Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 378, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at May 25, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 25, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
- Expired
- May 27, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
404 FZAK51 PAFC 251149 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-260300- 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 90 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 1001 MB SAT MORNING...THEN WILL MOVE TO AROUND 170 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 1007 MB SUN MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL TRACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF LATE TONIGHT AND THEN WEAKEN ON SAT. $$ PKZ120-260300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ121-260300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-260300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-260300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-260300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT THIS MORNING. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ132-260300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ138-260300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-260300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-260300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
5 follow-up statements
651 FZAK51 PAFC 252231 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-261500- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 1000 MB COMPLEX LOW CENTERED 85 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK WILL TRACK TO 100 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY EARLY SAT. THIS COMPLEX LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN TO 1007 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 350 NM EAST SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-261500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ121-261500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT EARLY EVENING BECOMING N WIND 15 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-261500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-261500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-261500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS EAST...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ132-261500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. NORTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ138-261500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-261500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-261500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 25 2012 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
742 FZAK51 PAFC 261151 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-270300- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A COMPLEX 998 MB LOW 160 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO AROUND 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 1002 MB SUN MORNING...THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN POSITION MON MORNING. $$ PKZ120-270300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ121-270300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-270300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-270300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-270300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-270300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ138-270300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ140-270300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-270300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
812 FZAK51 PAFC 261635 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 830 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 UPDATED ZONES 121 125 130 132 138 140 141 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-270300- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A COMPLEX 998 MB LOW 160 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO AROUND 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 1002 MB SUN MORNING...THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN POSITION MON MORNING. $$ PKZ120-270300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ121-270300- RESURRECTION BAY 830 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-270300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 830 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-270300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-270300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 830 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT N 15 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. WIND BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-270300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 830 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ138-270300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 830 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ140-270300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 830 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-270300- KACHEMAK BAY 830 AM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
452 FZAK51 PAFC 262233 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-271500- 400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A COMPLEX 1000 MB LOW 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 250 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA AT 1009 MB SUN AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN SUNDAY NIGHT AND DISSIPATE BY MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-271500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT E 20 KT E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ121-271500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-271500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-271500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-271500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ132-271500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ138-271500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-271500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-271500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
848 FZAK51 PAFC 271151 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 27 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-280300- 400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 27 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A COMPLEX 1002 MB LOW 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE ON MON WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN POSITION. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ALONG A NORTH PACIFIC WEATHER FRONT MON EVENING AND TRACK TO AROUND 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 983 MB TUE MORNING. $$ PKZ120-280300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 27 2012 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ121-280300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 27 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-280300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 27 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-280300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 27 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT AND MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-280300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ132-280300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 27 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-280300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-280300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 27 2012 .