Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 490, NWS Anchorage, AK

July 14, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 14, 2012, 8:30 AM AKDT. It was in force for 20 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2012, 8:30 AM AKDT (16:30 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

508 
FZAK52 PAFC 141634 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
830 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

UPDATED ZONE 171

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150300-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 994 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO NEAR KIPNUK AT
1004 MB EARLY SUN MORNING...THEN FURTHER WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AROUND
150 NM NORTHWEST OF HOOPER BAY MON MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS THROUGH MON.

$$

PKZ150-150300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-150300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-150300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-150300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W OF PORT MOLLER...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. E OF PORT MOLLER...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-150300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT 10 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT 10 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-150300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT PACIFIC SIDE...7 FT BERING SIDE.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT PACIFIC SIDE...6 FT BERING SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-150300-
UNALASKA BAY
830 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-150300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT FROM SEGUAM ISLAND W. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT 10 KT FROM SEGUAM ISLAND W. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-150300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-150300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-150300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-150300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
2 follow-up statements
508 
FZAK52 PAFC 142331
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151500-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 998 MB LOW 125 NM SOUTHWEST OF COLD BAY WILL WEAKEN TO 1005 MB 
SUN MORNING NEAR BETHEL. THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE BY SUN EVENING. 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE EASTERN BERING MON. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS THROUGH MON.
$$

PKZ150-151500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-151500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-151500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-151500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W OF PORT MOLLER...NW WIND 25 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...
SE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-151500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S OF CAPE MENDENHALL...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING N AFTER
MIDNIGHT. N OF CAPE MENDENHALL...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING 
N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-151500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-151500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-151500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-151500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-151500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-151500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ179-151500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$
866 
FZAK52 PAFC 151144
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-160300-
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1002 MB LOW 45 NM SOUTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM MOVES INLAND OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA LATER THIS MORNING WHILE WEAKENING TO 1007 MB. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS AND BUILD
OVER THE EASTERN BERING THROUGH MON. A WEATHER FRONT PUSHES NORTH
ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN BERING SEA LATE MON AFTERNOON THROUGH MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-160300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-160300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-160300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-160300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-160300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-160300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-160300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-160300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-160300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-160300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-160300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-160300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 15 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 14, 5:15 AM AKDT, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 5:15 AM AKDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
515 AM AKDT SAT JUL 14 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE MAIN FEATURES THIS MORNING ARE A NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER-LVL LOW
JUST OFF THE COAST OF HOOPER BAY...AND A 994 MB PACIFIC LOW AROUND
200 MILES SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR MOVING NORTHEAST. ONSHORE FLOW RAIN
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND IS BEING REINFORCED BY A SHORTWAVE
PRECEDING THE MAIN PACIFIC FRONT. THE PACIFIC LOW HAS REACHED PEAK
INTENSITY AND IS SUPPORTING RAIN AND GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE
EASTERN CHAIN AND AKPEN...ADVANCING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF.
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AK...THERE IS AMPLE RESIDUAL LOW-LVL MOISTURE
FROM THE OVERNIGHT SHOWERS IN UPPER COOK INLET...CORROBORATED BY THE
ANCHORAGE MORNING SOUNDING. A TOUCH OF ISENTROPIC LIFT IS STILL
SQUEEZING OUT A FEW PASSING SHOWERS OVER THE MAT-SU VALLEY WHICH ARE
GENERALLY DIMINISHING. HIGH PRESSURE OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND
THE GULF OF AK IS RETREATING EAST.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS HAVE A REASONABLE HANDLE ON THE MAIN FEATURES...AND THEY HAVE
TRENDED A BIT STRONGER WITH THE PACIFIC SYSTEM. THERE IS AGREEMENT
THAT THE LOW SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL FILL AS IT TRACKS TO NEAR
KIPNUK SUN MORNING...THEN WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT MOVES TO SAINT
LAWRENCE ISLAND ON MON MORNING. MODELS SHOW THE FRONT SWINGING TO THE
NORTHERN GULF AND WEAKENING ON SUN. A WEAK TRIPLE POINT DEVELOPS
ALONG IT IN SHELIKOF STRAIT EARLY SUN WHICH THEN WEAKENS AS IT
BRUSHES THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA SUN NIGHT. ON MON...ENERGY FROM
THE STATIONARY UPPER-LOW IN THE NORTHEASTERN BERING BEGINS TO
SPLIT...WITH THE NORTHERN LOBE MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE SW
MAINLAND AND NORTHERN GULF TUE...THEN TOWARDS THE AK PANHANDLE ON
WED. THE SOUTHERN LOBE OF ENERGY CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CHAIN ALSO
BEGINS TO TRACK EAST TOWARDS THE GULF MID NEXT WEEK. OVERALL...THE
NAM WAS AN OUTLIER IN BEGINNING TO MOVE THE NORTHERN LOBE INTO THE
MAINLAND A DAY SOONER AND FURTHER NORTH IN SOUTHCENTRAL AK. THE ECMWF
WAS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE GFS WITH THE OTHER DEVELOPMENTS. THE
MORNING FORECAST LEANED ON THE GFS THROUGH TUE...AND TRENDED HEAVY TO
HPC FOR MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...IN BELOW AVERAGE FORECAST CONFIDENCE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
LOW-LVL MOISTURE WILL BE TOUGH TO SCOUR OUT OVER UPPER COOK
INLET...THOUGH MAY STILL SEE A FEW SUNNY BREAKS BEFORE THE DAY IS
SAID AND DONE. EITHER WAY...CLOUDS FROM THE PACIFIC SYSTEM ARE
MARCHING TOWARDS THE REGION...WITH STEADY RAIN EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD
KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH THE SOUTHERN TO EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL PRODUCE ROUTINE GUSTY EAST WINDS THROUGH GAPS AND
COASTAL MARINE AREAS AS THE FRONT APPROACHES. THESE WINDS INITIALLY
ARE EXPECTED TO DOWNSLOPE AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF THE KENAI/CHUGACH
RANGES EXCEPT FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY. THE FRONT
WEAKENS SUN AS IT NOSES ASHORE THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND COAST...AND
SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY IN
NATURE... ENABLING PRECIPITATION TO FILL IN TO DOWNSLOPED REGIONS.
THE SUPPORTING SHORTWAVE ENERGY APPEARS TO TRACK MORE OVER THE
SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA WHICH MAY KEEP PRECIP ON THE LIGHT SIDE IN
THE AFOREMENTIONED INTERIOR AREAS. SOME UPPER-RIDGING AND WEAK
OFFSHORE FLOW MOVES IN BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH SOME DRIER
CONDITIONS IN STORE FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ON MON. A SURFACE TROUGH
DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF HOWEVER...SO DRIER CONDITIONS STILL
LOOK TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY BRISK NORTH TO WEST WINDS.

