Small Craft Advisory 671, NWS Anchorage, AK

707 
FZAK51 PAFC 211242 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220300-
442 AM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH TONIGHT. A 980 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK
SAT MORNING AND THEN TO 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK AT 990 MB SAT
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-220300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-220300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-220300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE...GUSTS TO 50 KT.
SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-220300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-220300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT...EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. PATCHY FOG. RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT...EXCEPT SEAS 9 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-220300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-220300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-220300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-220300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

JM

385 
FZAK51 PAFC 212341
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221500-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 977 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL WEAKEN TO 984 MB 220 NM
SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY SAT AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN TO 
1001 MB 55 NM SOUTHWEST OF SEWARD BY SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-221500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-221500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-221500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER
GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-221500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-221500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT EXCEPT 7 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-221500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-221500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-221500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-221500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO E 25 KT DURING THE
EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

087 
FZAK51 PAFC 221157
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 22 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230300-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 22 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 977 MB LOW 420 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO 30 NM SOUTH OF HOMER
AT 995 MB SUN MORNING THEN MOVE ASHORE NEAR SEWARD AT 1005 MB SUN
EVENING.
$$

PKZ120-230300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-230300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-230300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT DURING THE MORNING. NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE...GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARDS MORNING. NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE...GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-230300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-230300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-230300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT EXCEPT W 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-230300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT...GUSTING TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-230300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-230300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

JM

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT THU SEP 20 2012

.MODEL DISCUSSION...NAM, GFS AND EC IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...STATIONARY BERING SEA TROUGH/WESTERN CANADIAN
RIDGE MAINTAINS MOISTURE LADEN SOUTHERLY FETCH OF MILD WINDS FROM 35N INTO
SOUTHERN ALASKA. INTERESTING STORM CENTERED NEAR 45N 170W IS ORIGINALLY FROM
THE ARCTIC AND CAME DOWN THE WEST SIDE OF THE BERING TROUGH THE LAST FEW
DAYS. THIS STORM HAS NOW MADE A TURN TO THE EAST AND FORECAST TO TEMPORARILY
DISRUPT THE WIND AND MOISTURE FLOW THAT HAS RESULTED IN THE HEAVY RAIN
SOUTHERN ALASKA. AS THE STORM BEGINS TO MOVE NORTHEAST LATE THURSDAY THE
RIDGING OUT IN ADVANCE WILL KICK THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY NORTH AND EAST LATER
THURSDAY NIGHT AND ALLOW DRIER AIR TO COME ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AK BY FRIDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER, AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVES THROUGH INCREASING SOUTHEAST
FLOW FROM THE GULF WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD HEAVIER, MORE EXTENSIVE RAINFALL
BACK ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA FRIDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS AS IF THE
HEAVY RAIN PATTERN WILL RETURN TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND FROM THE EASTERN
KENAI PENINSULA EAST TO YAKUTAT..AND TO A LESSER EXTENT OVER THE WESTERN AND
MID SUSITNA VALLEY.

RAIN WILL SPREAD NORTHWEST ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND SOUTHERN KUSKOKWIM VALLEY
FRIDAY NIGHT, AND INTO AT LEAST THE EASTERN PART OF ZONE 155 SATURDAY
PLACING BETHEL ON THE WESTERN EDGE.

NORTHERLY GALES LIKELY FOR THE WESTERN ALASKA PENINSULA AND MARINE ZONE 171
FRIDAY NIGHT AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST GALES IN ACROSS THE GULF WHICH WILL
CONTINUE FOR 24 OR 30 HOURS OR SO. ANOTHER STORM TRACKS EASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN BERING WHICH WILL ACT TO WEAKEN AND PUSH THE DOWNSTREAM SYSTEM
EAST.

SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH SATURDAY THEN BEGIN A DOWNWARD TREND AS
THE COOLER AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE LOWER SNOW LEVELS ALONG WITH A WEAKENING JET, WHICH
SHIFTS EASTWARD TO THE PANHANDLE, SHOULD HELP EASE THE FLOODING CONDITIONS
SINCE A COOLER MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE AREA.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...EARLY NEXT WEEK LOOKS VERY WINDY AND WET KODIAK ISLAND
AND THE IMMEDIATE NORTH GULF COAST WITH MUCH LIGHTER AND MORE INTERMITTENT
RAIN AMOUNTS FOR INLAND AREAS SUCH AS VALDEZ AND ANCHORAGE. COLDER GALE
FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS
THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK. LESS RAIN FOR SOUTHERN ALASKA AS THE MAIN STORM
TRACK REMAINS FARTHER SOUTH AND HEADS IN OVER THE SOUTHEAST COAST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY

PUBLIC...FLOOD WARNING FOR ZONES 121, 125, 131, 135
         FLOOD ADVISORY FOR ZONES 101, 111
MARINE...GALE FOR AREAS 120, 125, 130

DPERCY SEP 12