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-280300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 27 2012 .TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at May 24, 12:15 PM AKDT, 15 hours 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 24, 12:15 PM AKDT, 15 hours 45 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 1215 PM AKDT THU MAY 24 2012 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME VERY DYNAMIC FEATURES OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND ALASKA THIS MORNING... WHICH IS A LITTLE UNCOMMON FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH WITH EMBEDDED CLOSED LOW IS CENTERED SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH A CORRESPONDING HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGING BUILDING OUT AHEAD OF IT. A 100KT+ SOUTHERLY JET IS RIDING UP THE EAST SIDE OF THE TROUGH HELPING TO DEEPEN A SURFACE LOW POSITIONED JUST NORTHEAST OF THE UPPER CENTER. A NICE PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE IS ALSO NOTED STREAMING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND SOUTHWEST GULF. A GALE FORCE FRONT IS APPROACHING THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND RAIN IS OVERSPREADING THE REGION. JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THIS SYSTEM IS A STRONG TROUGH AXIS WHICH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BERING EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND KODIAK ISLAND INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. SOME FAIRLY INTENSE SHOWERS DEVELOPED IN THE BRISTOL BAY AREA THIS MORNING AS THE TROUGH ARRIVED. INTERESTINGLY THESE SHOWERS COINCIDED WITH STRATUS AND FOG AT THE SURFACE INDICATING THAT THE INSTABILITY WAS ELEVATED. THE 12Z KING SALMON SOUNDING REFLECTS THIS WELL. MEANWHILE...UPPER LEVEL WAVES MOVING AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER HIGH CENTERED OVER THE YUKON MOVED INTO SOUTHCENTRAL THIS MORNING. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS RAIN HAS OVERSPREAD PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT VALLEY WITH A FEW SHOWERS AS YOU HEAD FURTHER INLAND. THE APPROACHING TROUGH IS CLOSE ENOUGH THAT IT IS LIKELY BEGINNING TO CONTRIBUTE LIFT OVER COASTAL SOUTHCENTRAL. .MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT WITH MOVEMENT OF UPPER TROUGH AXIS. VERIFICATION BASED ON 18Z WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE GFS IS JUST A TAD TOO FAST. MODELS ALSO SHOW VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH HANDLING OF PACIFIC SYSTEM. AS IS USUALLY THE CASE THERE ARE SOME PROBLEMS RESOLVING THE MULTIPLE SURFACE LOWS WHICH WILL FORM AS THE UPPER LOW WOBBLES AROUND THE GULF THIS WEEKEND...BUT ALL SOLUTIONS AGREE ON THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC SOLUTION. MODELS DIVERGE WITH TRACK OF LOW MOVING TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SATURDAY NIGHT. PREFER THE ECMWF WHICH SHOWS GOOD RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY...HAS SUPPORT FROM THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN...AND IS CLOSE TO THE CURRENT FORECAST. .SHORT TERM FORECAST... SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE 12Z ANCHORAGE SOUNDING SHOWS BOTH STABLE AND UNSTABLE LAYERS. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION...BUT THE EXTENT OF CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION WILL PREVENT DESTABILIZATION OF THE SURFACE-BASED LAYER. BASED ON THIS WILL SIDE MORE TOWARD A STRATIFORM RAIN FORECAST THAN A SHOWERY FORECAST ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. MUCH MORE STABLE AIR WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY AS FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING OUT AHEAD OF PACIFIC LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE GULF. THE BULK OF RAIN WILL HANG UP ALONG THE COAST WITH JUST A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SHOWERS INLAND. AT THE SURFACE A RIDGE WILL BUILD OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT TODAY AND PERSIST ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE COASTAL MOUNTAIN GAPS INCLUDING TURNAGAIN ARM AND ANCHORAGE/THE MAT VALLEY/AND ALONG THE COPPER RIVER. THE PACIFIC LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF ON SATURDAY. A DISSIPATING FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL MAINTAIN WET CONDITIONS ALONG COASTAL AREAS...BUT INTERIOR SOUTHCENTRAL WILL SEE A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE A PASSING SHOWER. THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY BECOMES MUCH MORE UNCERTAIN AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES TO THE EASTERN GULF PUSHING WAVES WESTWARD INTO SOUTHCENTRAL. AT A MINIMUM EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH SHOWERS. DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THESE WAVES THERE IS ALSO POTENTIAL FOR A GLOOMY STRATIFORM RAIN TO SET IN. SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHEAR APART ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA TONIGHT AS THE DOWNSTREAM PORTION PROGRESSES INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND THE UPSTREAM BERING PORTION REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. THUS...EXPECT MOST OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY OUT AHEAD OF IT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH CLEAR SKIES OVER THE SOUTHERN KUSKOKWIM VALLEY THIS MORNING AND SOME SUN BREAKS OVER INTERIOR BRISTOL BAY INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH SHOULD INITIATE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY. THE PACIFIC LOW AND FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA BUT WILL STILL SEE SOME MOISTURE SPREAD INTO BRISTOL BAY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. MODELS ARE INDICATING AN UPPER WAVE OUT AHEAD OF THE PACIFIC SYSTEM TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL TRIGGER SOME SHOWERS OVER INLAND AREAS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA...WHICH HAS BEEN ON THE DRY SIDE OF LATE. AS THE LOW TRACKS AWAY FROM SOUTHWEST ALASKA OVER THE WEEKEND A RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE BERING SEA. THIS WILL DRY THINGS OUT AND STABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE. SO IT IS LOOKING LIKE A MOSTLY DRY WEEKEND ACROSS THE REGION. OF COURSE...AS IS TYPICAL WITH A RIDGE DURING THE SUMMER...STRATUS AND FOG WILL LIKELY FORM. BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THE PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL EXIT TO THE EAST FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND IT. HOWEVER...UPPER FLOW ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL BECOME ZONAL IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM. THIS WILL ALLOW A STORM OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC TO TRACK TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. ENERGY DROPPING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN BERING WILL THEN AMPLIFY THE TROUGH ONCE AGAIN AS WE HEAD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL GRADUALLY PUSH THE ALEUTIAN LOW SOUTHWARD INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. .LONG TERM FORECAST...THE UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...THE ONE OVER THE ALEUTIANS THIS WEEKEND WILL THEN SET UP SHOP SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEAK. THERE IS ABOVE AVERAGE CONFIDENCE IN THE SYNOPTIC FORECAST. THE CHALLENGE IS ATTEMPTING TO FORECAST THE SMALLER SCALE WAVES MOVING AROUND THESE UPPER LOWS...WHICH IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE THIS FAR OUT IN TIME. BASED ON WEATHER USUALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE POSITION OF THESE LOWS EXPECT A CLOUDY AND SHOWERY PATTERN TO PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THROUGH NEXT WEEK. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL START OUT DRY EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT BECOME MORE SHOWERY AS THE NEW UPPER LOW MOVES IN. AFTER THE LOW ALONG THE ALEUTIANS DROPS SOUTHWARD EARLY NEXT WEEK BENIGN WEATHER WILL SETTLE BACK IN. .AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...NONE. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. SEB MAY 12
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days | |
| May 25, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days | |
| May 25, 10:15 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 6 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.