Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 370, NWS Anchorage, AK

May 19, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at May 19, 2012, 4:45 PM AKDT. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 19, 2012, 4:45 PM AKDT (00:45 UTC)
Expired
May 20, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

130 
FZAK52 PAFC 200048 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
445 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

CORRECTED ZONE 150 FOR SEAS

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-201500-
400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 988 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE
NORTH PACIFIC SUN. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA WILL
OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS MON.

$$

PKZ150-201500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
445 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUN NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-201500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-201500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND 
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-201500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-201500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-201500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT BERING SIDE. SEAS 7 FT. 
RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT BERING SIDE. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 7
FT BERING SIDE. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT BERING SIDE. SEAS 10 FT
EXCEPT 5 FT BERING SIDE. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-201500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-201500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-201500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-201500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-201500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-201500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 30 KT NEAR SAINT GEORGE IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$
1 follow-up statement
166 
FZAK52 PAFC 201151
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-210300-
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 987 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE
NORTH PACIFIC SUN. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA WILL
DRIFT SOUTH INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS MON.

$$

PKZ150-210300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-210300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-210300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-210300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-210300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-210300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BERING SIDE...12 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-210300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-210300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-210300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-210300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-210300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. 
.MON THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ179-210300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at May 19, 5:00 AM AKDT, 11 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 19, 5:00 AM AKDT, 11 hours 45 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKDT SAT MAY 19 2012

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM. BY ABOUT 72 HOURS
INTO THE FORECAST THE GFS AND ECMWF BEGIN TO DIVERGE ON HOW THEY
HANDLE ENERGY IN THE LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA...ALTHOUGH THEY
HAVE GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE OVER-ALL PATTERN. MODELS CONTINUE THIS
GOOD AGREEMENT WELL INTO THE EXTENDED AND ONLY BEGIN TO DEPART
SIGNIFICANTLY AROUND DAY 8 (NEXT SATURDAY).

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED JUST SOUTH OF THE TIP OF
THE ALASKA PENINSULA THIS MORNING. THERE IS A WEAK LOW OVER THE
YUKON TERRITORY WITH RIDGES OVER INTERIOR NORTHWEST ALASKA AND OVER
THE PANHANDLE. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE PENINSULA LOW IS SITUATED
EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE ALASKA PENINSULA LOW WILL REMAIN IN ROUGHLY THE SAME AREA
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. MOST OF THE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WITH THIS LOW
WILL STAY WELL SOUTH OF THE STATE EXCEPT FOR THE FRONT OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE SLIGHTLY NORTH TODAY AND THEN
REMAIN BASICALLY IN PLACE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE SLOWLY
WEAKENING AT THE SURFACE...BUT KEEPING A DECENT AMOUNT OF MOISTURE.

THE RIDGES OVER THE PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST ALASKA WILL MERGE ON
SUNDAY AND THEN STRENGTHEN OVER INTERIOR ALASKA THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT. THIS WILL HELP TO KEEP THE GULF FRONT FROM MOVING INLAND AND
ALSO CONFINE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION TO COASTAL AREAS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
AS MENTIONED ABOVE THE MODELS DISAGREE SOMEWHAT ON THE DETAILS OF
THE LOWS OVER THE GULF BUT AGREE THAT THE MEAN TROUGH POSITION WILL
REMAIN OVER THE GULF WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE INTERIOR. THIS
PATTERN WILL POSSIBLY BREAK DOWN BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK BUT
CONFIDENCE ON THIS IS SOMEWHAT LOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 120.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

LUDWIG MAY 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
May 19, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
May 19, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
May 20, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
May 20, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.