Small Craft Advisory 27, NWS Anchorage, AK

701 
FZAK51 PAFC 090643 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
940 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

UPDATED AREA 120 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091500-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 985 MB LOW IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL WEAKEN TO 1004 MB AND MOVE
TO 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA MON MORNING THEN DRIFT TOWARD YAKUTAT
AND DISSIPATE MON AFTERNOON. A FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHWESTERN
GULF MON AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF TUE MORNING. 
$$

PKZ120-091500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
940 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-091500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-091500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-091500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 6 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-091500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING
SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-091500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-091500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS 
TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING
TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-091500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT EXCEPT
VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT BUILDING TO
9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-091500-
KACHEMAK BAY
940 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 8
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

304 
FZAK51 PAFC 091229
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100300-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 9 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1002 MB LOW 80 NM NORTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DRIFT TO NEAR
YAKUTAT THIS AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATE. A PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO
AROUND 200 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK AT 984 MB WED MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED
FRONT AHEAD OF IT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON
AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF BY TUE AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ120-100300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT EXCEPT SE 55 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-100300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-100300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-100300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-100300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT EXCEPT 11 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-100300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-100300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-100300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-100300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT ...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 20 IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

506 
FZAK51 PAFC 100038
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101500-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 9 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW WILL FROM 450 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY THIS AFTERNOON AND
MOVE TO 150 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK AT 972 MB BY EARLY 
TUE MORNING....THEN MOVE ASHORE WEST OF KODIAK ISLAND BY AFTERNOON.
ANOTHER NORTHERN PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF 
KODIAK WED AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-101500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 50 KT EXCEPT E 60 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING. 
SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-101500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-101500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-101500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-101500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 
55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS SOUTHEAST...SE WIND 
30 KT INCREASING TO E 55 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE...NW OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS SE...SE WIND 40 KT. 
SEAS 24 FT EXCEPT 15 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT EXCEPT 10 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-101500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-101500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-101500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 50 KT EXCEPT NE 35 KT N OF KALGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 
IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT
BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-101500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 9 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO E 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN 
THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE LONG WAVE PATTERN CONTINUES TO
INCLUDE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA AND WESTERN ALASKA
WITH A BLOCKING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. A WAVES
IN THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN ARE LOCATED OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND A
SECOND MORE SIGNIFICANT WAVE IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS.

VERY STRONG COLD ADVECTION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE INITIAL SHORTWAVE
WITH 60 KNOT WINDS BLASTING THROUGH THE BARREN ISLANDS. THE TROUGH
AXIS IS LINGERING OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD
LIGHT SNOW CONTINUING FROM COOK INLET UP TO THE SUSITNA VALLEY.
SHOWERS ARE DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AS A RESIDUAL SURFACE
LOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THIS IS A RESULT
OF THE COLD AIR ADVECTION AND OVERALL CYCLONIC NATURE OF THE UPPER
LEVELS.

FURTHER WEST...A VERY POWERFUL STORM DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS WILL BE A GAME CHANGER. THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE THIS WEEK...BEFORE EVENTUALLY HELPING
SHIFT THE LONG WAVE PATTERN TO THE EAST SETTING UP A HIGH AMPLITUDE
RIDGE OVER WESTERN ALASKA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...THE MODELS ARE ALL PAINTING A VERY SIMILAR
PICTURE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE DIFFERENCES MAINLY SURROUND
THE TIMING OF THE LARGE LOW AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA.
THEN THERE IS GREATER DISCREPANCY IN THE MID TERM AS THE LOW OCCLUDES
AND WEAKENS IN THE GULF MID TO LATE THIS WEEK. FOR THE AFTERNOON
FORECAST PACKAGE...WE LEANED HEAVILY TOWARD THE 12Z GFS WHICH IS NOT
TOO DISSIMILAR FROM THE PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS AND WITH THE EC. THE NAM
CONTINUES TO BE A BIT OF AN OUTLIER.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AFTER THE LINGERING LIGHT SNOW TAPERS OFF THIS
EVENING...OUR FOCUS QUICKLY TURNS TOWARD THE DEVELOPING STORM SOUTH
OF THE ALEUTIANS. SEVERAL WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED WITH THE AFTERNOON
PACKAGE WHICH ARE VERY TYPICAL FOR THIS TYPE OF STORM TRACK. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL BE VERY STRONG
RESULTING IN BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WHERE IT STAYS COLD ENOUGH AND HIGH
WIND WARNING CRITERIA ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
ABOVE ANCHORAGE.

