Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 472, NWS Anchorage, AK

July 7, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 7, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

598 
FZAK51 PAFC 071158
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080300-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1006 MB LOW 120 NM SE OF KODIAK CITY REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY 
SAT AND MOVES TO 140 NM SE OF KODIAK CITY SUN EVENING AT 1008 MB.
THIS LOW THEN REMAINS STATIONARY AND DISSIPATES THROUGH MON.  
$$

PKZ120-080300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-080300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-080300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-080300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT 
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-080300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING 
TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. FROM 
THE BARREN ISLANDS NW...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 15 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 9 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 15 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-080300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-080300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-080300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-080300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
1 follow-up statement
010 
FZAK51 PAFC 072358
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-081500-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1008 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH MON MORNING AND WEAKEN TO 1012 MB. A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH MON
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-081500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-081500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

.TONIGHT..N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-081500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-081500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-081500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-081500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-081500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-081500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-081500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 6, 1:00 PM AKDT, 15 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 6, 1:00 PM AKDT, 15 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
100 PM AKDT FRI JUL 6 2012

.MODEL DISCUSSION...NAM AND GFS STILL IN PRETTY GOOD SYNC IN THE
SHORT-TERM...WITH THE GFS RUNNING A FEW MB DEEPER FOR MOST SYSTEMS.
WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT A PERSISTENT GULF LOW SPINNING CLOUDS AND
MOISTURE UP ALONG THE COAST WITH THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
CENTRAL BERING PERSISTING THROUGH MON. SEVERAL WEAK LOWS AND
ASSOCIATED FRONTS MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BUT HAVE A HARD
TIME MOVING ANY FURTHER EAST AGAINST THE RIDGE.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...GENERALLY EASTWARD FLOW OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF AND MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL WITH THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE
CONTAINED ALONG THE COASTAL ZONE.  EXPECT AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL
EAST WINDS ALONG THE COAST SAT MORNING AS PRESSURE GRADIENT
INTENSIFIES.

CURRENT SYSTEM IN THE WEST AL WEAKENS OVERNIGHT AS RIDGE LIMITS
EASTWARD MOVEMENT. PLENTY OF FOG AND STRATUS UNDER BERING RIDGE.
WINDS LIGHT IN GREATER BERING.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
BERING...LITTLE CHANGE AS A SERIES OF WEAK NORTH PACIFIC LOWS TRACK
TOWARDS THE WESTERN AL.  THE RIDGE DOES WEAKEN ON MON ALLOWING A
DISSIPATING FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN AL TUE MORNING.

SOUTHWEST...A MIX OF CLOUDS AND SUN THIS AFTERNOON WITH CONSIDERABLE
INSTABILITY FROM WOOD-TIKCHIK MTNS NORTHWARD THROUGH KUSKO MTNS.
POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON/EVENING T-STRMS TODAY AND SAT.

SOUTHCENTRAL...CONTINUED CLOUDS AND MOISTURE FOR KODIAK AND NORTH
GULF COAST.  EXPECT WIDESPREAD RAIN SAT NIGHT OVER INLAND AREAS
MAINLY WEST OF GLENNALLEN.  EAST WINDS ALONG THE COAST SAT WEAKENING
ON SUN.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...MODELS INDICATING ANOTHER SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO
THE NORTHERN GULF MON NIGHT.  LOOKS LIKE A REPEAT OF CURRENT SYSTEM
WITH EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW AND MODEST MOISTURE...MAINLY PWS AND
EAST ON TUE BUT SPREADING WESTWARD ON WED AND THU.

SOUTHWEST...LOOKING CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS MON NIGHT BUT TUE THROUGH THU
POTENTIALLY CLEAR.

BERING...NEXT SYSTEM MOVES INTO WESTERN AL SOMETIME MON AND THEN
SLIDES EASTWARD ON TUE AND WED AS IT WEAKENS. WIDESPREAD RAIN MON
NIGHT THROUGH WED FOR MOST OF CHAIN.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...NO
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JMP JUL 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Jul 6, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.