Small Craft Advisory 757, NWS Anchorage, AK

981 
FZAK51 PAFC 222308
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231500-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE FROM A LOW NEAR VANCOUVER ISLAND INTO THE
EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUE NIGHT AND WEAKEN WED.
HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE ALASKA MAINLAND INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF
ALASKA WILL SLOWLY MOVE OVER THE TO THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA
THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ120-231500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-231500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-231500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-231500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-231500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
7 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS AND W. NE WIND 15 KT
ELSEWHERE. SEAS TO 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT N 20 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-231500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-231500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FR AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-231500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-231500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

566 
FZAK51 PAFC 231125
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240300-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WILL
WEAKEN BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WILL BE REPLACED BY BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE ACROSS THE GULF.

$$

PKZ120-240300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-240300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-240300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 2
FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS 
TO 20 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-240300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-240300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...BARREN ISLANDS W...NE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 
SEAS 6 FT. OTHERWISE VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-240300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-240300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-240300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-240300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

578 
FZAK51 PAFC 232312
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-241500-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WILL
WEAKEN BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WILL BE REPLACED BY BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE ACROSS THE GULF WEDNESDAY.

$$

PKZ120-241500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5
FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-241500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-241500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-241500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-241500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT NEAR THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 
6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-241500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-241500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-241500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SOUTH OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-241500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 23 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
2 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKDT MON OCT 22 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
PERSISTENT STRONG UPPER RIDGING IS KEEPING LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS TODAY. THIS LEAVES MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND UNDER
CLEAR SKIES...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WHERE A
FRONT HAS MOVED ONSHORE. OFFSHORE GAP WINDS HAVE WEAKENED
CONSIDERABLY SINCE YESTERDAY. THERE IS SOME PRECIPITATION AFFECTING
THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WITH THE FRONT...BUT THAT WILL BE ON A
WEAKENING TREND THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GREAT AGREEMENT THROUGH MUCH OF THE SHORT TERM...WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF THE LOW THAT WILL MOVE TOWARD THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WHERE THERE ARE
STILL SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE TRACK OF THAT LOW. THE NAM WAS
GENERALLY USED IN THE SHORT TERM...WITH A TRANSITION TO THE ECMWF FOR
ITS CONSISTENCY FOR THE MIDDLE PART OF THE FORECAST AND BLENDING IN
SOME HPC GUIDANCE TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN MAINLAND AND EASTERN BERING SEA WILL
PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHICH MEANS CONTINUED
CLEAR SKIES AND SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. GENERALLY NORTHERLY GAP WINDS WILL INCREASE
AGAIN ON TUESDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE INTERIOR
AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AGAIN.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS THE FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND WEAKENS TODAY. SKIES WILL CLEAR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE TAKES CONTROL. MEANWHILE...AS THE NEXT LOW MOVES NORTHWARD
TOWARD THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE
IN THOSE AREAS TODAY BUT THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE SOUTH AGAIN DUE TO
THE STRONG HIGH. THEREFORE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL BE HARD PRESSED TO
MAKE IT EAST TO UNALASKA AND THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THIS OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK...KEEPING
SIMILAR WEATHER FOR SOUTHCENTRAL AK AS WELL AS THE BERING
SEA/ALEUTIANS. THIS GENERALLY MEANS COOL/DRY FOR SOUTHCENTRAL AK AND
WARM/WET FOR THE ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA. AS WEAK SYSTEMS MOVE THROUGH
THERE WILL BE SOME WINDY PERIODS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...STORM 172 185 412 413
         GALE 127 170 171 175 176 179 411 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

SCHRECK