Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012

Gale Warning 674, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 15, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 15, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 15, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Oct 16, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

138 
FZAK51 PAFC 152332
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161500-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 976 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 25 NM
NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TUE AFTERNOON AT 986 MB. THIS LOW WILL 
THEN MOVE TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WED AFTERNOON 
AT 998 MB.
$$

PKZ120-161500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT
BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-161500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-161500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-161500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-161500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-161500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-161500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-161500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-161500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
5 follow-up statements
957 
FZAK51 PAFC 160042 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

CORRECTED ZONE 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161500-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 976 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 25 NM
NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TUE AFTERNOON AT 986 MB. THIS LOW WILL 
THEN MOVE TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WED AFTERNOON 
AT 998 MB.
$$

PKZ120-161500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT
BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-161500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-161500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-161500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-161500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-161500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-161500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-161500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-161500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
288 
FZAK51 PAFC 160327 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
725 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

AMENDS ZONE 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161500-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 976 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 25 NM
NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TUE AFTERNOON AT 986 MB. THIS LOW WILL 
THEN MOVE TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WED AFTERNOON 
AT 998 MB.
$$

PKZ120-161500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT
BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-161500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-161500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-161500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-161500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-161500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-161500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-161500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-161500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
657 
FZAK51 PAFC 161117
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170300-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 982 MB LOW 40 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING WILL MOVE TO 60 NM SW OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 991 MB TONIGHT. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 110 
NM SW OF YAKUTAT AT 994 MB THU MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-170300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. ALONG THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-170300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-170300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-170300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-170300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-170300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-170300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-170300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-170300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
033 
FZAK51 PAFC 161256 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

CORRECTED ZONE 132

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170300-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 982 MB LOW 40 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING WILL MOVE TO 60 NM SW OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 991 MB TONIGHT. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 110 
NM SW OF YAKUTAT AT 994 MB THU MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-170300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. ALONG THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-170300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-170300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-170300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-170300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-170300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-170300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-170300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-170300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
903 
FZAK51 PAFC 162342
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171500-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 986 MB LOW NEAR SEWARD WILL BE A 995 MB LOW 90 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND BY WED AFTERNOON AND A 1000 MB LOW 90 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT BY THU AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-171500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 25 AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-171500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-171500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-171500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER EARLY THIS EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. 
PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-171500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY 
W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-171500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-171500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE NORTH SIDE OF THE STRAIT.  
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG 
THE NORTH SIDE OF THE STRAIT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-171500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-171500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 15, 12:10 PM AKDT, 3 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 12:10 PM AKDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1210 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN IS IN PLACE
WITH A TROUGH CENTERED OVER MAINLAND ALASKA AND A RIDGE OVER THE
FAR WESTERN BERING SEA. A POLAR JET BETWEEN THE TWO IS DRIVING
COLDER AIR SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING AND SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. THIS IS PRODUCING SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS
THE REGION...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH GAPS OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH SWINGING THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA
THIS MORNING IS ALSO CONTRIBUTING TO STRONG DOWNWARD MOTION AND
MIXING DOWN OF STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT.

A MATURE LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA IS SLOWLY LIFTING NORTHWARD.
A DEFORMATION ZONE HAS SET UP BETWEEN THIS LOW AND THE SHORT-WAVE
TROUGH OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA RESULTING IN STEADY SNOW ALONG THE
ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES. EAST OF THIS DEFORMATION ZONE RADAR
AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A BROAD UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WITH
SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...THERE IS A PRETTY GOOD SPREAD IN MODELS WITH
POSITION OF SURFACE LOW OVER THE GULF AS THE FIRST UPPER LOW
DISSIPATES AND SECOND ONE MOVES IN. DON'T REALLY SEE ANY REASON
TO FAVOR A PARTICULAR SOLUTION AT THIS POINT. THEY AT LEAST ALL
SHOW THE SAME GENERAL TRENDS IN MOVEMENT OF THE LOW AND THE EXACT
POSITION WON'T HAVE A HUGE IMPACT ON THE PRECIPITATION PATTERN.
BIGGEST IMPACT WILL BE ON WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF...SO
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THAT AREA IS BELOW AVERAGE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AS LOW OVER THE GULF CONTINUES TO LIFT
NORTHWARD SHOWER COVERAGE WILL INCREASE ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST. A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS MAY MAKE IT OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND INLAND...BUT THEY WILL BE SHORT-LIVED. COLDER AIR FILTERING
IN FROM THE WEST SUPPORTS MAINLY SNOW WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AREA WHICH WILL TAKE LONGER TO COOL DOWN.
AN UPPER LOW DROPPING SOUTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA TONIGHT
WILL SWING EASTWARD INTO THE GULF TUESDAY WHICH WILL CAUSE THE
FIRST UPPER LOW TO OPEN INTO A TROUGH AND DISSIPATE. THIS NEW
UPPER LOW WILL THEN QUICKLY TRACK TO THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY WITH COLD DRY CONDITIONS SETTLING IN ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL.

MEANWHILE...STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN GULF.
UPPER LOW DROPPING ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL BE RIGHT ON THE
HEELS OF THE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH TODAY. A POTENTIAL
VORTICITY ANOMALY (ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW) WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE WESTERN GULF TUESDAY BRINGING EVEN STRONGER WINDS THAN TODAY.
THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS
THE LOW EXITS TO THE EAST AND COLD AIR ADVECTION COMES TO AN END.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA/EASTERN BERING...DEFORMATION ZONE WHICH IS
PRODUCING SNOW ALONG THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES WILL LOSE ITS
FORM BY LATE TONIGHT AS THE LOW OVER THE GULF PULLS NORTHEASTWARD.
THE REST OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL REMAIN MOSTLY DRY. THE EXCEPTION
TO THIS WILL BE THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS AND NORTH SIDE OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WHERE COLD AIR MOVING OVER RELATIVELY WARM WATERS
OF THE EASTERN BERING WILL PRODUCE A STEADY STREAM OF SNOW SHOWERS.
STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY...
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST AND THROUGH GAPS OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA.
COLD ADVECTION WILL THEN COME TO AN END AND THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS GULF LOW EXITS TO THE EAST...
ALLOWING WINDS TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE REGION. COLD AND DRY AIR
WILL SETTLE IN MID TO LATE IN THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
FROM THE WEST.

CENTRAL TO WESTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS...RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN BERING
WILL UNDERGO SOME UNDULATIONS AS ENERGY MOVES UP ITS WEST SIDE...
BUT WILL ULTIMATELY STRENGTHEN AND BUILD EASTWARD AS WE HEAD THROUGH
THE WEEK. THUS...EXPECT BENIGN CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...A STRONG HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE WILL DOMINATE
ALASKA THROUGH THE DAY 4 THROUGH 7 TIME PERIOD PRODUCING DRY AND
SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS. THE RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD EASTWARD
TOWARD THE MAINLAND LATE IN THE WEEK...AT WHICH POINT PACIFIC STORMS
WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. MODEL SPREAD IS LARGE
AND RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY IS POOR...MAKING FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS VERY LOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...130 132 150
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB OCT 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 15, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Oct 15, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC6 days
Oct 16, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Oct 16, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2012Every gale warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.