL REMAIN FAR
ENOUGH SOUTH TO ONLY PROVIDE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE PATTERN IS IN FOR A CHANGE. THE TROUGH OVER
THE MAINLAND INTO THE GULF IS EXPECTED TO SWING TO THE PANHANDLE
WEDNESDAY AS THE RIDGE OVER THE BERING MOVES OVER THE MAINLAND. THERE
IS TO BE A TROUGH MOVING OUT OF RUSSIA INTO THE NORTHERN BERING
PHASING WITH A LOW MOVING OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. THIS PHASING OF ENERGIES IS THE CAUSE FOR A LOT OF
UNCERTAINTY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. OVERALL...BY LATE NEXT WEEK THE
PATTERN WILL BE MORE ACTIVE FOR THE MAINLAND AND BERING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE WARNING 120 127 128 160 165 170 179 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

CB/JN NOV 12