Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 423, NWS Anchorage, AK

June 10, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jun 10, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 10, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Jun 11, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

367 
FZAK51 PAFC 101155
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-110300-
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1000 MB LOW 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TRACKS TO 100 NM
EAST OF KODIAK AT 1006 MB SUN NIGHT...THEN REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY
WHILE WEAKENING TO 1012 MB THROUGH MON NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-110300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-110300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-110300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-110300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE
MORNING. WIND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-110300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NW 15 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS . 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
7 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS . 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-110300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-110300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-110300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-110300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT BY MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
231 
FZAK51 PAFC 102348
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-111500-
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1004 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO 1010 MB
130 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY MON AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO 280 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 1014 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-111500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-111500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-111500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-111500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-111500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SEAS 9 FT EXCEPT 2 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
8 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 5 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-111500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT W 20 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 7
FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-111500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-111500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FOOT BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-111500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 10 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
171 
FZAK51 PAFC 111148
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-120300-
400 AM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1006 MB LOW 130 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TO 1014 MB TUE NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-120300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-120300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-120300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-120300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.  

$$

PKZ130-120300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
8 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-120300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-120300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-120300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-120300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
912 
FZAK51 PAFC 112349
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121500-
400 PM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1009 MB LOW 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL WEAKEN TO 1014 MB 180
NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY TUE NIGHT THEN DISSIPATE WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ120-121500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-121500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-121500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-121500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-121500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT SE 15 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-121500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
5
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-121500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-121500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-121500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON JUN 11 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 9, 1:00 PM AKDT, 15 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 9, 1:00 PM AKDT, 15 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
100 PM AKDT SAT JUN 9 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN ACROSS THE
HIGH LATITUDES OF THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE IS DOMINATED BY CLOSED
UPPER LEVEL LOWS. THERE ARE TWO CURRENTLY IMPACTING THE ALASKA
REGION WITH ONE OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND ANOTHER DOUBLE CENTERED
LOW EXTENDING FROM THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TO JUST SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS. RIDGING CAN BE FOUND IN BETWEEN THESE OVER THE
CENTRAL BERING AND ALEUTIANS AS WELL AS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
MAINLAND ALASKA AND UP INTO THE ARCTIC. THE TRACK OF THESE CLOSED
LOWS ARE NOTORIOUSLY DIFFICULT TO FORECAST BECAUSE OF THE FACT THEY
ARE CUT OFF FROM STRONG STEERING FLOW. IT IS EVEN MORE OF A
CHALLENGE TO FORECAST THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF WAVES EMBEDDED
IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THE LOWS. THAT IS CURRENTLY THE
CHALLENGE OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA.

A LOOK AT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ONE STRONG UPPER WAVE DROPPING
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA PRODUCING WIDESPREAD RAIN.
WEAKER WAVES ARE MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA AND
COOK INLET AND NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF. CLOUD COVER
IS EXTENSIVE ACROSS THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN MAINLAND...BUT THESE WEAKER
WAVES ARE NOT PRODUCING MUCH PRECIP AT THE MOMENT.

STRATUS AND FOG DOMINATE THE BERING SEA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE
RIDGE. THE UPPER LOW SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS IS SWINGING
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG WITH A FAIRLY STRONG LOW AT THE SURFACE (AROUND
986 MB)...RESULTING IN GALE FORCE WINDS AND RAIN ACROSS THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES WITH TRACK OF LOW OVER
NORTHEAST PACIFIC INTO THE CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY HAS NOT BEEN GREAT IN ANY OF THE MODELS.
HOWEVER...THERE IS A STEADY TREND TOWARD A FARTHER NORTH AND WEST
TRACK. THUS WILL USE THE 12Z GFS/GEMGLB TO TREND IN THAT DIRECTION.
AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GULF THE UPPER LOW WILL BECOME
RE-CENTERED FURTHER EAST FROM ITS CURRENT LOCATION AND THIS
POSITIONS WILL BE KEY IN DETERMINING WHETHER WAVES ROTATING AROUND
THE UPPER CENTER WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THE NEXT FEW DAYS
OR WHETHER THE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN ALASKA WILL BUILD FURTHER SOUTH.
BASED ON THE CURRENT TREND IS LOOKING MORE AND MORE LIKELY THAT
UPPER WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE CLOUDS AND PERIODS OF SHOWERS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. BASED ON THE LARGE UNCERTAINTY IN THE
TRACK AND STRENGTH OF INDIVIDUAL WAVES FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE ALASKA REGION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND
ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE MADE TO THE FORECAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL REMAIN THE NORM
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THE NEXT FEW DAYS ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE SOME
LOCALIZED BREAKS OF SUN. THE LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF TONIGHT WILL
SPREAD RAIN ALONG THE GULF COAST BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AT THE MOMENT
THERE DOESN'T APPEAR TO BE ANY SIGNIFICANT FEATURES TO FOCUS RAIN OR
SHOWERS INLAND...BUT THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK
OF THE LOW IN THE GULF...SO MOISTURE COULD SPREAD A LITTLE FURTHER
INLAND. MEANWHILE THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN INLAND ALONG
AND NORTH OF THE ALASKA RANGE. THIS WILL PROVIDE INCREASED
INSTABILITY AND DIURNAL SHOWERS IN THAT REGION.

AS THE UPPER LOW BECOMES RE-CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY THE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN ALASKA WILL BUILD INTO
WESTERN ALASKA WHICH WILL ALLOW ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW TO DROP
DOWN THROUGH THE YUKON AND EASTERN ALASKA MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND
INTO SOUTHCENTRAL WEDNESDAY. THIS MEANS THE MOIST AND COOL PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE UPPER WAVE OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN BERING TONIGHT
AND THEN ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA SUNDAY. MEANWHILE...MORE UPPER
WAVES WILL MOVE IN FROM THE EAST MAINTAINING CLOUDS AND AREAS OF
RAIN OR SHOWERS AS WE HEAD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. IT DOES LOOK LIKE
THERE WILL BE A DRYING AND WARMING TREND BEGINNING TUESDAY AS A
SPOKE OF THE RIDGE SWINGS DOWN FROM THE NORTH...ALTHOUGH FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS LOW.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THE STORM NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE WESTERN BERING DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING AND ALEUTIANS WILL WEAKEN
A BIT AS IT GETS SQUEEZED FROM BOTH SIDES...BUT WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE. THEREFORE...EXPECT CONTINUED FOG AND STRATUS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE UPPER LOW WHICH MOVES FROM THE ARCTIC
DOWN TO SOUTHCENTRAL MID WEEK LOOKS LIKE IT WILL DROP INTO THE GULF
AND THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO NEXT WEEKEND. EXPECT STATUS QUO ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS. MEANWHILE...MODELS
ARE VERY CONSISTENT IN INDICATING FORMATION OF A VERY LARGE UPPER
LOW OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE ALEUTIANS WILL BE ALONG
THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THIS AND WILL LIKELY SEE OCCASIONAL RAIN AND
WIND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SET UP OVER THE BERING SEA PROVIDING BENIGN
CONDITIONS AS YOU HEAD NORTH FROM THE ALEUTIANS. BASED ON GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT AND CONTINUITY FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE
AVERAGE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FLOOD ADVISORY 141 ALONG THE LITTLE NELCHINA RIVER.
         FLOOD ADVISORY 145 ALONG THE SUSITNA RIVER NEAR GOLD CREEK.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...175 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB JUN 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 9, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Jun 10, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC6 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.