Gale Warning 868, NWS Anchorage, AK

080 
FZAK51 PAFC 161559 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
655 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

UPDATE TO ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170300-
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 983 MB LOW COMPLEX OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL WEAKEN AND
MOVE TO HAIDA GWAII BY MONDAY EVENING. A 975 MB LOW WILL MOVE INTO
THE SOUTHWEST GULF MONDAY NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-170300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-170300-
RESURRECTION BAY
655 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-170300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
 
$$

PKZ129-170300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 6 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-170300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-170300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-170300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES MAINLY
IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-170300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
 
$$

PKZ141-170300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
 
$$

843 
FZAK51 PAFC 170021
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171500-
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW COMPLEX OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL WEAKEN AND
MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF MON AFTERNOON. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL
MOVE EAST TO 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AT 971 MB TUE
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-171500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-171500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT S OF CAINES HEAD. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-171500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-171500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-171500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT...EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-171500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-171500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-171500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING
TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY S OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-171500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 16 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

832 
FZAK51 PAFC 171221
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180300-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 17 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW COMPLEX OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA WILL WEAKEN
AND MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF BY AFTERNOON. AN ALEUTIAN LOW MOVES
EAST TO 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND 972 MB TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THEN DRIFTS TO 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND LATE TUE NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-180300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING MAINLY OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE EVENING. WINDS
BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW AND RAIN MAINLY S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-180300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT S OF CAINES HEAD IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT
BY LATE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-180300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45
KT IN THE MORNING OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY MAINLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-180300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-180300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. W
OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO E 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 45
KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W
OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT EXCEPT 11 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SNOW AND RAIN MAINLY E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-180300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. S OF DANGEROUS
CAPE...W WIND 35 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO NW 55 KT. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-180300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-180300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING
TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT N 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-180300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKST SAT DEC 15 2012

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODEL SYNOPTIC INITIALIZATIONS REASONABLE.
FORECAST TRENDS IN THE EAST THROUGH MON AFTERNOON ARE REASONABLE. 12Z
RUN OF THE ECMWF AND GFS MODELS HAVE OPTED FOR A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK
OF THE NEXT STORM TO MOVE ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND AK PEN SUN NIGHT
AND MON. AFTERNOON PACKAGES OUT WEST WILL LEAN TOWARD THESE MODELS
THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON. IN THE EAST...THE FINER MESH NAM MODEL WILL BE
USED THROUGH MON TO CAPTURE OUTFLOW WINDS. AFTER THAT WILL TRANSITION
TO A ECMWF/GFS BLEND TO TUE AFTERNOON.

.ANALYSIS...
WEAK COLD ADVECTION AND INCREASED NORTHERL WINDS TENDED TO WEAKEN
MORNING INVERSIONS OVER COOK INLET AND THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND
LESSENED THE EXTEND OF STRATUS AND FOG. STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS WERE
EVIDENT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST...NOTABLY VALDEZ...WHITTIER...AND
SEWARD. STRONG GAP FLOWS THROUGH THE ALEUTIAN RANGE WERE EXPERIENCED
IN WESTERN GULF.

OUT WEST...A SERIES OF WEAK TROUGHS MOVE ACROSS THE BERING SEA. A
LARGE AREA OF OPEN CELL CU...ASSOCIATED WITH SNOW SHOWERS...WERE
EVIDENT OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING SEA. SHOWERS WERE ALSO
EVIDENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE ALEUTIANS. BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS WERE
EVIDENT OVER THE AK PEN.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...
OUTFLOW FLOW WINDS ARE THE MAIN FORECAST FEATURE OVER THE NEXT 36-48
HRS. THERMAL GRADIENT ACROSS THE GULF WILL STRENGTHEN AS COLD AIR
BUILDS ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN THROUGH MON. A LOW PRESSURE
COMPLEX OVER THE GULF AND HIGH PRESSURE PRESSURE OVER THE MAINLAND
WILL HOLD STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA. STRONG OUTFLOW
AND GAP FLOWS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF COAST...WESTERN
GULF...AND THROUGH THE ALASKA/ALEUTIAN RANGE THROUGH MON MORNING. GAP
FLOWS IN THE VALDEZ AREA WILL INTENSIFY SOME LATE SUN AFTERNOON
THROUGH MON MORNING AND MAY APPROACH WIND WIND LEVELS. WINDS NEAR
WHITTIER MAY ALSO BECOME A CONCERN FOR THE SAME TIMEFRAME. THE WEST
AND NW GAP FLOWS OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL BE ENHANCED TONIGHT AS A
STRONG SHORT WAVE MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA.  WINDS ACROSS THE
REGION WILL BRIEFLY WEAKEN WITH RIDING IN ADVANCE OF A DEVELOPING
STORM MOVING ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS. WINDS AND RENEWED PRECIPITATION
WILL RETURN TO SOUTHCENTRAL AS THE STORM MOVES INTO THE GULF TUE.

OUT WEST...
A COUPLE LOW CENTERS AND TROUGHS WILL BRING INCREASED CHANCES OF SNOW
OR SNOW SHOWERS TO SW ALASKA THROUGH MON. THE STRONGER OF THE SYSTEMS
IMPACTS MUCH OF SW ALASKA ON SUN NIGHT AND EARLY MON WITH SNOW AND
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS. A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC MOVES
RAPIDLY EAST AND INTENSIFIES UNDER FAVORABLE JET SUPPORT. THIS CENTER
MOVES TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS LATE SUN NIGHT...EASTERN ALEUTIANS MON
AFTERNOON...AND INTO THE GULF TUE MORNING. THERE WILL BE SIGNIFICANT
WARM ADVECTION IN ADVANCE OF THIS CENTER SO THAT PRECIPITATION IN
ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE MAINLY RAIN ACROSS THE CHAIN...THEN
BECOMING A SHOWERY MIX OR SNOW ON THE BACKSIDE. EARLIER RUNS HAD THIS
SYSTEM ON A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK WHICH WOULD HAVE BROUGHT A BETTER
CHANCE OF BLIZZARD POTENTIAL TO THE PRIBILOFS AND SW AK. THE NOW MORE
SOUTHERLY TRACK LESSENS THIS POTENTIAL CONSIDERABLY FOR THE PRIBILOFS
AND THE YUKON DELTA...THERE STILL MAY BE A CHANCE FOR BRISTOL BAY MON
NIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
AN AMPLIFIED RIDGING PATTERN BUILDS IN BEHIND THE STORM SYSTEM AS IT
MOVES OFF INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH
THE AMPLITUDE AND PLACEMENT OF THE RIDGE...HOWEVER THEY DO AGREE WITH
MOVING A FRONT INTO THE WESTERN BERING PUSHING THE RIDGE EASTWARD AT
THE END OF THE WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...STORM WARNING...130
         GALES...127 128 132 138 150 160 179 412 413 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC DEC 12