Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 647, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 12, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 12, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 12, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Sep 13, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

183 
FZAK51 PAFC 121159
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130300-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1000 MB LOW 60 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL WEAKEN TO 1008 MB
AS IT MOVES NEAR MONTAGUE ISLAND EARLY WED NIGHT AND THEN MOVE ON
SHORE THU. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF THU.
$$

PKZ120-130300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT. N OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 20 KT ALONG THE COAST E OF 
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-130300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-130300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-130300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-130300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS NW...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING 
NW 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SE OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SW WIND 25 KT
DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-130300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-130300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-130300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING VARIABLE
10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. N OF 
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-130300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING 
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
886 
FZAK51 PAFC 121457 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
655 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

CORRECTED AREA 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130300-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1000 MB LOW 60 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL WEAKEN TO 1008 MB
AS IT MOVES NEAR MONTAGUE ISLAND EARLY WED NIGHT AND THEN MOVE ON
SHORE THU. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF THU.
$$

PKZ120-130300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT. N OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 20 KT ALONG THE COAST E OF 
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-130300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-130300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-130300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-130300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS NW...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING 
NW 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SE OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SW WIND 25 KT
DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-130300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-130300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-130300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING VARIABLE
10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. N OF 
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-130300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING 
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
517 
FZAK51 PAFC 122351
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131500-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1003 MB LOW 65 NM SOUTHEAST OF HOMER WILL MOVE TO 80 NM SOUTHWEST
OF YAKUTAT THU AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATE. A WEATHER FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-131500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 20 KT ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-131500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-131500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10
KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-131500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-131500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-131500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT W 15 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 8
FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-131500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-131500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-131500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

JM
386 
FZAK51 PAFC 131138
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140300-
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1007 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE BY THIS EVENING. 
A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-140300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 20 KT ALONG THE COAST 
E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-140300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-140300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-140300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-140300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-140300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-140300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-140300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-140300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 11, 4:00 PM AKDT, 12 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 11, 4:00 PM AKDT, 12 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 11 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT WAS OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA HAS MOVED EASTWARD AND IS OVER THE ALCAN BORDER
THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SITUATED OVER EASTERN
RUSSIA WITH A STRONG TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD TO BRISTOL BAY.
THE 250 MB JET STREAM IS FROM THE NORTHWEST OVER THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN BERING SEA IN THE 60 TO 90 KT RANGE. THE JET CURVES AROUND
THE SOUTHERN END OF THE TROUGH SO IT IS FROM THE SOUTHWEST IN THE 95
TO 110 KT RANGE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA.
THE PROGRESSION OF THIS SYSTEM WILL SEE THE UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY AS THE TROUGH WEAKENS. BY THURSDAY NIGHT THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA WILL BECOME ZONAL RIGHT BEFORE A COLD
UPPER LEVEL LOW DROP RAPIDLY OVER THE BERING SEA TO FUEL A STRONG
STORM THIS WEEKEND.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS IN THE FIRST TWO DAYS HAVE CONVERGED TO A
COMMON SOLUTION THAT LOOKS VERY SOLID. THERE IS STILL SOME
DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS BY FRIDAY WITH THE COLD CORE LOW DROPPING
OUT OF EASTERN RUSSIA AND OVER THE BERING SEA. MODEL RUNS PRIOR TO
THE 12Z RUNS FROM THIS MORNING HAVE BEEN FLAT OUT AWFUL WITH THEIR
CONSISTENCY FROM RUN TO RUN AND ALSO BETWEEN MODELS. DIFFERENCES IN
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW POSITIONS WERE AROUND 500 MILES FROM THOSE RUNS.
THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THE MODELS ARE NOW CONVERGING ON A COMMON
SOLUTION TO THE STORM TRACK AND INTENSITY FOR THE WEEKEND. THERE IS A
GOOD CHANCE THEY WILL FURTHER CONVERGE ON A COMMON SOLUTION OVER THE
NEXT FEW RUNS BUT ARE FINALLY GOOD ENOUGH NOW TO GIVE SOME CONFIDENCE
IN THE FORECAST MOVING INTO THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING OUT OF THE LOW IN
BRISTOL BAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND BRING RAIN TO BRISTOL
BAY AS WELL AS THE GULF COAST AND KODIAK ISLAND. THIS FRONT WILL ALSO
BRING RAIN INTO SOUTH CENTRAL INLAND OVERNIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. WINDS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL BE AT GALE STRENGTH
THIS EVENING THEN WEAKEN AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
OVERNIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE LOW DROPPING OUT OF EASTERN RUSSIA WILL
SPIN UP INTO A STRONG STORM BY THIS WEEKEND. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
WILL FALL OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHERN ALASKA WITH THE JET STREAM
LIKELY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AND THE NORTH GULF COAST. THERE WILL
BE SOME VERY WINDY AREAS AS WELL WITH THIS FRONT. THE BIGGEST
UNCERTAINTY REMAIN THE EXACT AREAS AND THE TIMING. AS THE MODELS
HOPEFULLY CONVERGE ON AN ADEQUATE SOLUTION OVER THE NEXT FEW RUNS THE
ANSWER TO THOSE QUESTION SHOULD BECOME CLEARER.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 120 130.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEP 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 11, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC3 days
Sep 11, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Sep 11, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Sep 11, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.