Small Craft Advisory 162, NWS Anchorage, AK

373 
FZAK51 PAFC 010342 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST WED FEB 29 2012

CORRECTED ZONE 132

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011500-
400 PM AKST WED FEB 29 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1001 MB LOW 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF WHITTIER WILL DISSIPATE NEAR SEWARD
WED EVENING. A 978 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WILL MOVE NEAR CHIGNIK
AT 983 MB THU AFTERNOON THEN TO NEAR MONTAGUE ISLAND AT 992 MB FRI
AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF WED
NIGHT THEN SWING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF THU.
$$

PKZ120-011500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST WED FEB 29 2012

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE THIS EVENING. ALONG
THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND
30 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-011500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-011500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST WED FEB 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-011500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST WED FEB 29 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-011500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST WED FEB 29 2012

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-011500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST WED FEB 29 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT BUILDING TO 16 FT S OF
DANGEROUS CAPE IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SEAS 11 FT BUILDING
TO 18 FT. S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-011500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST WED FEB 29 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-011500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 29 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN 
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-011500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 29 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

JAM

502 
FZAK51 PAFC 011255
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST THU MAR 1 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020300-
400 AM AKST THU MAR 1 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 985 MB LOW FORMS ALONG A FRONT 55 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK THIS
MORNING AND THEN MOVES TO NEAR MONTAGUE ISLAND WHILE MAINTAINING
STRENGTH. THIS LOW THEN REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH FRI NIGHT
WHILE WEAKENING TO 995 MB.

$$

PKZ120-020300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST THU MAR 1 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY NOON. NEAR THE COAST E
OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE COAST
E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E WIND 20 KT ALONG THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 12 FT N OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-020300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 1 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-020300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST THU MAR 1 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-020300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST THU MAR 1 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-020300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST THU MAR 1 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW AND 
RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-020300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST THU MAR 1 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT...SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-020300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST THU MAR 1 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT SHIFTING TO THE SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-020300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 1 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-020300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 1 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKST WED FEB 29 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

UPPER LEVEL TROUGHINESS CONTINUES OVER THE MAINLAND AND THE NORTHERN
AND EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA THIS MORNING. WITHIN THIS TROUGH RESIDES A
SMALL BUT PRONOUNCED UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTHERN CHIGMIT
MOUNTAINS THAT WILL BEGIN TO OPEN INTO AN UPPER WAVE AS IT DIGS EAST
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.

OVER THE BERING REGION...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH ITS AXIS
EXTENDING NORTH FROM THE SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC NORTH ACROSS UNALASKA
ISLAND AND THE PRIBILOFS. TO THE WEST...THERE LIES A NEARLY
STATIONARY UPPER LEVEL LOW BETWEEN SHEMYA AND KAMCHATKA. A STRONG
SOUTHERLY JET STREAK BETWEEN THESE TWO IS HELPING TO INITIATE
STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE SURFACE SOUTH OF ADAK WHICH WILL
BECOME QUITE STRONG BY LATER TODAY AS IT NEARS ATKA. A STRONG FRONT
EXTENDING FROM THIS LOW WILL MOST LIKELY BRING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO
THE PRIBILOFS BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
NEAR-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OVERALL. USED A BLEND OF MODELS
DEPENDING ON THE PARAMETER IN THE GRIDS...WHICH IS FAIRLY CLOSE TO A
BLEND OF THE GFS...EC AND SREF MODELS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...

SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE CHIGMIT MOUNTAINS WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS THE COOK INLET REGION THIS MORNING AND THEN THE PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND REGION BY THIS EVENING. THERE IS DECENT WARM ADVECTION IN THE
925-700 MB LAYER WHICH WILL PROVIDE ADEQUATE LIFT THIS
MORNING...ALONG WITH MOIST ONSHORE EASTERLY FLOW AT MOUNTAINTOP LEVEL
AND SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ABOVE THAT. 12Z ANCHORAGE MORNING SOUNDING
TEMPERATURES SHOW THE BEST SATURATION THROUGH THE COLUMN IN THE
TEMPERATURE RANGE OF -8 TO -13 DEGREES CELSIUS...EXCELLENT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF FLUFFY DENDRITES. THE RESULT WILL BE LIGHT SNOW OVER
PARTS OF THE COOK INLET REGION...INCLUDING ANCHORAGE...UNTIL TROUGH
PASSAGE AROUND MIDDAY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY EXCEED EXPECTATIONS BUT
GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT...NO MORE THAN A COUPLE OF INCHES MOST LOCALES
BEFORE ENDING AROUND MIDDAY. EXPECT MUCH THE SAME ACROSS PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND UNTIL TROUGH PASSAGE BY LATE TONIGHT.

A RELATIVE LULL IN THE WEATHER RESULTS FOR TONIGHT BEFORE THE NEXT
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY. THE APPROACHING FRONT
MOVES INTO THE FAR SOUTHWEST GULF LATE TONIGHT AND WILL BRING SNOW TO
KODIAK...THEN A TRIPLE POINT LOW FORMS AND MOVES NORTH AND EAST TO
ABOUT 50 MILES WEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT THE MAJORITY OF THE SNOW TO REMAIN ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA
AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WITH LITTLE TO MINOR ACCUMULATIONS FOR
ANCHORAGE AND POINTS NORTH.

SOUTHWEST...

GENERALLY TRANQUIL WEATHER IN STORE FOR TODAY WITH GENERALLY OFFSHORE
FLOW. EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE BY THE EVENING AS A STRONG
WEATHER FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST
TONIGHT WHICH COMBINED WITH THE COLD AIR COULD PRODUCE MARGINAL
ADVISORY LEVEL WIND CHILLS ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. SNOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE BRISTOL BAY REGION THURSDAY MORNING AND THEN SNOW
SHOWERS WILL POSSIBLY DEVELOP OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA REGION AS WELL
BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...

LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY
BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND BRING STORM FORCE WINDS AND A FAIRLY TIGHT
CORE OF WINDS AROUND IT. THIS LOW WILL MOVE EAST ALONG OR JUST SOUTH
OF THE ALEUTIANS AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.
OUT AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...A STRONG FRONT WILL BECOME SITUATED JUST
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND MAY BRING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME TO THE REGION. EXPECT MORE DEFINITE BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP FOR A LENGTHY DURATION FOR THE PRIBILOFS FROM
THIS AFTERNOON AND LASTING WELL INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS DEPARTING LOW...EXPECT STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW
AND AREAS OF SNOW SHOWERS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

EXPECT LOW PRESSURE TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF AND THEN THE
WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES FAIRLY STATIC FOR MOST OF THE LATE WEEK INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK PERIOD...WITH COLD NORTHERLY FLOW OVER MOST OF THE
BERING AND SNOW AND SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AND
SOUTHERN SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING...195
MARINE...GALES...120 130 132 160 165 171 175 179 351 352 412 414
         STORMS...150 155 170 172 413
         HVY FRZG SPRY...121 130 132 138 140 141 150 179 411 412 413
                         414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

29/CC FEB 12