Small Craft Advisory 267, NWS Anchorage, AK

190 
FZAK51 PAFC 102308
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE APR 10 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-111500-
400 PM AKDT TUE APR 10 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN
THROUGH WED. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THU.
$$

PKZ120-111500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE APR 10 2012

.TONIGHT...NW TO NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-111500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE APR 10 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-111500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT TUE APR 10 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-111500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT TUE APR 10 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-111500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE APR 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 5 FT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-111500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT TUE APR 10 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 9 FT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 6 FT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-111500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE APR 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-111500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE APR 10 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-111500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE APR 10 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

165 
FZAK51 PAFC 111150
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT WED APR 11 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-120300-
400 AM AKDT WED APR 11 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 990 MB LOW 530 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL CONTINUE
TO WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
GULF OF ALASKA WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRI.

$$

PKZ120-120300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED APR 11 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-120300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED APR 11 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-120300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED APR 11 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE
MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-120300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED APR 11 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
GUSTS NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. HIGHER GUSTS NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
GUSTS NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-120300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED APR 11 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-120300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED APR 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 15 KT. 
SEAS 7 FT.   
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-120300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED APR 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-120300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED APR 11 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-120300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED APR 11 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
525 PM AKDT MON APR 9 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LONGWAVE TROUGH EXTENDS
OUT OF RUSSIA AND OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS WHILE AN UPPER
RIDGE IS PUSHING UP FROM ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS INTO THE INTERIOR
OF THE STATE. THIS RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE
THROUGH MID WEEK. A STRONG SURFACE LOW IS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS AND MOVING EASTWARD IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE JET STREAM.
A SURFACE HIGH IS ALSO OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THAT PUSHES INTO THE
EASTERN HALF AND THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE DOING VERY GOOD AND ARE ALL HANDLING
THE FEATURES CONSISTENTLY. RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY IN THE MODELS IS
ALSO VERY GOOD.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL PERSIST FROM ANCHORAGE
EASTWARD. MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN COOK INLET AND ARE TRYING TO MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD BUT ARE RUNNING INTO THE RIDGE. FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME MORE NORTHEASTERLY OVERNIGHT WHICH SHOULD BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT
SOME OF THE CLOUDS OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA TOMORROW.
THE WEAKENING FRONT OVER KODIAK ISLAND THAT REACHES INTO BRISTOL BAY
AND THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WILL KEEP ONSHORE FLOW AND SOME SHOWERS IN
THE KODIAK ISLAND AREA THROUGH TOMORROW WHILE THE PRECIPITATION WEST
OF THE ALEUTIAN RANGE SHOULD END TONIGHT.
THE LARGE LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS IS ON AN EASTERLY TRACK
WHICH WILL KEEP THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION FROM DUTCH HARBOR TO COLD
BAY. THIS IS DUE TO THE GREATEST LIFT REMAINING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA EXCEPT FOR THAT REGION. WINDS ARE INCREASING IN THE DUTCH HARBOR
AREA AND PRECIPITATION TYPE SHOULD REMAIN SNOW WHICH WILL BRING IN
THE POSSIBILITY OF BLOWING SNOW. AS OF THIS AFTERNOON IT DOES NOT
LOOK LIKE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR...THOUGH THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK THIS EVENING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A RELATIVELY PERSISTENT AND BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN TO PERSIST THROUGH
LATE WEEK. A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE DROPS SOUTH THROUGH THE BERING ON FRI
AND MODELS DEPICT IT HELPING TO DEVELOP A LARGE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC THAT MOVES TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN GULF BY MID WEEKEND. FORECAST
CHALLENGES WILL LIKELY SURROUND THIS FEATURE IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
AS IT GETS CLOSER TO THE MAINLAND...WILL LIKELY SEE INCREASING
CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 150 155 170 171 172
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

APR 12