UNLIKE THE DECEMBER CHINOOK EVENTS...THIS APPEARS TO BE A MUCH MORE
TYPICAL WINTER STORM WHERE THE COLD AIR WILL PROTECT THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS FROM THE STRONG WINDS. A TRIPLE POINT WILL DEVELOP NEAR
KODIAK ISLAND RESULTING IN A DOWN INLET GRADIENT...A KEY COMPONENT TO
INSURING THAT WINDS DO NOT MIX DOWN TO SEA LEVEL ACROSS ANCHORAGE.

THE SUBTROPICAL FETCH ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE IMPRESSIVE
BRINGING THE GULF COAST SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE. INITIALLY...MUCH OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO
RAIN TUESDAY EVENING. COASTAL COMMUNITIES THAT HAVE BEEN HAMMERED
RECENTLY INCLUDING CORDOVA WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION OUT OF
THIS SYSTEM TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ALL INTERESTED PARTIES IN
THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL NEED TO BE AWARE OF THE IMPENDING EVENT
36 TO 60 HOURS FROM NOW.

THE GOOD NEWS FOR THESE LOCATIONS IS THAT HIGH PRESSURE WILL
EVENTUALLY BUILD OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA SHIFTING THE UPPER TROF AND
SUBSQUENTLY THE ACTIVE WEATHER TO THE EAST. IT APPEARS BY THE WEEKEND
THAT MUCH OF MAINLAND ALASKA WILL SEE A SIGNIFICANT AND POSSIBLY LONG
LIVED DRY SPELL.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...BLIZZARD WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL BE POSTED FOR
MOST OF THE WESTERN PUBLIC ZONES WITH THIS AFTERNOON FORECAST
PACKAGE. THE TRACK OF THE LOW AND THE ASSOCIATED OCCLUSION WILL TRACK
INITIALLY JUST SOUTH OF THE CHAIN. THIS TRACK WILL MEAN THAT
OVERRUNNING MOISTURE IN THE FORM OF SNOW WILL FALL AS THE WINDS
INCREASE. AT TIMES...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FROM THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS ALL THE WAY UP THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS.

THE OCCLUSION MOVES JUST NORTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA
PENINSULA BRINGING AN END TO THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...POSSIBLY
MIXING WITH RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON MONDAY. THIS WARM AIR INTRUSION
WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS COLD AIR WRAPPING BACK AROUND THE LOW WILL
DROP SOUTH AGAIN BRINGING TYPICAL COLD AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS ACROSS
THE EASTERN BERING THROUGH MID WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE EVENTUALLY BUILDS
BY THURSDAY RESULTING IN COLD BUT RELATIVELY CALM CONDITIONS FOR THE
BERING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNINGS 181 185 187
         BLIZZARD WATCHES 125 131 155 161 195
         HIGH WIND WATCH 101
MARINE...STORM WARNING...130 150 172 175
         GALE WARNING...120 121 125 129 132 138 140 155 160 165 170
                        171 179 180.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...121 129 130 138 140 141
                                        179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AB JAN 12

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
215 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

AKZ101-111-090300-

...VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ALONG THE GLENN HIGHWAY...

THE RECENT STORM HAS RESULTED IN 7 TO 12 INCHES OF FRESH SNOW AROUND
TOWN TODAY. PASSING VEHICLES ARE EASILY PICKING UP THE SNOW ON THE
ROAD RESULTING IN LIMITED VISIBILITY. VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS ARE BEING REPORTED ALONG THE GLENN HIGHWAY WITH PERIODIC
ROAD CLOSURES TO DUE THE RESTRICTED VISIBILITY.

PLEASE USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING TODAY AS POOR VISIBILITY IS LIKELY
ALONG THE MAIN ROADS.

AB 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
215 PM AKST SUN JAN 8 2012

AKZ101-111-090300-

...VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ALONG THE GLENN HIGHWAY...

THE RECENT STORM HAS RESULTED IN 7 TO 12 INCHES OF FRESH SNOW AROUND
TOWN TODAY. PASSING VEHICLES ARE EASILY PICKING UP THE SNOW ON THE
ROAD RESULTING IN LIMITED VISIBILITY. VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS ARE BEING REPORTED ALONG THE GLENN HIGHWAY WITH PERIODIC
ROAD CLOSURES DUE TO THE RESTRICTED VISIBILITY.

PLEASE USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING TODAY AS POOR VISIBILITY IS LIKELY
ALONG THE MAIN ROADS.

AB 2012