SOUTHWEST...
RAIN WILL PERSIST AS THE PACIFIC LOW ITSELF TRACKS TO THE WESTERN
KUSKOKWIM DELTA ON SUN...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO EAST
WINDS. WHILE SUCH WINDS GENERALLY WILL DOWNSLOPE AREAS IMMEDIATELY
WEST OF THE ALEUTIAN AND ALASKA RANGE...THE 850 TO 700 MB FLOW SHOULD
REMAIN MORE SOUTHERLY IN NATURE...ALLOWING PRECIPITATION TO LARGELY
CONTINUE EVEN IN THESE AREAS. ONSHORE FLOW AROUND THE LOW AS IT MOVES
AWAY AND WEAKENS SHOULD KEEP CONDITIONS CLOUDY AND WET PARTICULARLY
OVER COASTAL AREAS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE PACIFIC SYSTEM CROSSES THE AKPEN NEAR COLD BAY THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUES MOVING AWAY THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND STEADIEST
RAIN WILL TAPER TO SHOWERS IN IT'S WAKE. THE TRACK OF THE LOW IS FAR
ENOUGH EAST THAT THE PRIBILOFS SHOULD SEE ONLY A BIT OF RAIN AND
LITTLE OF THE WIND EXPERIENCED FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST. THE FLOW ALOFT
BECOMES MORE ANTICYCLONIC ON MON...SO SHOULD SEE A DECREASE IN THE
SHOWERS FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CHAIN.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
FORECAST CHALLENGES MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK GENERALLY SURROUND THE
TRACK OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS UPPER LOW. FOR NOW...THE SOUTHWESTERN
MAINLAND AND COASTAL GULF AREAS LOOK TO BEAR THE BRUNT OF IMPACTS. A
TREND/TRACK FURTHER NORTH WOULD ENCOMPASS A LARGER SLICE OF THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND IN A CLOUDY AND WET REGIME. THE BERING SEA AND
WESTERN CHAIN STILL LOOK TO REMAIN IN A RATHER BENIGN WEATHER
PATTERN.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE...129 130 132 150 155 160
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

MALOY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Jul 13, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Jul 13, 7:25 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC45 hr
Jul 13, 7:25 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC9 hr
Jul 14, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Jul 14, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Jul 14, 4:45 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC11 hr
Jul 14, 8:40 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC19 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.